March 31, 2004 - Bloomberg Back On Top For First Time In Over A Year, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Outer Boroughs Want More Love From Mayor
New York City voters approve 47 - 41 percent of the job Mayor Michael Bloomberg is doing, giving him his first positive approval rating since a 48 - 41 percent score in February, 2003, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is up from a negative 31 - 60 percent approval in July and a split 44 - 45 percent approval rating in a February 4 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In this current survey, white voters approve 56 - 32 percent, as black voters disapprove 48 - 38 percent and Hispanic voters disapprove 49 - 41 percent.

Bloomberg's approval rating ranges from 59 - 30 percent in Manhattan to:
  • 47 - 38 percent in Brooklyn;
  • 46 - 41 percent in Staten Island;
  • A 44 - 45 percent split in Queens;
  • A negative 34 - 54 percent in The Bronx.
Voters say 65 - 31 percent that Bloomberg has strong leadership qualities, but feel 56 - 37 percent that he is not in touch with the problems ordinary New Yorkers face.

"Mayor Bloomberg has gone from a 2 -1 negative rating to a positive score in eight months. New Yorkers are impressed with his leadership ability, but voters still don't think the Mayor understands their needs and problems," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"A little more love, especially in the BBQS - Brooklyn, The Bronx, Queens and Staten Island - might help Mayor Mike connect better with New Yorkers," Carroll added. "Last Thanksgiving, New Yorkers didn't want to have dinner with the Mayor. But at this rate, they might be saying, 'Bon Appetit!'"

In every measure of the Mayor, Manhattan voters are more favorable than voters in the other boroughs. Voters say 52 - 35 percent that Bloomberg favors Manhattan over the other boroughs.

Looking at next year's mayoral campaign, Fernando Ferrer beats the Mayor 45 - 41 percent in a head-to-head race. Bloomberg has a narrow lead over most other possible challengers:
  • 41 - 38 percent over Council Speaker Gifford Miller;
  • 41 - 38 percent over Comptroller William Thompson;
  • 41 - 39 percent over Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields;
  • 41 - 34 percent over Council member Charles Barron;
  • 40 - 36 percent over U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner.
"The Mayor has a base of about 40 percent who stay with him against any candidate. And there's about 37 percent who vote for anybody against Bloomberg," Carroll said.

Voters split 45 - 46 percent on whether they want Bloomberg to run for a second term. Among those who want him to run again, 19 percent say he should run as a Democrat, while 14 percent say he should run as a Republican and 66 percent say it makes no difference.

Police Commissioner Ray Kelly has a 67 - 16 percent approval, with white voter approval at 73 - 10 percent, black voter approval at 61 - 24 percent and Hispanic voter approval at 64 - 26 percent.

From March 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,159 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                  App   Dis   DK/NA


Mar 31, 2004 47 41 12 Feb 3, 2004 44 45 11 Nov 25, 2003 37 51 13 Oct 22, 2003 42 47 12 Sep 9, 2003 38 52 11 Jul 2, 2003 31 60 8 May 7, 2003 32 56 12 Feb 26, 2003 48 41 11 Nov 21, 2002 41 46 13 Jul 18, 2002 57 23 19 Mar 27, 2002 62 16 22 Feb 6, 2002 65 6 29



TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                  Very  Smwht Smwht Very
                  sat   sat   dis   dis   DK/NA


Mar 31, 2004 9 48 26 16 1 Feb 3, 2004 8 47 27 18 1 Nov 25, 2003 5 40 30 24 1 Oct 22, 2003 8 43 31 18 1 Sep 9, 2003 5 37 32 25 2 Jul 2, 2003 7 23 32 38 1 May 7, 2003 3 30 34 31 2 Feb 28, 2003 6 43 32 17 2 Nov 21, 2002 5 39 34 20 2 Jul 18, 2002 9 55 24 9 3 Mar 28, 2002 15 56 19 7 2 Aug 2, 2000 20 46 22 11 1 Jun 15, 2000 20 46 22 10 2 Apr 19, 2000 18 45 20 17 1 Apr 8, 1999 16 47 25 12 1 Feb 17, 1999 17 46 22 14 1 Nov 18, 1998 23 51 17 8 1 Feb 11, 1998 18 58 18 5 1 Oct 29, 1997 12 58 19 10 1 Oct 1, 1997 15 53 22 9 1 Mar 27, 1997 11 54 22 12 1 Feb 11, 1997 11 54 24 11 1 Nov 19, 1996 8 53 25 13 1



