October 27, 2011 - Voters Back Wall St. Protesters, Millionaire's Tax, Quinnipiac University New York State Poll Finds; New Yorkers Divided On Natural Gas Drilling

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New York State voters agree 58 - 28 percent with the views of the Wall Street protesters, as 60 percent of voters understand the protesters' views "fairly well" or "very well," according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Voters also back the "Millionaire's Tax" more than 2-1, as even Republicans back the measure.

Agreement with the protesters is 74 - 12 percent among Democrats and 57 - 30 percent among independent voters, while Republicans disagree 53 - 32 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

A total of 63 percent of New York City voters understand the protesters "very well" or "fairly well" and agreement is 66 - 22 percent. Understanding is 58 percent among suburban voters, with agreement at 50 - 36 percent. Understanding is 56 percent among upstate voters with agreement at 54 - 30 percent.

By an overwhelming 82 - 13 percent, New York State voters say it's "OK that they are protesting." Republicans support the right to protest 71 - 22 percent, with strong agreement among all groups in all regions.

Extend the "Millionaire's Tax," New York State voters say 66 - 26 percent, with 57 - 34 percent support among Republicans and stronger support among other political, gender, racial, income, education, age and regional groups. Voters making more than $100,000 per year back the tax 66 - 28 percent.

"Most New Yorkers, even upstaters and suburban voters, say they get the Wall Street protesters' message," Carroll said. "And by 2-1, voters agree with the complaints about bankers and Wall Streeters," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Agree or not, four out of five voters endorse the protesters' right to protest."

"There's wide approval for the one specific message that's being heard Downtown - support for a continued state 'Millionaire's Tax,'" Carroll added.

New York State voters are divided on drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale as 44 percent support drilling because of the economic benefits while 43 percent oppose drilling because of environmental concerns.

Today's results compare to 47 - 42 percent support for drilling in an August 11 Quinnipiac University survey and 45 - 41 percent support September 21.

Today, Republicans support drilling 66 - 23 percent while Democrats oppose it 55 - 33 percent, with independent voters split 44 - 44 percent. Upstate voters split 45 - 45 percent and New York City voters are divided with 43 percent against drilling and 41 percent for drilling. Suburban voters support drilling 48 - 41 percent.

Voters agree 73 - 19 percent that drilling will create jobs and support 55 - 32 percent a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas. Republicans are divided on the tax 45 - 45 percent. New York State voters say 50 - 14 percent, with 35 percent undecided, that hydro- fracking will damage the environment.

"When it comes to natural gas drilling, some New Yorkers have been thinking green as in trees and some think green as in dollar bills," Carroll said. "Modest support for drilling in our first poll in August has given way to an evenly divided public opinion on what promises to be a hotly-debated issue. There is agreement on the arguments from both sides: Will it help the economy? Yes. Will it endanger the environment? Yes."

With a big upstate-downstate split, New York State voters oppose 51 - 42 percent providing additional state support for the Metropolitan Transportation Authority. New York City voters want more state aid 55 - 42 percent. Suburban voters oppose more aid 51 - 44 percent, and upstate voters say no 59 - 30 percent.

Keep the MTA payroll tax levied on city and suburban employers, 45 percent of voters statewide say, while 11 percent want to increase it; 9 percent want to decrease it and 24 percent want to eliminate it.

From October 18 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,540 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

18. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Drilling             44%    66%    33%    44%    50%    39%    46%    41%
No drilling          43     23     55     44     40     46     42     45
DK/NA                12     11     12     12      9     15     12     14
 
                                                               HEARD OF
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    FRACKING Q21
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Yes    No
 
Drilling             45%    41%    48%    38%    47%    41%    42%    47%
No drilling          45     43     41     49     40     50     50     36
DK/NA                10     16     11     12     14     10      8     17
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Drilling             44%    46%    46%    41%    44%    44%    44%    50%
No drilling          47     40     45     43     43     46     44     43
DK/NA                 8     14      9     16     12     10     12      7
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Oct 27  Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011    2011
 
Drilling             44      45      47
No drilling          43      41      42
DK/NA                12      13      12
 
 
19. Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              55%    45%    65%    55%    56%    54%    56%    58%
Oppose               32     45     22     32     33     32     33     33
DK/NA                13     10     13     13     10     15     12      9
 
                                                               HEARD OF
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    FRACKING Q21
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Yes    No
 
Support              55%    56%    53%    60%    50%    64%    61%    49%
Oppose               33     31     34     29     36     27     30     36
DK/NA                12     13     13     11     15      9      9     15
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Support              58%    57%    58%    49%    50%    58%    61%    63%
Oppose               34     32     31     32     34     33     30     27
DK/NA                 8     11     11     19     17      9      9      9
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale?
                     Oct 27  Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011    2011
 
