March 23, 2010 - New Yorkers Nix Fourth Term For Mayor Bloomberg, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Want Mayor 5 - 1 to Lead Ground Zero Renewal

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New York City voters approve 61 - 27 percent of the job Mayor Michael Bloomberg is doing, higher than most incumbents in states surveyed by Quinnipiac University, but voters say almost 3-1 they would not vote for him if he seeks a fourth term.

Mayor Bloomberg's 61 - 27 percent approval rating compares to a 61 - 30 percent score February 17, but down from the 70 percent approval ratings he enjoyed for most of his second term. Except for attorneys general, who don't have to make tax and spending decisions, this is the highest approval for any elected official in any state surveyed in 2010 by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Voters favor term limits for elected officials 70 - 22 percent. Asked another way, 55 percent set the limit at two terms; 17 percent at three terms and 5 percent at four terms.

If Bloomberg were to seek a fourth term, New York City voters say 58 - 22 percent that they would not vote for him. Even Republicans say no 47 - 23 percent. Another 13 percent say it depends on who is running against Bloomberg, with 7 percent undecided.

"Mayor forever? New Yorkers gave Mayor Mike a third term but now they say, 'Enough is enough!'" said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "On the other hand, about a third say 'yes,' or it depends on who's running against him. So...

"Still, voter support for term limits in general hasn't wavered."

New York City voters disapprove 62 - 23 percent of the job Gov. David Paterson is doing, matching the historic low grades he receives in statewide Quinnipiac University polls. But voters say 65 - 28 percent that he should serve his full term, until December 31, rather than resign.

"Gov. David Paterson's job approval tanks even in overwhelmingly Democratic New York City," Carroll said. "But voters aren't calling for the Governor to step down."

New York City voters say 68 - 12 percent that Mayor Bloomberg should have the major role in decisions about development of the World Trade Center site, not Gov. Paterson. Support for Bloomberg is strong across the political and racial spectrum and in every borough.

Voters picked Bloomberg over former Gov. George Pataki 67 - 15 percent in an April 12, 2006, Quinnipiac University poll on who should control Ground Zero development.

"By law, the governors of New York and New Jersey run the Port Authority, and by practice, the governor of New York controls what the Port Authority does on this side of the Hudson River. But New Yorkers - fed up with delay after delay, squabble after squabble - would like Bloomberg to take charge of the Ground Zero rebuilding," Carroll said.

New York City voters disapprove 54 - 31 percent of a proposal to close the New York State budget gap by borrowing up to $2 billion per year for the next three years. There is no support for this proposal from any group.

"City voters turn thumbs down on Lt. Gov. Richard Ravitch's plan to borrow to pay some of the state's current bills," Carroll said. "We didn't ask about the other element of the plan - to pay back the borrowed money - on the suspicion that governments find it easy to borrow, hard to pay back. It could be like asking voters if they believe in the Easter Bunny."

From March 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 819 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Approve              61%    64%    61%    62%    71%    53%    56%
Disapprove           27     31     27     28     20     36     33
DK/NA                12      5     12     10      9     11     11
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Approve              58%    59%    72%    51%    71%    62%    60%
Disapprove           27     30     23     33     15     26     28
DK/NA                14     11      5     16     14     12     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? (*High also 75% Oct 2008, Mar 2008, Jan 2007 & Nov 2005)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Mar 23  Feb 17  Sep 24  Aug 26  Oct 21  Jul 2   Jul 2
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2008*   2003    2003
Approve              61      61      67      66      75      31      31
Disapprove           27      30      26      28      20      60      60
DK/NA                12       9       7       5       6       8       8
 
 
2. Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose setting limits on the number of years elected officials can hold office?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Favor                70%    73%    68%    74%    69%    68%    71%
Oppose               22     25     25     15     24     25     18
DK/NA                 8      1      7     11      8      7     11
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Favor                77%    69%    63%    73%    76%    73%    68%
Oppose               18     24     24     20     22     20     24
DK/NA                 5      8     13      7      1      7      9
 
