May 22, 2013 - Quinn At 25% In New York City Dem Primary, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Little Support For Kelly For Mayor

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City Council Speaker Christine Quinn leads the pack for the Democratic nomination for New York City mayor with 25 percent, with former U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner at 15 percent, followed by Public Advocate Bill de Blasio and former Comptroller William Thompson in a horse race for third place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll today.

This compares to Speaker Quinn's 28 percent top position in an April 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Weiner's 15 percent of the Democratic vote is unchanged. Today, Thompson and de Blasio are at 10 percent each, with 6 percent for Comptroller John Liu, 2 percent for former Council member Sal Albanese and 27 percent undecided.

A total of 32 percent of voters say they "definitely" or "probably" would vote for Police Commissioner Ray Kelly, if he runs as an independent candidate, while 56 percent say they would "probably not" or "definitely not" vote for him.

A total of 12 percent of voters say they "definitely" or "probably" will vote for former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion, running as the Independence Party candidate, while 69 percent say they "probably" or "definitely" won't vote for him.

If former Metropolitan Transportation Authority Chair Joseph Lhota wins the Republican nomination for mayor, only 13 percent of voters are more likely to vote for him in the general election, while 61 percent are more likely to vote for the Democratic candidate.

"Can we color New York City blue and throw away the crayons? At this stage of the mayoral campaign, none of the non-Democrats - the popular police commissioner, the Republican or the independent - lays a glove on the Democrats," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"With former Congressman Anthony Weiner seeking the Democratic nod, it still looks like Council Speaker Christine Quinn against the guys," Carroll said. "But where she once was brushing up against the magic 40 percent number that could get her past a run-off, the wear and tear of the campaign, and possibly the addition of Weiner, are taking a toll on the front-runner.

"This poll says there's a run-off. It just doesn't say who's in the runoff."

New York City voters say 45 - 38 percent that Kelly should run for mayor.

Weiner should not run, voters say 49 - 38 percent. On April 19, 44 percent said he should not run and 41 percent said he should run. Today, women say 52 - 35 percent Weiner should not run. Men say 46 - 43 percent he should not run.

"Should Kelly run? A slim yes. Should Weiner run? More, especially women, say no," Carroll said. "Weiner has been at 15 percent two polls in a row. Can he get to 16 percent?"

Looking at how issues affect support for mayoral candidates, 45 percent of voters are more likely to support someone who would create a Police Department inspector general, while 18 percent are less likely and 32 percent say it won't affect their vote. On other issues:
  • Continuing Mayor Michael Bloomberg's public health initiatives: 36 percent more likely, 23 percent less likely, 36 percent no difference;
  • Keep Kelly as Police Commissioner: 39 percent more likely, 19 percent less likely, 39 percent no difference;
  • Continue "stop and frisk:" 29 percent more likely, 37 percent less likely, 30 percent no difference;
  • Continue mayoral control of public schools: 32 percent more likely, 27 percent less likely, 34 percent no difference;
  • Raise taxes on the wealthy: 56 percent more likely, 15 percent less likely, 26 percent no difference;
  • Encourage increased use of bicycles: 30 percent more likely, 20 percent less likely, 48 percent no difference;
"Will there be a Bloomberg legacy? More voters than not like a candidate who would keep the public health initiatives and mayoral control of the school," Carroll said. "One thing voters like that is not part of Mayor Michael Bloomberg's legacy is raising taxes on rich folks."

