July 18, 2002 - Bloomberg Almost Even With Giuliani, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Expect Mayor Will Improve Schools
Just six months into his term, Mayor Bloomberg has moved from a virtual unknown among New York City voters to a near-tie with former Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Asked who they would like to see elected Mayor in 2005, 40 percent of New York City voters said Giuliani, while 36 percent chose Bloomberg; 11 percent want neither and 12 percent are undecided.

Voters approve 57 - 23 percent of the job Bloomberg is doing, compared to 62 - 16 percent in a March 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

By a 64 - 23 percent margin, voters expect Bloomberg to make "substantial progress" in improving public schools in the next three years.

Bloomberg's handling of the public schools will be "very important" in deciding how they vote in the 2005 mayoral election, 51 percent of New Yorkers say, while 32 percent say it will be "somewhat important."

"New Yorkers to Mayor Mike: Good luck with the public schools. We think you'll keep your promise to fix the problem, but we'll be keeping a close eye on you," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Giuliani remains the hero of September 11, 'America's Mayor.' One way to measure our new Mayor after his first six months is to ask voters to compare him to Giuliani," Carroll said. "The new guy seems to be holding his own."

In an open-ended question, where voters can give any answer, 21 percent of New Yorkers list education as the most important problem facing the city, the highest this issues has scored in eight years of Quinnipiac University polling in New York City. Another 29 percent list the economy as the most important problem.

Only 16 percent of New Yorkers are satisfied with public schools citywide, while 71 percent are not satisfied. Looking at their neighborhood schools, 33 percent are satisfied, while 50 percent are not satisfied.

Asked to decide what measure would help improve public schools:
  • 74 percent say reducing class size would be very effective;
  • 72 percent say requiring teachers to pass a competency test would be very effective;
  • 65 percent say higher pay for teachers who perform well would be very effective;
  • 56 percent say spending more for schools would be very effective;
  • 54 percent say requiring standardized tests for promotions would be very effective;
  • 47 percent say weekend classes for struggling students would be very effective;
  • 46 percent say higher pay for all teachers would be very effective;
  • 26 percent say increasing the school day would be very effective;
  • 24 percent say increasing the school year would be very effective.
"Favorite item on a menu of suggestions to improve the schools - it's hardly a surprise - reduce the class size," Carroll said. "Least favorite items are longer school days or a longer school year. New Yorkers probably don't want more of a bad thing.

"That 71 percent dissatisfaction with public schools has been consistent in Quinnipiac University polls for years. That's one benchmark to watch now that Mayor Bloomberg has control of the schools."

From July 8 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 932 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 57% 63% 56% 57% 67% 50% 51% 63% 53% Disapprove 23 22 24 22 18 31 25 21 25 DK/NA 19 15 19 21 16 19 24 16 22

2. Who would you rather see elected Mayor in 2005 Rudolph Giuliani or Michael Bloomberg?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Giuliani 40% 67% 34% 42% 45% 23% 50% 42% 40% Bloomberg 36 22 40 37 35 48 29 38 35

NEITHER(VOL) 11 3 14 10 7 18 12 11 11 DK/NA 12 8 12 11 13 11 9 9 14

3. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very satisfied 9% 14% 9% 6% 12% 5% 11% 10% 9% Smwht satisfied 55 63 53 57 61 53 41 61 50 Smwht dissatisfied 24 14 27 22 20 28 32 18 28 Very dissatisfied 9 7 8 12 3 13 13 8 10 DK/NA 3 3 2 2 4 2 3 3 2



4. What do you think is the most important problem facing New York City today?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Crime total: 10% 11% 8% 9% 6% 12% 16% 7% 11% Crime/Violence general 8 10 6 7 6 9 12 6 9 Youth crime/ Violence/Gangs 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 Drugs 1 1 1 1 - 2 3 1 1

Police total: 2% 2% 1% 1% - 2% 2% 2% 1% Police brutality/ Racism 1 1 1 - - 1 2 1 1 Police other 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 -

Budget/Spending total: 6% 8% 6% 9% 9% 4% 5% 10% 4% Budget general 5 5 5 7 7 3 4 7 4 Budget deficits 1 3 1 2 2 1 1 3 -

Economy total: 29% 26% 29% 31% 29% 23% 27% 31% 25% Economy general 13 16 11 18 17 4 11 16 10 Unemployment/jobs 13 8 15 10 8 17 15 12 13 Stock market 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 Cost of living 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 - Economy other 1 1 1 2 2 - 1 1 1

Rebuilding NYC/ Recovering from 9/11 1 2 1 - 2 1 2 1 2 Rebuilding WTC/Lower Manhattan 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 1 1

Poverty/Homelessness 1 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 1

Housing total: 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% Housing general 1 1 1 2 2 2 - 2 1 Housing Costs/ Availability 2 - 2 2 1 1 2 1 2

Racism/Race relations 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1

Healthcare/Costs/ Insurance/HMO's 1 1 1 - - 1 - 1 -

Education total: 21% 15% 23% 19% 18% 25% 20% 18% 23% Education general 18 13 20 18 16 20 16 17 20 Funding education 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 Education other 2 1 2 1 1 4 3 1 2