TREND: Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose setting limits on the number of years elected officials can hold office?
                                                             FAVOR.........
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 23  Mar 24  Feb 24  Jan 27  Oct 21  Jul 16  Oct 21
                     2010    2009    2009    2009    2008    2008    2008
Favor                70      68      70      69      62      71      62
Oppose               22      25      25      25      29      23      29
DK/NA                 8       6       5       6       9       6       9
 
 
3. Do you think New York City elected officials should be allowed to serve two terms, three terms, four terms or should there be no term limits for New York City elected officials?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
2 terms              55%    55%    59%    51%    46%    59%    62%
3 terms              17     21     15     20     21     17      9
4 terms               5      4      6      4      6      6      5
No Term Limits       18     17     17     19     21     12     20
DK/NA                 5      3      3      6      6      5      3
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
2 terms              66%    50%    48%    62%    59%    55%    56%
3 terms              16     20     16     13     20     17     17
4 terms               3      7      4      4      2      6      4
No Term Limits       12     17     27     13     18     17     18
DK/NA                 3      7      4      8      1      5      6
 
 
4. If Michael Bloomberg ran for a fourth term as Mayor, would you vote for him or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Yes                  22%    23%    20%    24%    27%    17%    24%
No                   58     47     64     50     46     72     62
Depends On Cand(VOL) 13     23     11     14     18      5     12
DK/NA                 7      6      5     12     10      6      2
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Yes                  21%    18%    29%    19%    24%    19%    24%
No                   60     60     53     61     53     56     60
Depends On Cand(VOL) 11     15     12     11     14     16     10
DK/NA                 9      6      6      9     10      8      7
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Approve              23%    32%    24%    18%    17%    36%    21%
Disapprove           62     61     60     68     73     44     59
DK/NA                16      6     16     14     11     20     20
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Approve              27%    24%    17%    24%    19%    20%    25%
Disapprove           61     55     73     58     74     68     57
DK/NA                12     21     10     18      7     12     18
 
 
6. Do you think Governor Paterson should serve his full term until December 31st or should he resign?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Serve full term      65%    73%    67%    58%    57%    84%    65%
Resign               28     25     26     36     35     14     31
DK/NA                 6      2      7      5      8      3      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Serve full term      74%    67%    55%    69%    64%    64%    67%
Resign               20     25     39     27     32     30     27
DK/NA                 7      8      5      4      4      6      6
 
 
7. Do you approve or disapprove of a proposal for New York State to help close its budget gap by borrowing an additional two billion dollars per year for the next three years?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Approve              31%    22%    34%    28%    25%    43%    36%
Disapprove           54     70     50     58     58     46     51
DK/NA                14      8     16     14     17     11     14
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Approve              33%    33%    35%    30%    17%    29%    33%
Disapprove           59     55     45     54     71     56     53
DK/NA                 7     13     20     16     11     15     14
 
 
8. Who do you think should have the major role in decisions about the development of the World Trade Center site, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg or New York State Governor David Paterson?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
Bloomberg            68%    74%    67%    70%    76%    56%    65%
Paterson             12     15     13      8      6     24     16
DK/NA                20     11     19     22     18     20     19
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
Bloomberg            67%    68%    68%    63%    82%    65%    69%
Paterson             14     13     11     12      4     15     10
DK/NA                19     19     21     25     14     20     21
 
TREND: Who do you think should have the major role in decisions about the development of the World Trade Center site, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg or New York State Governor David Paterson? (*Governor George Pataki / **Bloomberg also 68% Mar 2006)
                                                             BLOOMBERG.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 23  Apr 12  Mar 9   Nov 17  Oct 13  Mar 23  Sep 10
                     2010    2006*   2006*   2005*   2005*   2010**  2003*
Bloomberg            68      67      68      61      65      68      54
Paterson             12      15      17      15      18      12      25
DK/NA                20      18      15      24      17      20      21