From May 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,082 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 701 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..................
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Liu                   6%     4%     8%     3%     8%     5%
Quinn                25     23     26     31     14     25
Thompson             10     14      8     10     13      8
de Blasio            10     10     10     13     11      4
Weiner               15     17     13     11     20     14
Albanese              2      3      1      5      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2      1      1      5
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      3      4      2      1
DK/NA                27     23     30     21     31     38
 
TREND: (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote? (Data from May 2012 available upon request)
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..................................
                     May 22  Apr 19  Apr 10  Feb 27  Jan 16  Nov 21  Aug 15
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2012
 
Liu                   6       9       7       9       9       5       9
Quinn                25      28      32      37      35      32      29
Thompson             10      10      13      11      10      10      10
de Blasio            10      11      14      14      11       9       9
Weiner               15      15      na      na      na      na      na
Albanese              2      na      na      na      na      na      na
Stringer             na      na      na      na      na       4       4
Allon                na      na      na      na      na      na       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       2       -       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3       2       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                27      24      30      27      31      37      34
 
 
2. If Joseph Lhota is the Republican candidate for Mayor, would you be more likely to vote for Lhota or for the Democratic candidate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Lhota                13%    48%     3%    22%    15%    10%    21%     3%    10%
Democrat             61     12     84     36     56     66     51     78     68
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  7     13      3      9      6      7      9      4      3
DK/NA                20     28     10     33     22     17     20     15     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Lhota                12%    13%    11%    13%    15%    11%    12%    15%
Democrat             63     60     63     62     62     64     61     62
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  6      7      7      4      5      5      7      6
DK/NA                19     20     19     20     17     20     20     17
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Lhota                 8%    15%    11%    12%    21%
Democrat             64     56     70     61     51
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  9      5      4      7     11
DK/NA                19     24     15     19     17
 
TREND: If Joseph Lhota is the Republican candidate for Mayor, would you be more likely to vote for Lhota or for the Democratic candidate? (* If MTA head Joseph Lhota runs for mayor as a Republican)
                     May 22  Nov 21
                     2013    2012*
 
Lhota                13       9
Democrat             61      60
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  7       7
DK/NA                20      23
 
 
3. How likely are you to vote for Adolfo Carrion for Mayor, who is running as the Independence Party candidate; do you think you will definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Definitely            1%     1%     2%     -      1%     1%     1%     -      6%
Probably             11     10     11     13     11     12      5     15     22
Probably not         36     35     37     37     37     36     36     40     36
Definitely not       33     35     37     26     33     33     40     28     25
DK/NA                18     19     12     24     19     18     19     17     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Definitely            1%     2%     3%     1%     1%     1%     2%     1%
Probably              7     15     19      7      3     18     11      9
Probably not         38     35     31     43     40     49     35     30
Definitely not       39     29     29     36     42     20     33     41
DK/NA                16     20     20     14     14     11     18     19
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Definitely            4%     -      -      3%     -
Probably             17     10      9     10     14
Probably not         36     37     37     33     41
Definitely not       26     32     39     36     24
DK/NA                18     20     14     18     21
 
 
4. If Ray Kelly runs for Mayor as an independent candidate, how likely are you to vote for him; do you think you will definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Definitely           10%    24%     6%    15%     9%    11%    14%     6%     5%
Probably             22     38     17     30     24     21     22     22     26
Probably not         29     18     33     24     27     31     26     28     36
Definitely not       27     11     32     20     29     25     26     36     20
DK/NA                12     10     12     11     12     12     11      9     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Definitely            7%    12%    11%    10%     8%     3%    10%    15%
Probably             19     25     26     21     16     28     19     23
Probably not         31     27     26     32     32     42     29     22
Definitely not       32     22     24     28     33     17     31     27
DK/NA                11     13     12      9     11      9     12     13
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Definitely           15%    11%     6%     8%    17%
Probably             21     26     18     23     23
Probably not         27     28     32     26     36
Definitely not       26     27     30     28     12
DK/NA                11      9     14     15     12
 
 
5. Do you think Anthony Weiner should or should not run for Mayor this year?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Should run           38%    23%    41%    37%    43%    35%    32%    44%    42%
Should not           49     71     44     57     46     52     61     38     41
DK/NA                12      5     14      6     11     13      8     18     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Should run           36%    40%    41%    37%    41%    45%    42%    32%
Should not           55     45     44     55     54     42     49     55
DK/NA                 9     14     15      8      6     13      9     13
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Should run           40%    33%    39%    45%    33%
Should not           43     56     51     41     60
DK/NA                17     11     10     14      7
 