Environment/Pollution 1 1 - 2 1 - - 1 - Transportation 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 Immigration 1 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 1

Taxes general 1 5 1 1 2 1 1 1 2

Terrorism total: 8% 9% 9% 7% 9% 6% 12% 6% 9% Terrorism general 5 6 5 4 5 4 9 4 5 Security/Safety 3 3 4 3 4 2 3 2 4

Other 5 6 4 5 6 5 2 6 4 DK/NA 4 3 5 3 4 5 5 5 4



7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Bloomberg is handling the public schools?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 46% 56% 43% 47% 57% 33% 39% 52% 41% Disapprove 24 16 26 24 13 36 30 18 29 DK/NA 30 28 31 29 30 31 31 30 30

17. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Satisfied 16% 27% 14% 14% 16% 12% 21% 19% 13% Not satisfied 71 62 74 70 67 81 66 68 74 DK/NA 13 11 11 17 17 7 13 13 13

18. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Satisfied 33% 48% 29% 35% 42% 18% 35% 35% 32% Not satisfied 50 35 55 47 35 73 49 48 52 DK/NA 17 16 16 18 24 9 16 18 16

19. During the next three years, do you expect Mayor Bloomberg to make substantial progress or not in improving the quality of education in the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 64% 69% 64% 62% 64% 68% 71% 61% 66% No 23 22 23 28 23 20 18 25 22 DK/NA 13 9 13 10 12 13 11 14 12

20. How important will Mayor Bloomberg's handling of the public schools be to you in deciding how to vote in the 2005 election for Mayor -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very important 51% 47% 56% 42% 40% 63% 61% 44% 57% Smwht important 32 31 31 38 38 27 27 39 27 Not too important 8 12 7 9 14 4 2 10 7 Not important at all 5 8 4 7 7 2 4 5 6 DK/NA 3 1 2 3 1 4 6 2 4



32. Would Providing weekend classes for academically struggling students be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 47% 42% 50% 40% 39% 58% 55% 43% 50% Smwht effective 30 31 28 36 34 27 24 34 27 Not too effective 12 16 10 14 15 8 7 13 11 Not effective at all 9 9 9 7 9 5 11 8 9 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 3

33. Would spending more money on schools be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 56% 38% 64% 51% 48% 69% 59% 50% 62% Smwht effective 25 31 24 27 27 22 25 26 24 Not too effective 9 14 5 13 12 4 6 10 8 Not effective at all 7 16 4 6 9 2 6 11 4 DK/NA 4 2 3 2 3 3 3 4 4

34. Would increasing the length of the school day be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 26% 29% 28% 20% 22% 32% 35% 24% 28% Smwht effective 31 31 28 39 34 27 27 33 30 Not too effective 20 18 21 20 19 21 22 21 20 Not effective at all 19 18 20 16 21 18 12 18 19 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 4 3 4 4 4

32. Would increasing the length of the school year be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 24% 28% 24% 21% 21% 30% 29% 25% 23% Smwht effective 31 29 29 36 33 29 28 32 30 Not too effective 20 17 21 22 18 20 22 20 20 Not effective at all 22 24 23 18 24 18 20 21 23 DK/NA 3 2 2 3 4 3 1 3 3

35. Would reducing class sizes be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 74% 62% 77% 75% 72% 82% 69% 66% 79% Smwht effective 17 24 16 16 20 11 16 22 13 Not too effective 3 5 3 1 3 2 4 3 3 Not effective at all 4 8 3 4 3 2 9 6 3 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 2 3 1 2 2

36. Would increasing pay for teachers who demonstrate high performance be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 65% 67% 66% 60% 61% 73% 69% 61% 67% Smwht effective 23 21 24 26 26 20 20 27 20 Not too effective 6 6 5 7 6 2 5 6 5 Not effective at all 4 5 4 5 6 2 3 4 5 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 2 2

37. Would increasing pay for all teachers be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 46% 35% 50% 42% 39% 59% 45% 39% 51% Smwht effective 33 28 32 35 35 28 33 37 29 Not too effective 12 22 8 13 13 6 12 13 11 Not effective at all 8 11 7 8 10 4 7 8 7 DK/NA 3 4 2 2 3 2 4 4 2

38. Would requiring students to pass standardized tests in order to move on to the next grade be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 54% 65% 52% 50% 50% 55% 63% 56% 53% Smwht effective 27 28 28 28 32 23 21 27 27 Not too effective 10 5 11 13 11 12 9 10 11 Not effective at all 6 1 7 8 5 7 3 4 7 DK/NA 3 2 3 1 2 3 4 3 2

39. Would requiring teachers to pass a competency test be very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all in improving the public schools in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very effective 72% 81% 72% 65% 69% 80% 72% 69% 74% Smwht effective 18 14 18 26 22 12 17 19 18 Not too effective 4 1 4 5 4 5 4 5 3 Not effective at all 3 4 3 3 2 - 3 4 2 DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 2 4 3 3

29a. Mayor Bloomberg has proposed moving the Board of Education into the Tweed Court House behind City Hall. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Good idea 41% 58% 40% 38% 42% 39% 47% 42% 40% Bad idea 26 14 28 31 22 29 28 26 26 DK/NA 33 28 32 31 35 32 26 31 34