Support              55      51      59
Oppose               32      36      29
DK/NA                13      12      12
 
 
20. Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create jobs or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  73%    82%    65%    74%    77%    69%    76%    65%
No                   19     11     24     18     18     19     16     26
DK/NA                 9      6     10      7      5     12      8      8
 
                                                               HEARD OF
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    FRACKING Q21
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Yes    No
 
Yes                  75%    70%    73%    71%    73%    73%    75%    71%
No                   18     20     17     21     18     20     19     19
DK/NA                 7     10     10      8      9      7      6     10
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  73%    70%    74%    73%    66%    79%    75%    76%
No                   17     24     19     15     21     19     17     20
DK/NA                10      6      6     12     12      2      8      5
 
TREND: Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create jobs or not?
                     Oct 27  Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011    2011
 
Yes                  73      74      75
No                   19      19      17
DK/NA                 9       7       8
 
 
21. Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  54%    62%    46%    59%    67%    43%    65%    22%
No                   44     37     52     40     31     56     34     77
DK/NA                 2      1      2      1      2      1      1      1
 
                                          Union  COL DEGREE
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes
 
Yes                  74%    39%    45%    59%    47%    65%
No                   25     59     53     40     51     34
DK/NA                 1      2      2      1      2      1
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  43%    56%    62%    54%    36%    59%    62%    65%
No                   57     43     37     43     62     41     36     34
DK/NA                 1      1      1      3      2      1      2      1
 
TREND: Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?
                     Oct 27  Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011    2011
 
Yes                  54      53      57
No                   44      46      42
DK/NA                 2       1       1
 
 
22. Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Will damage      50%    30%    60%    51%    46%    54%    48%    52%
No/Won't damage      14     26      7     15     21      9     16      7
Don't Know           35     44     32     33     32     38     35     41
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
 
                                                               HEARD OF
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    FRACKING Q21
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Yes    No
 
Yes/Will damage      49%    53%    46%    58%    47%    54%    55%    44%
No/Won't damage      18     10     16     13     15     14     21      7
Don't Know           32     37     37     29     37     31     23     49
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      1      1      -
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes/Will damage      49%    51%    51%    45%    50%    51%    52%    46%
No/Won't damage      15     16     16     12     13     12     16     20
Don't Know           35     33     32     43     36     35     31     34
REFUSED               2      -      -      -      1      2      -      -
 
TREND: Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know?
                     Oct 27  Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011    2011
 
Yes/Will damage      50      51      52
No/Won't damage      14      13      15
Don't Know           35      35      33
REFUSED               1       -       -
 
27. As you may know the MTA is the agency which provides rail and bus service in the New York Metropolitan area. Do you think the state government should provide additional funds to the MTA, or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  42%    29%    52%    41%    41%    44%    37%    61%
No                   51     64     42     51     52     50     55     39
DK/NA                 7      7      6      8      7      7      8      -
 
                                          Union  COL DEGREE
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes
 
Yes                  30%    55%    44%    39%    41%    45%
No                   59     42     51     55     53     47
DK/NA                11      3      6      6      6      8
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  48%    39%    43%    41%    51%    43%    38%    41%
No                   47     56     51     49     43     52     54     53
DK/NA                 5      5      6     10      6      5      7      7
 
TREND: As you may know the MTA is the agency which provides rail and bus service in the New York Metropolitan area. Do you think the state government should provide additional funds to the MTA, or not?
                     Oct 27  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Yes                  42      44
No                   51      48
DK/NA                 7       8
 
 
28. Currently, employers in New York City and the suburban areas served by the MTA pay a special tax to help the transit agency. Do you think that tax should be increased, remain the same, decreased, or eliminated?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Increased            11%     9%    15%     9%    12%    10%    12%    11%
Remain the same      45     44     48     44     42     47     44     51
Decreased             9      6      9     10      9      8      7     10
Eliminated           24     29     16     27     26     22     24     25
DK/NA                11     12     12     10     10     12     13      2
 
                                          Union  COL DEGREE
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes
 
Increased            15%    11%     6%    10%    10%    14%
Remain the same      45     46     44     46     45     45
Decreased             7     11      6      6     10      6
Eliminated           17     24     35     30     25     23
DK/NA                16      8      9      8     11     12
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Increased            11%     9%    13%    10%    11%    12%    10%    11%
Remain the same      51     48     41     44     42     53     46     46
Decreased            12      8      8      7     15      4      7      6
Eliminated           20     27     28     20     20     22     26     26
DK/NA                 6      8     10     18     12     10     10     11
 