TREND: Would you say that Michael Bloomberg is honest and trustworthy or not?
                                        
                  Yes   No    DK/NA           


Mar 31, 2004 61 29 10 Feb 4, 2004 63 28 9 Sep 9, 2003 60 29 11 Jul 2, 2003 57 34 9 May 7, 2003 57 30 13 Oct 24, 2001 59 13 28



TREND: Would you say that Michael Bloomberg cares about the needs and problems of people like you, or not?
                                
                  Yes   No    DK/NA           


Mar 31, 2004 42 50 8 Feb 4, 2004 42 51 7 May 7, 2003 33 60 7 Feb 26, 2003 41 53 6 Oct 24, 2001 47 29 24

TREND: Would you say that Michael Bloomberg has strong leadership qualities or not?

                  Yes   No    DK/NA           


Mar 31, 2004 65 31 5 Feb 4, 2004 60 34 5 Sep 9, 2003 48 45 7 Jul 2, 2003 53 42 5 May 7, 2003 61 35 5 Feb 26, 2003 57 38 5 Oct 24, 2001 73 12 15
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 47% 57% 43% 54% 56% 38% 41% 54% 42% Disapprove 41 33 44 36 32 48 49 35 45 DK/NA 12 11 13 9 12 14 10 10 14

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Approve 34% 47% 59% 44% 46% 41% Disapprove 54 38 30 45 41 49 DK/NA 12 16 11 10 13 10



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 29% 75% 16% 29% 34% 18% 32% 33% 26% Disapprove 66 18 79 65 61 74 62 62 68 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 5 8 5 4 6

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Approve 31% 28% 20% 30% 52% 29% Disapprove 64 64 75 65 44 66 DK/NA 5 8 5 5 4 4



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 67% 73% 68% 65% 73% 61% 64% 70% 65% Disapprove 16 14 18 14 10 24 26 16 16 DK/NA 17 13 15 20 17 15 10 13 19

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Approve 59% 66% 71% 68% 73% 62% Disapprove 23 16 12 17 11 23 DK/NA 17 18 17 15 16 15



5. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were -- Gifford Miller the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Gifford Miller 38% 20% 48% 26% 30% 47% 48% 35% 41% Michael Bloomberg 41 65 33 47 48 33 38 49 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 1 2 2 2 DK/NA 17 11 15 21 18 16 11 12 20

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Gifford Miller 49% 36% 37% 37% 30% 43% Michael Bloomberg 36 37 47 43 43 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 - 2 DK/NA 11 22 13 15 26 17



6. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were -- Fernando Ferrer the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Fernando Ferrer 45% 25% 55% 35% 31% 60% 62% 41% 48% Michael Bloomberg 41 66 32 49 54 27 30 50 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 DK/NA 11 8 10 12 12 11 6 6 14

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Fernando Ferrer 66% 45% 38% 42% 33% 55% Michael Bloomberg 26 39 51 42 48 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 2 2 2 - 2 DK/NA 7 13 8 12 18 7



7. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were -- William Thompson the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


William Thompson 38% 18% 49% 24% 25% 55% 47% 32% 42% Michael Bloomberg 41 68 32 48 50 27 37 50 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 2 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 18 11 17 21 21 15 13 15 20

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

William Thompson 52% 41% 28% 34% 34% 43% Michael Bloomberg 31 35 50 45 38 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 1 2 DK/NA 15 19 18 17 26 15



8. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were -- C. Virginia Fields the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


C. Virginia Fields 39% 18% 49% 28% 25% 57% 48% 32% 44% Michael Bloomberg 41 66 32 49 51 29 36 51 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 1 2 3 2 DK/NA 16 13 15 18 19 10 13 13 19

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

C. Virginia Fields 52% 40% 35% 35% 30% 46% Michael Bloomberg 33 36 50 44 45 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 2 - 3 DK/NA 12 19 12 18 24 13



9. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were -- Charles Barron the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Charles Barron 34% 16% 45% 24% 21% 53% 47% 29% 38% Michael Bloomberg 41 65 33 48 52 28 36 51 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 3 2 DK/NA 20 15 19 23 22 17 14 15 24

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Charles Barron 50% 37% 24% 33% 30% 41% Michael Bloomberg 34 37 51 42 40 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 - 2 DK/NA 13 21 21 21 29 17



10. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were -- Anthony Weiner the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Anthony Weiner 36% 18% 47% 25% 26% 46% 50% 33% 39% Michael Bloomberg 40 65 31 46 49 33 33 48 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 2 1 1 2 2 DK/NA 20 13 18 25 21 18 14 15 24

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Anthony Weiner 48% 39% 29% 36% 21% 43% Michael Bloomberg 34 33 48 42 41 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 1 - 1 DK/NA 14 23 19 18 37 17



11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very satisfied 9% 18% 6% 10% 11% 3% 9% 11% 7% Smwht satisfied 48 49 47 51 56 39 40 54 44 Smwht dissatisfied 26 23 29 22 23 32 27 24 28 Very dissatisfied 16 9 17 16 8 24 25 11 20 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - 1

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Very satisfied 3% 9% 12% 9% 6% 7% Smwht satisfied 41 46 57 48 49 47 Smwht dissatisfied 31 26 22 25 34 27 Very dissatisfied 25 18 9 17 11 17 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - 1



12. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg has strong leadership qualities or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 65% 71% 62% 70% 71% 63% 58% 68% 62% No 31 24 33 27 24 32 37 29 32 DK/NA 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 3 6

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Yes 58% 66% 71% 63% 62% 63% No 38 29 26 32 34 33 DK/NA 4 5 4 5 5 4



13. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 42% 53% 38% 47% 53% 27% 34% 48% 38% No 50 38 55 46 39 65 58 46 53 DK/NA 8 10 7 8 8 8 8 6 9

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Yes 30% 37% 57% 41% 41% 32% No 62 53 38 50 49 61 DK/NA 8 10 5 9 9 7



14. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 61% 71% 58% 61% 76% 48% 47% 69% 55% No 29 21 32 30 17 38 41 24 33 DK/NA 10 8 10 9 6 14 12 7 11

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Yes 47% 60% 74% 58% 63% 53% No 40 29 21 31 27 38 DK/NA 13 11 4 11 10 9



15. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg is in touch with the problems ordinary New Yorkers face or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 37% 49% 33% 38% 44% 32% 31% 40% 34% No 56 43 60 58 50 61 62 55 57 DK/NA 7 7 7 5 7 8 7 6 9

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Yes 31% 37% 42% 34% 39% 30% No 65 55 51 58 54 64 DK/NA 4 8 8 8 6 6



16. Would you like to see Mayor Bloomberg run for re-election or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 45% 56% 39% 55% 57% 31% 41% 54% 39% No 46 36 53 38 34 63 54 39 52 DK/NA 8 8 8 8 9 7 5 6 9

Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Yes 34% 43% 57% 45% 50% 41% No 61 47 37 48 40 54 DK/NA 6 11 7 7 11 5



17. (If "yes" q16) Would you like to see him run as a Democrat or as a Republican, or doesn't it make a difference?

(*Note: For Black subgroup number of respondents is 75 or less. Additional caution should be taken when interpreting the findings of this subgroup because of the larger margin of error.)

                        RESPONDED "YES" ON Q16.............................
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk*  Hisp  Men   Wom


Democrat 19% 3% 34% 4% 17% 22% 25% 18% 20% Republican 14 46 6 6 17 7 15 16 13 No difference 66 51 59 88 65 71 57 65 66 DK/NA 1 - 1 2 1 - 2 1 1



18. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg favors Manhattan over the outer boroughs or gives all areas of the city equal attention?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Favors Manhattan 52% 41% 55% 54% 44% 61% 59% 51% 53% Equal attention 35 47 31 33 38 29 30 36 34 DK/NA 13 12 13 13 17 10 11 13 13



Union Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HsHold

Favors Manhattan 64% 57% 38% 53% 48% 56% Equal attention 28 31 40 36 42 35 DK/NA 8 13 21 11 9 9