TREND: Do you think Anthony Weiner should or should not run for Mayor this year?
                     May 22  Apr 19
                     2013    2013  
 
Should run           38      41  
Should not           49      44   
DK/NA                12      15
 
 
6. Do you think Ray Kelly should or should not run for Mayor this year?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Should run           45%    66%    36%    56%    45%    44%    51%    29%    53%
Should not           38     25     44     31     39     38     34     49     32
DK/NA                17      9     20     13     16     18     16     22     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Should run           42%    47%    46%    46%    42%    52%    42%    43%
Should not           41     36     38     38     45     32     43     38
DK/NA                17     17     16     15     13     16     14     19
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Should run           40%    44%    39%    51%    59%
Should not           46     36     42     36     29
DK/NA                15     21     19     13     12
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              68%    87%    63%    74%    73%    65%    77%    51%    71%
Disapprove           23     10     28     21     22     25     16     37     21
DK/NA                 8      2     10      5      6     11      7     12      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              68%    69%    66%    73%    67%    70%    68%    71%
Disapprove           24     23     26     21     24     22     26     20
DK/NA                 8      8      8      6      9      8      6      9
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Approve              64%    64%    66%    74%    82%
Disapprove           25     24     27     21     16
DK/NA                11     12      7      5      2
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 22  Apr 11  Feb 28  Jan 17  Nov 21  Jan 17  Jan 16
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2013    2007
 
Approve              68      65      66      75      68      75      52
Disapprove           23      25      26      18      23      18      34
DK/NA                 8      10       9       8       9       8      14
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dennis Walcott is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              39%    38%    41%    34%    40%    38%    34%    41%    49%
Disapprove           37     38     38     38     33     41     37     39     34
DK/NA                24     24     21     28     27     22     29     20     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              34%    42%    41%    36%    41%    36%    43%    38%
Disapprove           39     36     38     39     36     40     38     37
DK/NA                27     21     21     24     23     25     19     25
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Approve              36%    33%    41%    46%    36%
Disapprove           43     39     32     36     43
DK/NA                21     28     27     18     22
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dennis Walcott is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 22  Apr 11  Feb 28  Jan 17  Nov 21  Jan 17  May 11
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2013    2011
 
Approve              39      39      41      45      42      45      31
Disapprove           37      37      38      34      33      34      21
DK/NA                24      24      21      22      25      22      48
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              47%    41%    52%    39%    47%    47%    44%    57%    47%
Disapprove           20     25     15     29     21     19     21     17     20
DK/NA                33     34     33     32     32     34     35     26     33
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              45%    48%    49%    48%    47%    49%    49%    44%
Disapprove           19     21     23     20     16     18     19     23
DK/NA                36     31     29     32     37     33     32     33
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Approve              46%    52%    47%    43%    41%
Disapprove           22     22     17     19     24
DK/NA                33     27     36     38     34
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? (*High also 50% Feb 2013)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 22  Apr 10  Feb 27  Jan 16  Nov 21  Apr 10  May 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2013*   2010
 
Approve              47      50      50      48      49      50      34
Disapprove           20      15      19      16      14      15      16
DK/NA                33      34      31      36      37      34      50
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              53%    35%    59%    50%    49%    57%    48%    57%    57%
Disapprove           30     50     25     38     33     28     39     25     22
DK/NA                16     16     16     12     18     15     14     18     21
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              55%    52%    57%    55%    50%    61%    57%    47%
Disapprove           31     30     27     30     38     18     30     39
DK/NA                13     18     16     15     11     21     13     14
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Approve              56%    52%    50%    54%    60%
Disapprove           26     29     34     31     31
DK/NA                18     19     15     15      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 22  Apr 10  Feb 27  Jan 16  Nov 21  Nov 21  Nov 25
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2008
 
