April 2, 2003 - McGreevey Approval Drops Again In New Jersey, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Budget Crisis Is Bad, But Don't Raise Taxes, Voters Say
New Jersey Gov. James McGreevey gets a negative 38 - 44 percent overall approval rating from voters, with negative scores for his handling of every key issue in the survey, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. McGreevey had a split 40 - 41 percent approval in a January 29 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. This latest finding matches

McGreevey's previous low - a negative 37 - 42 percent approval December 11, 2002.

Democrats approve of the Governor 57 - 24 percent, while Republicans disapprove 59 - 23 percent and independent voters disapprove 50 - 35 percent.

Voters split 38 - 39 percent on whether they approve of the way the State Legislature is handling its job.

"The numbers just keep getting worse and worse for Gov. McGreevey. The number of New Jersey voters who disapprove of how he is doing his job has reached a new high. More now disapprove than approve of his handling of every major issue -- the budget, education, the economy and jobs, taxes and auto insurance. In the last poll, more people thought he was doing a better job on education," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Nearly everyone agrees New Jersey is facing a serious budget problem, but voters say more cuts, not raising taxes, is the solution. About a third say the cuts made by McGreevey are about right, while two in 10 say they don't go far enough. Only 27 percent say they go too far," Richards added.

"If it's any solace to the Governor, Republicans don't fare much better. The state legislature gets a split 38 - 39 approval rating, and when it comes to who should control the legislature - flip a coin - 41 percent prefer Democrats and 40 percent Republicans."

New Jersey voters give McGreevey a negative 22 - 52 percent approval of the way he is handling appointments to high-level positions, the first time this question was asked.

The Governor gets negative approval ratings for handling other key issues:
  • 33 - 50 percent for the state budget;
  • 40 - 45 percent for education;
  • 35 - 50 percent for the economy and jobs;
  • 17 - 70 percent for car insurance;
  • 26 - 64 percent for taxes in general;
  • 20 - 67 percent for property taxes.
The state's budget problems are "very serious" or "somewhat serious," 87 percent of voters say. To balance the budget, 32 percent say raise taxes, while 54 percent say cut services.

Voters oppose 64 - 33 percent a gasoline tax hike to balance the budget.

They support 79 - 17 percent casino tax increases.

New Jersey voters also support 57 - 35 percent video slot machines at race tracks and show little concern that these slot machines will hurt Atlantic City's casino business.

From March 25 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,059 New Jersey registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and nationally as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks or call (203) 582- 5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 38% 23% 57% 35% 41% 36% 42% Disapprove 44 59 24 50 45 43 43 DK/NA 18 18 19 15 14 21 15

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 42% 41% 28% 39% 37% Disapprove 33 43 51 44 48 DK/NA 25 16 20 18 15



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 38% 29% 48% 38% 40% 36% 38% Disapprove 39 48 26 41 39 39 35 DK/NA 24 24 27 20 21 26 27

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 36% 41% 30% 39% 36% Disapprove 36 35 43 42 41 DK/NA 28 24 26 19 22



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 46% 29% 62% 50% 46% 46% 49% Disapprove 29 45 13 28 34 24 25 DK/NA 25 26 25 21 21 30 26

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 44% 52% 34% 45% 47% Disapprove 30 23 43 26 27 DK/NA 26 25 22 29 26



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 44% 23% 66% 45% 44% 44% 47% Disapprove 32 53 10 33 36 29 32 DK/NA 24 24 24 22 21 27 21

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 52% 46% 33% 43% 45% Disapprove 23 31 43 24 36 DK/NA 24 24 24 33 19



14. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Very satisfied 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% Smwht satisfied 42 32 55 39 44 41 45 Smwht dissatisfied 37 37 35 38 33 40 40 Very dissatisfied 16 23 6 17 18 14 11 DK/NA 2 3 1 2 2 2 1

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Very satisfied 2% 2% 4% 3% 7% Smwht satisfied 41 49 37 39 36 Smwht dissatisfied 38 34 41 39 35 Very dissatisfied 15 11 17 20 21 DK/NA 3 3 2 - 1



14a. (If 'satisfied' or 'dissatisfied' on q14) Is that more because of what's going on nationally or more because of what's going on in New Jersey?

