July 14, 2009 - Christie Up 12 In New Jersey, A Step Ahead On Boardwalk, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Approval At 60 Percent Among Likely Voters

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Republican challenger Christopher Christie is pulling away from Democratic incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine and now holds a 53 - 41 percent lead among likely voters in the New Jersey Governor's race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 - 40 percent lead for the former federal prosecutor in a June 10 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In a three-way matchup among likely voters, Christie leads Gov. Corzine 47 - 38 percent, with 8 percent for independent candidate Christopher Daggett.

Christie is one step ahead in the Boardwalk Poll as likely voters say 40 - 38 percent that they would rather stroll the Atlantic City Boardwalk with him. Men prefer strolling with Christie 44 - 35 percent, while women prefer Corzine 40 - 38 percent.

In the two-way face-off, Corzine leads 76 - 19 percent among Democratic likely voters, while Christie leads 89 - 7 percent among Republicans and 64 - 28 percent among independent voters. This is a jump from Christie's 56 - 32 percent lead among independent voters June 10.

In a three-way race, Daggett gets 13 percent of independent voters, with 54 percent for Christie and 24 percent for Corzine.

"Good news for Christopher Christie: As voters focus on the campaign, he increases his lead slightly in the match-up against Corzine," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Good news for Gov. Jon Corzine: President Barack Obama is coming in and Obama's job numbers among New Jersey voters are good."

"Politicians love to ponder who a third candidate hurts. Christopher Daggett helps Corzine a little. But virtually nobody knows him. Let's see what happens if his campaign starts to attract attention beyond the politics groupies," Carroll said.

"Who'd be a better companion on a stroll along the Atlantic City boardwalk? Christie wins on that 'nice guy' question, most strongly among the folks who live down near the beach. Does being a nice guy matter in a political candidate? A total of 67 percent of New Jersey voters say it's very important or somewhat important."

By a 39 - 20 percent margin, New Jersey likely voters have a favorable opinion of Christie, while 40 percent say they don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Corzine gets a negative 34 - 58 percent favorability. For Daggett, 92 percent don't know enough to form an opinion.

New Jersey registered voters disapprove 60 - 33 percent of the job Corzine is doing, his lowest rating ever and down from a 56 - 36 percent disapproval June 10. Independent voters disapprove 69 - 24 percent. Likely voters also disapprove 60 - 33 percent.

Likely voters say 50 - 36 percent that Christie would do a better job handling the state budget and 54 - 30 percent that the Republican would do a better job cleaning up corruption.

Christie's attacks that Corzine has not kept his campaign promises are fair, 45 percent of voters say, but 44 percent say the economic downturn is to blame.

Only 10 percent of voters say Corzine's attacks that Christie is too close to former President George W. Bush are fair, but 77 percent say Corzine should focus on state issues.

Obama Approval

New Jersey likely voters approve 60 - 34 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, the first time this question has been asked of likely voters. Obama gets 90 - 7 percent approval from Democrats and 54 - 38 percent approval from independent voters, while Republicans turn thumbs down 71 - 21 percent.

From July 8 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,514 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and nationally as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed: http://ww.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat, and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Corzine or Christie? This table includes Leaners.
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Corzine              41      7     76     28     36     45     34     66
Christie             53     89     19     64     58     48     59     29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      3      4      8      6      6      6      4
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Corzine              59     48     26     38     29
Christie             34     46     69     56     64
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      5      5      5      7
 
TREND: If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat, and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Corzine or Christie? This table includes Leaners.
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Jul 14  Jun 10
                     2009    2009
 
Corzine              41      40
Christie             53      50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -
DK/NA                 6       9
 
 
2. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat, Christopher Christie the Republican, and Christopher Daggett the independent, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Corzine, Christie, or Daggett? This table includes Leaners.
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Corzine              38      6     72     24     34     41     31     64
Christie             47     88     16     54     52     43     53     23
Daggett               8      4      6     13      9      8      8     10
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      3      6      9      5      8      8      4
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Corzine              55     44     24     34     27
Christie             29     42     60     51     58
Daggett               8      6     10     10      7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      7      6      5      8
 
 
3. Is your opinion of - Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            39     73     12     46     48     33     45     24
Unfavorable          20      4     33     16     19     20     19     26
Hvn't hrd enough     40     23     54     36     32     46     35     50
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      1      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            28     36     47     42     47
Unfavorable          21     21     19     22     14
Hvn't hrd enough     50     42     32     34     39
REFUSED               1      -      2      2      1
 
 
4. Is your opinion of - Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            34      9     63     21     31     37     30     54
Unfavorable          58     86     29     70     63     53     63     35
Hvn't hrd enough      6      4      6      6      5      7      5      8
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      1      3      2      4
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            48     41     25     30     24
Unfavorable          37     52     68     64     70
Hvn't hrd enough     12      5      5      5      4
REFUSED               3      2      2      1      2
 
 
5. Is your opinion of - Christopher Daggett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable             5      4      4      8      7      3      5      9
Unfavorable           2      2      4      1      2      2      2      5
Hvn't hrd enough     92     94     92     91     90     94     93     85
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable             4      5      8      6      4
Unfavorable           1      1      2      2      7
Hvn't hrd enough     95     94     89     91     88
REFUSED               -      -      1      1      1
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as governor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              33      9     59     24     30     36     28     56
Disapprove           60     88     34     69     66     55     66     40
DK/NA                 7      4      7      6      4      9      6      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as Governor?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS....................................
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Jul 14  Jun 10  May 20  Apr 22  Apr 18  Jul 14  Jul 14
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2007    2009    2009
 