Approve              53      59      60      64      65      65      40
Disapprove           30      22      24      18      18      18      29
DK/NA                16      19      16      18      18      18      31
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              44%    34%    48%    40%    42%    45%    35%    55%    46%
Disapprove           33     41     30     37     35     32     39     22     29
DK/NA                23     25     22     24     23     23     25     23     25
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              42%    45%    49%    43%    42%    44%    47%    42%
Disapprove           37     30     28     36     38     32     30     36
DK/NA                21     25     24     21     20     25     23     22
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
Approve              43%    44%    40%    47%    48%
Disapprove           39     30     33     34     28
DK/NA                18     26     27     19     23
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 22  Apr 10  Feb 27  Jan 16  Nov 21  May 11  Dec 15
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2011    2011
 
Approve              44      48      50      46      48      57      38
Disapprove           33      22      26      27      22      14      35
DK/NA                23      30      25      27      30      30      27
 
 
19. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing Mayor Bloomberg's public health initiatives, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          36%    30%    37%    38%    37%    34%    40%    28%    41%
Less likely          23     42     19     24     25     22     26     26     11
No difference        36     27     40     31     32     40     29     40     44
DK/NA                 5      1      4      7      6      4      5      7      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          43%    31%    33%    35%    47%    31%    40%    35%
Less likely          22     24     21     25     22     19     25     22
No difference        31     40     39     37     27     45     32     37
DK/NA                 4      6      6      3      3      5      2      6
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  SmokesQ14   HvKids<18
 
More likely          37%    28%    46%    38%    21%    29%           33%
Less likely          26     25     16     22     31     19            25
No difference        31     41     34     35     41     43            40
DK/NA                 5      6      4      4      7      9             3
 
TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports continuing Mayor Bloomberg's public health initiatives, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     May 22  Feb 28
                     2013    2013
 
More likely          36      36
Less likely          23      24
No difference        36      36
DK/NA                 5       4
 
 
20. If a candidate for Mayor supports - keeping Ray Kelly as Police Commissioner, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          39%    61%    32%    46%    42%    36%    49%    26%    35%
Less likely          19      6     21     19     19     19     12     31     15
No difference        39     32     44     32     37     41     36     39     48
DK/NA                 3      -      3      3      2      4      3      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          37%    40%    40%    37%    35%    24%    40%    47%
Less likely          20     18     21     15     21     15     22     19
No difference        39     40     35     45     42     57     36     30
DK/NA                 4      3      4      3      2      4      2      3
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
More likely          36%    40%    34%    42%    44%
Less likely          27     18     23     15      6
No difference        36     37     40     41     46
DK/NA                 2      5      3      2      3
 
TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports keeping Ray Kelly as Police Commissioner, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     May 22  Feb 28
                     2013    2013
 
More likely          39      32
Less likely          19      21
No difference        39      46
DK/NA                 3       2
 
 
21. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing the Police Department's 'Stop and Frisk' policy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          29%    65%    21%    36%    31%    28%    40%    18%    24%
Less likely          37     10     46     27     35     39     27     54     38
No difference        30     22     30     35     31     29     30     26     33
DK/NA                 4      2      3      3      4      4      3      2      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          28%    30%    28%    28%    29%    17%    30%    36%
Less likely          40     35     39     39     38     41     39     33
No difference        29     30     30     30     31     40     29     26
DK/NA                 3      5      4      3      2      1      2      5
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
More likely          36%    29%    25%    27%    37%
Less likely          30     42     39     37     27
No difference        28     27     33     31     34
DK/NA                 6      3      4      5      3
 
TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports continuing the Police Department's 'Stop and Frisk' Policy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     May 22  Feb 28
                     2013    2013
 
More likely          29      22
Less likely          37      44
No difference        30      31
DK/NA                 4       3
 
