January 9, 2008 - Bloomberg Would Make Good President Or Governor, New York City Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Most Say He'll Run For President

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By a 52 - 39 percent margin, New York City voters say Mayor Michael Bloomberg would make a good President, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

By an even larger 70 - 26 percent, voters say Mayor Bloomberg would make a good Governor, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Even Democrats say 51 - 41 percent that Bloomberg would make a good President and 68 - 28 percent that he would make a good Governor.

Given a choice, 47 percent of New York City voters would like Bloomberg to run for Governor, while 16 percent would like him to run for President and 32 percent say "neither."

Speculation that Bloomberg will run for President is good for the city, voters say 47 - 32 percent. A total of 51 percent of voters say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" he will run for President, while 45 percent say it is "not too likely" or "not likely at all."

A total of 34 percent of New York City voters say they "definitely" or "probably" would vote for Bloomberg if he ran for President as an independent candidate, with 58 percent saying "probably not" or "definitely not."

"His New York neighbors think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President. In far larger numbers, they think he'd make a good Governor," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "So watch out, Gov. Spitzer."

"Almost half of them would like Bloomberg to aim for Albany instead of the White House. Historical note: A couple of 20th Century New York governors have become President. No New York City mayor has."

"Will he or won't he run for President? He will, say most New Yorkers. Will you or won't you vote for him? We won't, say most New Yorkers. Remember, though, we're a Democratic town," Carroll said.

New York City voters approve 73 - 20 percent of the job Bloomberg is doing as Mayor, compared to 71 - 21 percent in a November 19, 2007 Quinnipiac University poll. Approval is consistent among Democrats, Republicans and independents, and among black and white voters, dropping to 59 - 31 percent among Hispanic voters.

Bloomberg has a "moral obligation" to serve out his full four-year term as Mayor, voters say 61 - 36 percent.

"New Yorkers to Mayor Mike: We elected you for a four-year second term and you have an obligation to serve the whole four years," Carroll said.

New York City voters approve 60 - 23 percent of the job Police Commissioner Ray Kelly is doing, up from 55 - 30 percent November 19. Republican voters approve 78 - 11 percent, while Democrats approve 55 - 28 percent and independent voters approve 65 - 18 percent; white voters approve 73 - 12 percent, while black voters approve 45 - 39 percent and Hispanic voters approve 55 - 28 percent.

Approval ratings for other New York City leaders are:
  • 40 - 37 percent for Schools Chancellor Joel Klein, with 24 percent undecided;
  • 44 - 18 percent for Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum, with 38 percent undecided;
  • 48 - 14 percent for Comptroller Thompson, with 38 percent undecided;
  • 48 - 14 percent for Council Speaker Christine Quinn, with 38 percent undecided.
"Three potential mayoral candidates - Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum, Comptroller William Thompson and Council Speaker Christine Quinn - get positive ratings, but more than a third of New Yorkers don't know much about them. A fourth, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly, gets good marks - as a cop, not necessarily as a candidate," Carroll said.

From January 3 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,162 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 73%     77%     72%     76%     78%     78%     59%
Disapprove              20      19      21      17      18      13      31
DK/NA                    7       4       7       7       5       8      11
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 67%     71%     78%     78%     63%     78%     69%
Disapprove              25      21      16      16      30      16      23
DK/NA                    8       8       6       6       7       6       8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? (* also 75% on 11/17/2005)
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jan 9   Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Jan 16  Jul 2
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007*   2003
 
Approve                 73      71      70      73      74      75      31
Disapprove              20      21      21      19      19      16      60
DK/NA                    7       8      10       8       7       9       8
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 60%     78%     55%     65%     73%     45%     55%
Disapprove              23      11      28      18      12      39      28
DK/NA                   16      11      17      16      15      16      17
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 50%     56%     64%     65%     71%     66%     56%
Disapprove              31      29      17      19      17      22      25
DK/NA                   19      15      18      15      12      12      19
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? (* also 70% on 2/3/06)
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jan 9   Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 9   Jan 16
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2006 *  2007
 
Approve                 60      55      62      64      58      70      52
Disapprove              23      30      25      26      27      17      34
DK/NA                   16      16      13      11      14      13      14
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 40%     39%     40%     41%     39%     38%     43%
Disapprove              37      31      39      36      32      46      37
DK/NA                   24      30      21      23      29      16      19
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 36%     38%     45%     38%     42%     45%     35%
Disapprove              43      39      26      39      40      34      39
DK/NA                   21      22      29      23      18      21      26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jan 9   Nov 21  Aug 29  Jul 26  May 23  Feb 26  Mar 15
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2003    2007
 
Approve                 40      44      39      41      37      46      33
Disapprove              37      36      37      39      39      27      43
DK/NA                   24      20      23      20      23      28      24
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 44%     39%     50%     36%     42%     53%     44%
Disapprove              18      24      15      19      16      17      18
DK/NA                   38      37      35      45      42      30      38
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 44%     41%     44%     48%     43%     37%     50%
Disapprove              18      19      12      19      26      21      15
DK/NA                   38      40      44      33      31      42      35
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jan 9   Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Jan 9   Feb 26
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2008    2003
 
Approve                 44      40      39      40      42      44      34
Disapprove              18      19      18      17      15      18      17
DK/NA                   38      40      43      43      44      38      49
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 48%     44%     51%     45%     52%     46%     43%
Disapprove              14      19      12      17      10      20      19
DK/NA                   38      37      37      38      38      33      38
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 41%     48%     50%     50%     51%     48%     49%
Disapprove              20      15      11      12      18      16      13
DK/NA                   38      37      39      38      31      37      38
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jan 9   Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 14  Aug 29
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007
 