TREND: Currently, employers in New York City and the suburban areas served by the MTA pay a special tax to help the transit agency. Do you think that tax should be increased, remain the same, decreased, or eliminated?
                     Oct 27  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Increased            11      13
Remain the same      45      42
Decreased             9      10
Eliminated           24      26
DK/NA                11       9
 
 
29. How closely have you been following news about the Wall Street protests - Would you say you have been following it very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very closely         24%    24%    21%    27%    31%    19%    23%    24%
Smwht closely        47     46     47     51     47     47     50     39
Not too closely      19     20     21     14     17     21     19     21
Not at all            9     10      9      8      6     12      8     16
DK/NA                 1      -      2      -      -      1      -      -
 
                                                               UNDRSTND OWS Q30
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    VryFrly
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Well   Not Well
 
Very closely         18%    28%    30%    27%    21%    31%    33%    12%
Smwht closely        47     44     50     48     44     51     55     35
Not too closely      25     17     14     18     22     14     10     32
Not at all           10     10      5      7     12      3      1     20
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      1      -      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Very closely         17%    22%    30%    27%    16%    22%    23%    36%
Smwht closely        46     46     48     45     42     49     52     47
Not too closely      19     21     18     19     28     19     17     14
Not at all           19     11      4      6     13     10      8      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -      3      1      -      -      -
 
 
30. How well do you feel you understand the views of the Wall Street protesters? Do you understand them very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very well            22%    17%    21%    25%    27%    17%    18%    26%
Fairly well          38     30     41     40     36     39     39     36
Not too well         21     25     24     16     19     23     20     24
Not well at all      18     26     13     18     15     20     20     14
DK/NA                 2      3      1      2      3      2      3      -
 
                                          Union  COL DEGREE
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes
 
Very well            15%    28%    23%    23%    19%    25%
Fairly well          41     35     35     40     34     44
Not too well         23     20     20     20     24     17
Not well at all      18     17     18     15     21     13
DK/NA                 2      1      4      1      3      1
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Very well            24%    21%    21%    18%    17%    17%    23%    29%
Fairly well          37     37     44     33     34     44     41     39
Not too well         17     21     20     26     29     14     20     15
Not well at all      20     20     13     20     18     23     15     15
DK/NA                 1      1      1      4      3      2      1      1
 
 
31. Regardless of how you feel about the Wall Street protests, do you generally agree or disagree with the protesters' views?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Agree                58%    32%    74%    57%    57%    58%    51%    80%
Disagree             28     53     12     30     34     23     33     13
DK/NA                14     15     14     13      9     19     15      6
 
                                                               UNDRSTND OWS Q30
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    VryFrly
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Well   Not Well
 
Agree                54%    66%    50%    62%    54%    63%    74%    34%
Disagree             30     22     36     27     29     26     22     37
DK/NA                16     12     15     12     16     10      4     29
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Agree                60%    59%    60%    52%    61%    58%    59%    59%
Disagree             25     29     29     31     23     29     29     34
DK/NA                16     12     11     17     16     13     13      7
 
 
32. And regardless of how you feel about the views of the Wall Street protesters, do you think it is OK that they are protesting, or do you think they should not be protesting?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
OK to protest        82%    71%    86%    84%    86%    77%    80%    88%
Shld not protest     13     22     10     12     10     16     15      8
DK/NA                 5      7      4      4      3      7      5      4
 
                                                               UNDRSTND OWS Q30
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    VryFrly
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Well   Not Well
 
OK to protest        82%    82%    80%    88%    77%    88%    90%    70%
Shld not protest     13     13     14     10     16     10      9     20
DK/NA                 5      5      6      2      7      2      1     11
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
OK to protest        79%    86%    86%    73%    77%    84%    86%    88%
Shld not protest     12     11     11     20     16     14     11     10
DK/NA                10      3      3      7      7      2      3      1
 
 
33. As you may know, New York State's so called "millionaires' tax" is set to expire in December. Do you think the state should extend the millionaires' tax or end the millionaires' tax?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extend tax           66%    57%    72%    68%    64%    68%    66%    65%
End the tax          26     34     20     24     30     22     26     30
DK/NA                 8      9      9      8      6     11      8      5
 
                                                               UNDRSTND OWS Q30
                                          Union  COL DEGREE    VryFrly
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds No     Yes    Well   Not Well
 
Extend tax           68%    66%    62%    68%    63%    71%    70%    60%
End the tax          24     24     31     24     28     22     25     27
DK/NA                 9      9      7      8      9      7      5     13
 
                     AGE IN YEARS............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Extend tax           64%    66%    69%    65%    63%    73%    68%    66%
End the tax          30     24     25     24     25     22     25     28
DK/NA                 6     10      6     11     12      5      7      6
 
 

Demographic Summary