 
22. If a candidate for Mayor supports - a ban on supersized sodas and sugary drinks, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          19%    17%    20%    19%    20%    19%    18%    19%    24%
Less likely          33     50     29     35     34     32     38     36     24
No difference        46     33     50     46     44     47     43     42     51
DK/NA                 2      1      1      -      1      2      1      2      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          21%    18%    22%    14%    21%    16%    23%    17%
Less likely          29     37     35     34     31     32     34     33
No difference        48     44     41     51     48     50     42     48
DK/NA                 2      2      1      2      1      1      1      2
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HvKids<18
 
More likely          15%    19%    27%    18%     7%    17%
Less likely          36     34     25     35     45     36
No difference        47     46     46     45     46     46
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      1      -
 
TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports a ban on supersized sodas and sugary drinks, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     May 22  Feb 28
                     2013    2013
 
More likely          19      21
Less likely          33      29
No difference        46      48
DK/NA                 2       2
 
 
23. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing Mayoral control of public schools, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          32%    35%    33%    30%    34%    31%    32%    33%    38%
Less likely          27     25     28     28     22     32     24     38     24
No difference        34     38     33     37     39     31     39     24     34
DK/NA                 6      2      6      4      5      7      6      4      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          32%    33%    35%    32%    29%    30%    35%    32%
Less likely          29     26     27     28     27     24     28     30
No difference        33     36     33     35     39     42     35     30
DK/NA                 6      6      5      5      5      4      2      8
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HvKids<18
 
More likely          37%    31%    34%    34%    20%    35%
Less likely          28     30     23     28     29     23
No difference        30     35     35     33     43     39
DK/NA                 6      4      8      5      8      4
 
 
24. If a candidate for Mayor supports - raising taxes on the wealthy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          56%    20%    69%    45%    53%    58%    51%    67%    60%
Less likely          15     49      6     21     16     15     22      9      8
No difference        26     29     23     31     28     24     24     22     29
DK/NA                 3      1      2      2      4      2      3      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          55%    56%    66%    53%    48%    61%    55%    54%
Less likely          16     15     10     16     20     11     17     17
No difference        26     25     22     29     28     25     26     27
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      3      3      1      3
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
More likely          61%    51%    61%    55%    51%
Less likely           9     17     15     16     19
No difference        28     28     21     25     28
DK/NA                 2      3      3      4      2
 
TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports raising taxes on the wealthy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     May 22  Feb 27
                     2013    2013
 
More likely          56      55
Less likely          15      17
No difference        26      26
DK/NA                 3       2
 
 
25. If a candidate for Mayor supports - creating the position of inspector general to independently monitor the Police Department, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          45%    26%    49%    46%    49%    42%    35%    61%    46%
Less likely          18     38     14     23     19     16     26      8     16
No difference        32     33     34     28     27     37     35     28     35
DK/NA                 5      4      4      4      5      5      3      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          43%    46%    52%    45%    41%    52%    48%    39%
Less likely          18     18     15     14     21      7     17     25
No difference        35     30     28     37     34     39     30     31
DK/NA                 4      5      4      4      5      2      5      5
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
More likely          50%    49%    44%    40%    36%
Less likely          18     18     15     18     20
No difference        25     26     37     37     39
DK/NA                 8      6      3      4      5
 
 
26. If a candidate for Mayor supports - encouraging increased use of bicycles, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          30%    21%    31%    29%    35%    25%    30%    25%    36%
Less likely          20     22     20     18     19     20     22     20     15
No difference        48     54     46     52     44     52     47     53     48
DK/NA                 2      3      2      1      2      3      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          36%    26%    30%    23%    38%    34%    32%    26%
Less likely          17     22     23     18     18      9     19     27
No difference        47     49     44     58     43     53     49     45
DK/NA                 1      4      3      1      2      3      -      2
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl
 
More likely          23%    29%    41%    28%    16%
Less likely          20     23     14     20     22
No difference        53     47     43     49     53
DK/NA                 4      1      2      3      9
 
 

Demographic Summary