Approve                 48      46      44      45      47      51      44
Disapprove              14      16      16      15      13      12      16
DK/NA                   38      37      40      40      40      37      40
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 48%     51%     49%     48%     44%     59%     47%
Disapprove              14      14      14      11       9      20      17
DK/NA                   38      35      37      41      47      21      36
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 45%     53%     37%     51%     60%     52%     44%
Disapprove              19      14      11      14      15      16      13
DK/NA                   36      33      52      35      25      32      42
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jan 9   Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Jan 9  Feb 26
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2008   2003
 
Approve                 48      45      41      43      46      48     35
Disapprove              14      15      12      12      12      14     13
DK/NA                   38      41      47      45      42      38     52
 
 
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Approve                 46%     48%     49%     41%     47%     46%     46%
Disapprove              31      33      27      36      27      34      35
DK/NA                   23      19      24      22      25      19      19
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Approve                 42%     44%     49%     47%     46%     49%     43%
Disapprove              32      36      24      29      41      34      29
DK/NA                   26      20      26      23      13      17      28
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?
                        Jan 9   Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25
                        2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Approve                 46      45      44      48
Disapprove              31      32      32      32
DK/NA                   23      23      25      20
 
 
8. There has been a lot of talk about the possibility that Mayor Bloomberg might run for President. How likely do you think it is that he will run for President? Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Very likely             15%     14%     16%     15%     10%     15%     29%
Smwht likely            36      31      38      39      42      35      28
Not too likely          26      33      25      26      31      20      26
Not likely at all       19      18      20      17      13      27      16
DK/NA                    3       4       2       3       4       3       1
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Very likely             20%     11%     15%     17%     22%     15%     16%
Smwht likely            28      38      36      40      36      36      37
Not too likely          25      27      31      23      23      26      27
Not likely at all       24      21      14      17      14      20      18
DK/NA                    3       3       3       3       4       3       3
 
TREND: There has been a lot of talk about the possibility that Mayor Bloomberg might run for President. How likely do you think it is that he will run for President? Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
                        Jan 9   Jul 25  May 23  Nov 14  Jul 12
                        2008    2007    2007    2006    2006
 
Very likely             15      16      11      10      11
Smwht likely            36      40      35      29      25
Not too likely          26      26      29      32      35
Not likely at all       19      15      21      26      27
DK/NA                    3       3       3       4       2
 
 
9. If Mayor Bloomberg ran for President as an independent, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Definitely              11%     14%     11%     13%     13%      7%     12%
Probably                23      26      21      31      24      23      22
Probably not            23      19      25      20      24      24      19
Definitely not          35      34      38      27      30      41      44
DK/NA                    7       8       5       9       9       5       2
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Definitely              10%     12%     11%     14%      6%     12%     11%
Probably                17      23      19      29      29      25      22
Probably not            23      23      30      18      17      22      24
Definitely not          44      36      34      30      40      34      37
DK/NA                    6       6       7       8       8       7       7
 
TREND: If Mayor Bloomberg ran for President as an independent, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?
                        Jan 9   Jul 25  Nov 14
                        2008    2007    2006
 
Definitely              11      12      10
Probably                23      22      25
Probably not            23      26      25
Definitely not          35      31      31
DK/NA                    7       9       8
 
 
10. Do you think that the speculation about Michael Bloomberg possibly running for President in 2008 is good or bad for New York City?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Good                    47%     56%     45%     51%     52%     45%     41%
Bad                     32      28      35      26      26      37      39
DK/NA                   21      15      20      23      22      18      20
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Good                    35%     55%     47%     46%     42%     51%     44%
Bad                     43      26      28      32      44      30      34
DK/NA                   22      19      25      22      14      19      23
 
TREND: Do you think that the speculation about Michael Bloomberg possibly running for President in 2008 is good or bad for New York City?
                        Jan 9   Jul 25
                        2008    2007
 
Good for NYC            47      53
Bad for NYC             32      26
DK/NA                   21      21
 
 
11. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Yes                     52%     55%     51%     54%     58%     47%     41%
No                      39      41      41      31      33      41      51
DK/NA                    9       4       8      16       8      11       8
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Yes                     45%     50%     54%     57%     46%     56%     48%
No                      49      40      33      36      46      37      40
DK/NA                    6      10      13       7       9       7      12
 
 
12. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good Governor or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Yes                     70%     76%     68%     77%     76%     71%     59%
No                      26      21      28      19      19      25      39
DK/NA                    4       3       4       4       5       4       3
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Yes                     66%     67%     74%     76%     63%     73%     68%
No                      31      28      21      21      36      23      28
DK/NA                    3       5       4       3       2       4       4
 
 
13. Would you rather see Michael Bloomberg run for President or Governor, or neither?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
President               16%     23%     14%     17%     18%     12%     15%
Governor                47      49      47      54      49      50      46
Neither                 32      24      35      23      27      34      37
DK/NA                    5       4       4       6       6       4       2
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
President               11%     15%     17%     16%     23%     19%     12%
Governor                47      45      49      53      36      48      47
Neither                 40      34      30      25      39      29      35
DK/NA                    2       7       5       6       1       4       6
 
 
14. Do you think that Mayor Bloomberg has a moral obligation to serve out his full 4 year term as Mayor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp
 
Yes                     61%     57%     65%     52%     50%     72%     73%
No                      36      39      31      44      46      25      24
DK/NA                    4       4       3       3       4       3       3
 
                        Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl   Men     Wom
 
Yes                     71%     61%     49%     64%     64%     55%     66%
No                      25      35      47      32      34      43      29
DK/NA                    4       4       4       4       1       2       5