                              NJ Satisfaction q14
                      Tot     Sat     DisSat


Nationally 16% 25% 9% In New Jersey 78 68 87 BOTH(VOL) 4 5 3 DK/NA 2 3 1



15. Which party would you like to see control the New Jersey State Legislature after the elections in November - the Democratic Party or Republican Party?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Democratic Party 41% 5% 87% 33% 36% 45% 47% Republican Party 40 87 5 32 45 35 33 DK/NA 20 7 8 35 19 20 20

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Democratic Party 55% 39% 27% 47% 39% Republican Party 29 41 53 32 40 DK/NA 17 20 19 20 21



16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling -- the state budget?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 33% 19% 42% 40% 38% 28% 43% Disapprove 50 65 37 50 47 53 46 DK/NA 17 16 20 10 15 19 10

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 30% 37% 30% 30% 32% Disapprove 55 46 51 52 52 DK/NA 16 16 18 18 16



17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling -- education?
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 40% 33% 49% 37% 42% 39% 37% Disapprove 45 52 33 49 43 46 50 DK/NA 15 15 18 14 15 15 12

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 30% 46% 38% 41% 38% Disapprove 45 42 48 47 46 DK/NA 25 13 14 12 16



18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling -- the economy and jobs?
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 35% 26% 46% 33% 37% 32% 37% Disapprove 50 60 40 53 50 51 51 DK/NA 15 14 14 14 13 17 12

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 31% 37% 33% 34% 36% Disapprove 53 48 51 50 52 DK/NA 16 16 16 16 12



19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 17% 17% 18% 19% 21% 14% 20% Disapprove 70 72 70 67 66 73 68 DK/NA 13 11 11 14 13 13 12

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 13% 21% 21% 12% 15% Disapprove 70 65 66 80 73 DK/NA 17 14 13 8 13



20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling -- appointments to high level positions?
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 22% 15% 35% 20% 23% 22% 28% Disapprove 52 61 36 60 55 50 51 DK/NA 25 24 29 20 22 28 21

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 21% 25% 21% 25% 18% Disapprove 44 50 47 55 64 DK/NA 34 25 32 20 18



21a. (Split sample A) Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling -- taxes?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 26% 13% 42% 27% 29% 24% 32% Disapprove 64 77 51 64 60 66 63 DK/NA 10 10 7 9 11 9 5



21b. (Split sample B) Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling -- property taxes?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Approve 20% 11% 28% 22% 23% 18% 25% Disapprove 67 75 63 66 64 70 66 DK/NA 13 14 9 11 13 13 9

23. Would you describe the state of New Jersey's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Excellent 2% 1% - 3% 2% 1% - Good 37 36 41 35 39 35 45 Not so good 47 47 44 49 46 48 43 Poor 12 14 11 11 11 13 11 DK/NA 3 2 4 3 2 3 1

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Excellent - 1% 4% 3% 2% Good 30 37 38 30 45 Not so good 53 48 45 49 41 Poor 13 12 10 14 11 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 2



24. Do you think that New Jersey's economic condition is due more to national or state factors?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


National 36% 33% 39% 35% 40% 32% 39% State 49 50 48 51 46 53 51 BOTH(VOL) 9 12 7 9 10 8 7 DK/NA 6 4 7 5 4 7 3

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

National 43% 42% 34% 26% 30% State 48 44 50 58 54 BOTH(VOL) 5 8 14 8 10 DK/NA 5 6 2 8 7



25. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in New Jersey will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Get better 23% 27% 21% 19% 30% 17% 23% Get worse 19 17 23 17 17 22 20 Stay the same 54 52 52 60 51 56 53 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 5 4

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Get better 24% 21% 26% 20% 24% Get worse 20 21 14 23 17 Stay the same 52 54 58 51 54 DK/NA 3 3 3 6 5



26. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Better off 32% 33% 33% 28% 34% 30% 37% Worse off 43 43 42 44 41 45 37 SAME(VOL) 24 23 23 26 24 24 24 DK/NA 1 1 2 2 1 1 2

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Better off 33% 29% 35% 34% 31% Worse off 42 46 38 48 39 SAME(VOL) 24 23 25 19 28 DK/NA 1 2 2 - 1



27. How serious do you think New Jersey's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Very serious 38% 37% 33% 45% 41% 36% 35% Smwht serious 49 48 55 44 44 53 51 Not too serious 7 10 6 7 11 5 10 Not at all serious 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 5 4 4 3 4 5 3

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Very serious 41% 39% 38% 43% 32% Smwht serious 46 49 48 42 57 Not too serious 10 7 7 8 6 Not at all serious - - 2 1 - DK/NA 4 4 5 5 6



28. To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Raising taxes 32% 19% 45% 34% 32% 33% 37% Cutting services 54 70 39 54 58 50 49 DK/NA 14 12 16 12 10 17 14

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Raising taxes 44% 35% 24% 30% 28% Cutting services 46 53 66 49 55 DK/NA 10 12 10 21 17



29. What do you think about the cuts in state services that Governor McGreevey has proposed in order to balance the state's budget next year? Do you think McGreevey's proposed cuts in state services go too far, not far enough or are they about right?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Too far 27% 25% 27% 29% 22% 31% 28% Not far enough 21 27 15 21 25 17 22 About right 32 29 38 33 37 29 36 DK/NA 20 19 20 17 16 23 14

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Too far 28% 25% 24% 28% 30% Not far enough 24 20 24 19 20 About right 28 37 32 29 31 DK/NA 20 18 20 24 19



29a. (If 'too far' on q29.) Would you support or oppose a tax increase to restore some of the cuts you think go too far?
                                                                     
                      Tot    
 
Support               52%     
Oppose                40         
DK/NA                  8            




30. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose an increase in the gasoline tax?
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Support 33% 28% 34% 36% 33% 32% 39% Oppose 64 69 61 62 64 65 58 DK/NA 3 2 5 2 3 3 3

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Support 39% 35% 32% 24% 30% Oppose 58 62 66 72 65 DK/NA 3 3 2 3 5



31. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose increasing the casino tax and imposing a sales tax on free rooms and other gifts casinos give to high rollers?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Support 79% 77% 80% 80% 74% 82% 81% Oppose 17 19 17 16 22 13 17 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 4 2

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Support 72% 80% 86% 77% 78% Oppose 22 16 13 20 17 DK/NA 7 4 1 4 5



32. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose installing video slot machines at horse racing tracks?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Support 57% 59% 56% 56% 64% 52% 56% Oppose 35 36 36 35 30 40 39 DK/NA 7 4 8 9 6 9 4

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Support 57% 54% 60% 65% 54% Oppose 30 40 32 30 38 DK/NA 12 6 7 5 8



33. How concerned are you that installing video slot machines at race tracks in New Jersey will hurt business at Atlantic City casinos? Very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all?

                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Very concerned 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% Smwht concerned 6 7 8 4 6 6 6 Not too concerned 21 23 23 20 24 19 20 Not concerned at all 65 63 59 70 63 66 69 DK/NA 4 3 5 3 3 4 2

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Very concerned 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% Smwht concerned 8 6 1 7 9 Not too concerned 21 22 21 21 20 Not concerned at all 61 64 71 63 64 DK/NA 6 3 4 4 3



34. How concerned are you that video slot machines at race tracks in neighboring states will take money away from New Jersey if they are not available at New Jersey race tracks? Very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all?
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHld


Very concerned 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 10% Smwht concerned 18 17 21 15 17 18 16 Not too concerned 27 25 30 27 28 26 27 Not concerned at all 44 48 36 48 44 45 46 DK/NA 3 2 4 3 3 4 1

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Very concerned 10% 6% 5% 11% 8% Smwht concerned 21 18 16 19 15 Not too concerned 28 29 22 27 29 Not concerned at all 36 44 55 40 46 DK/NA 6 4 3 4 2