Approve              33      36      38      37      51      33      33
Disapprove           60      56      53      54      36      60      60
DK/NA                 8       9       9       8      13       8       8
 
 
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              27     15     44     17     22     32     25     42
Disapprove           59     74     38     73     67     52     62     51
DK/NA                13     11     18     11     10     16     13      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS....................................
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Jul 14  Jun 10  May 20  Apr 22  Jan 26  Jul 14  Jul 14
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2005    2006    2006
 
Approve              28      28      28      29      44      20      20
Disapprove           59      56      55      57      31      71      71
DK/NA                13      16      17      14      25      10      10
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              43     25     60     39     37     48     41     47
Disapprove           40     63     19     47     52     31     44     36
DK/NA                17     12     21     14     11     21     15     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High approve also 55% on 9/23/1999 & 7/22/1999)
                     REGISTERED VOTERS.....................................
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Jul 14  Jun 10  May 20  Apr 22  Jul 27  Feb 20  Jul 14
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2000*   2008    2009
 
Approve              42      44      46      47      55      39      42
Disapprove           39      36      37      38      22      31      39
DK/NA                19      19      18      15      23      29      19
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              40     19     60     34     34     45     36     46
Disapprove           37     62     15     43     48     28     41     31
DK/NA                23     18     24     24     18     27     23     23
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS....................................
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Jul 14  Jun 10  May 20  Apr 22  Feb 4   Feb 20  Jul 9
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2009    2008    2007
 
Approve              39      40      41      41      42      30      31
Disapprove           37      31      32      32      30      31      39
DK/NA                24      28      27      26      28      39      31
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              60     21     90     54     53     66     53     86
Disapprove           34     71      7     38     41     29     41      7
DK/NA                 6      8      3      8      6      6      6      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*low also 61% on 3/11/09)
                     REGISTERED VOTERS....................................
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Jul 14  Jun 10  May 20  Apr 22  Jun 10  Jul 14  Jul 14
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009*   2009
 
Approve              61      68      67      67      68      61      61
Disapprove           33      25      27      24      25      33      33
DK/NA                 6       7       6       9       7       6       6
 
 
12. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for governor - Jon Corzine or Christopher Christie do you think would do a better job handling the state budget?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Corzine              36      9     66     24     34     39     32     57
Christie             50     84     20     61     55     46     56     25
DK/NA                14      6     14     15     11     16     12     18
 
 
13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for governor - Jon Corzine or Christopher Christie do you think would do a better job cleaning up corruption?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Corzine              30      8     56     17     26     32     25     52
Christie             54     86     25     66     62     47     60     30
DK/NA                17      6     19     17     12     21     15     18
 
 
14. Christopher Christie's ads say Jon Corzine hasn't kept his campaign promises. Is this a fair criticism of Corzine or is the economic downturn to blame?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Fair criticism       45     65     23     53     52     39     48     33
Downturn             44     22     66     36     40     47     41     54
DK/NA                11     12     11     10      7     15     11     13
 
 
15. Jon Corzine's ads say Christopher Christie is too close to former President Bush. Is this a fair criticism of Christie or should Corzine focus on state issues?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Fair criticism       10      2     19      7     11     10      9     16
Focus on issues      77     91     65     83     78     76     80     73
DK/NA                13      7     17     10     10     15     11     12
 
 
16. Do you think being a federal prosecutor has given Christopher Christie enough experience to be governor of New Jersey?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  57     77     40     62     61     53     60     42
No                   30     14     43     28     30     31     29     41
DK/NA                13      9     17     11      9     16     11     17
 
 
17. Do you think Jon Corzine's background as an investment banker has made him a better governor, a worse governor, or hasn't it made a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better Gov           20      9     34     13     19     21     18     30
Worse Gov            19     27      9     27     20     19     21     17
Hasn't made diff     58     61     53     58     61     55     58     48
DK/NA                 3      2      5      2      1      5      3      6
 
 
18. As you may know, Governor Jon Corzine spent millions of dollars of his own money to be elected Governor and says he will do the same in this year's race for governor. Which comes closer to your point of view - by financing his own campaigns Corzine is free from being beholden to lobbyists and other special interests, or by financing his own campaigns Corzine has an unfair advantage?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
A) Free from int     46     28     67     36     44     47     42     64
B) Unfair advantage  44     59     25     55     46     42     48     30
DK/NA                11     14      8      9     10     11     10      6
 
 
19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who would you rather stroll the Atlantic City boardwalk with - Jon Corzine or Christopher Christie?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Corzine              38     12     66     29     35     40     34     57
Christie             40     72     15     47     44     38     46     18
DK/NA                22     16     19     24     21     22     21     24
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Corzine              53     41     29     34     31
Christie             25     37     51     47     44
DK/NA                22     22     20     19     25
 
 
20. When you decide how to vote for governor, how important is it to you that the candidate has a likeable personality - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very important       22     16     30     17     18     26     17     42
Smwht important      45     52     43     42     43     47     48     39
Not too important    19     20     17     23     21     17     21     14
Not important at all 13     12      9     17     17     10     14      6
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      1      -      -
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Very important       31     25     15     18     20
Smwht important      48     43     45     48     44
Not too important    12     20     22     19     19
Not important at all  9     11     15     15     16
DK/NA                 -      1      2      -      -
 
 
21. Which party would you like to see control the New Jersey State Legislature after the elections in November - the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Democratic Party     45      3     87     30     37     52     37     84
Republican Party     43     92      9     47     51     37     51     14
DK/NA                11      5      5     22     12     10     12      2
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Democratic Party     68     51     27     42     35
Republican Party     25     40     61     44     51
DK/NA                 7      9     12     13     14