July 25, 2012 - New Yorkers Like Cuomo As Gov, Clinton As President, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama, Gillibrand Bury GOP Challengers

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New York State voters push Gov. Andrew Cuomo's approval rating to a new high 73 - 16 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But voters are not ready to think about Gov. Cuomo running for president in 2016 and say not-so-native daughter Hillary Clinton would make a better president.

Cuomo's 69 - 19 percent approval rating just among Republicans is much better than the overall approval rating for any governor in the seven states surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Only 36 percent of New York State voters want Cuomo to run for president in 2016, while 39 percent say don't run, with 26 percent undecided. Cuomo would make a good president, voters say 40 - 30 percent, with 30 percent undecided. Secretary of State Clinton would make a good president, voters say 61 - 34 percent.

Clinton would make a better president than Cuomo, voters say 54 - 30 percent. The former first lady leads 58 - 26 percent among women and 51 - 34 percent among men. Republicans pick Cuomo 47 - 37 percent, while Clinton leads 67 - 21 percent among Democrats and 52 - 30 percent among independent voters.

"New York voters don't accept 'father knows best' when it comes to Gov. Andrew Cuomo for President in 2016. Former governor and current First Father Mario Cuomo has floated the idea, but New Yorkers clearly aren't ready to talk yet about Andrew Cuomo and the White House in the same breath," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Former Senator and now Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads the 2016 guess list as we do a little mid-summer speculation."

"But New York State voters really like the man in Albany. The governor gets high marks - over 70 percent job approval for the second straight poll.," Carroll added.

Presidential, U.S. Senate Races

In the race for the White House, President Barack Obama buries Gov. Mitt Romney among New York State voters 55 - 32 percent. The president leads 86 - 7 percent among Democrats and 51 - 32 percent among independent voters, while Republicans back Romney 75 - 14 percent.

Obama leads 51 - 35 percent among men and 59 - 29 percent among women. White voters are divided with 44 percent for Obama and 42 percent for Romney. Obama leads 93 - 2 percent among black voters and 72 - 14 percent among Hispanic voters. He leads by more than 20 percentage points among all income and age groups, except for his 18-point lead among voters making more than $100,000 per year.

Romney leads 48 - 36 percent among white Catholics and 49 - 40 percent among white Protestants.

Voters approve 57 - 38 percent of the job Obama is doing and give him a 57 - 35 percent favorability rating. Romney gets a negative 28 - 45 percent favorability.

Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tops Republican/Conservative challenger Wendy Long 57 - 24 percent. Sen. Gillibrand leads 83 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 26 percent among independent voters while Long takes Republicans 58 - 21 percent.

New York State voters approve 54 - 20 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing and give her a 44 - 16 percent favorability, with 39 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion. For Long, 78 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion.

"In the race for the White House and the U.S. Senate, it looks as if you could color New York blue and throw away the crayon. Both Democratic incumbents, President Barack Obama and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, chalk up seemingly insurmountable leads," Carroll said.

From July 17 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,779 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                55%    14%    86%    51%    51%    59%    44%    93%    72%
Romney               32     75      7     32     35     29     42      2     14
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      1      2      2      1      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      2      2      1      2      -      -
DK/NA                10     10      6     12     10     10     11      5     13
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    HsHld
 
Obama                51%    40%    40%    36%    41%    47%    44%
Romney               40     43     49     48     46     38     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      1      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      -      2      2      1      1
DK/NA                 6     13      9     13      9     12     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     Yes    No     <30K  30-50  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                59%    53%    59%    56%    56%    53%    57%    55%    55%
Romney               31     32     23     33     35     35     30     32     33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      1      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      2      1      1      1      2      1
DK/NA                 7     12     16      7      7      8     10     10     10
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     Jul 25  May 31  Apr 05  Feb 15  Dec 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011
 
Obama                55      56      56      52      53
Romney               32      31      33      35      35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2       2       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       3       3       4       2
DK/NA                10       8       7       7       7
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            57%    18%    84%    54%    53%    59%    46%    94%    69%
Unfavorable          35     76     10     36     40     32     47      1     18
Hvn't hrd enough      5      4      4      5      3      6      4      3      8
REFUSED               3      3      2      5      4      3      3      2      5
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    HsHld
 
Favorable            53%    41%    42%    40%    42%    49%    48%
Unfavorable          44     50     51     55     53     43     42
Hvn't hrd enough      2      6      5      3      2      6      5
REFUSED               2      3      3      2      3      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     Yes    No     <30K  30-50  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            61%    54%    59%    58%    58%    55%    54%    60%    56%
Unfavorable          34     36     25     35     37     41     32     35     37
Hvn't hrd enough      2      7     13      4      1      1      8      3      4
REFUSED               3      3      4      4      4      2      6      2      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                            FAVORABLE.....
                                                            High    Low
                     Jul 25  May 31  Jan 18  Dec 24 Jun 11  Dec 24  Feb 14
                     2012    2012    2009    2008   2008    2008    2007
 
Favorable            57      57      71      74     55      74      44
Unfavorable          35      37      11      12     28      12       9
Hvn't hrd enough      5       3      16      11     14      11      46
REFUSED               3       3       2       2      3       2       1
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            28%    64%     9%    27%    31%    25%    35%     4%    16%
Unfavorable          45     12     63     47     44     45     41     62     40
Hvn't hrd enough     24     21     25     22     21     27     21     29     39
REFUSED               3      3      2      4      4      3      2      5      4
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    HsHld
 
Favorable            36%    35%    41%    41%    41%    31%    35%
Unfavorable          49     36     34     33     40     42     36
Hvn't hrd enough     13     27     22     24     17     24     24
REFUSED               3      2      3      2      2      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     Yes    No     <30K  30-50  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            28%    28%    24%    22%    31%    33%    23%    28%    30%
Unfavorable          54     39     40     44     50     48     43     43     47
Hvn't hrd enough     14     30     34     31     16     16     25     27     21
REFUSED               4      3      3      2      4      3      9      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 25  May 31  Oct 3   Jun 20  Apr 5   Feb 14
                     2012    2012    2007    2007    2007    2007
 
Favorable            28      29      22      17      14      13
Unfavorable          45      47      28      22      16      14
Hvn't hrd enough     24      21      48      60      69      72
REFUSED               3       3       2       2       1       1
 
 
4. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More                 28%    31%    31%    25%    31%    26%    26%    40%    31%
Less                 26     27     22     26     22     28     28     13     26
About the same       46     42     47     47     46     46     45     46     43
DK/NA                 1      -      -      2      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    HsHld
 
More                 27%    24%    23%    28%    32%    21%    37%
Less                 28     29     27     31     24     32     24
About the same       45     46     49     42     43     47     38
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     Yes    No     <30K  30-50  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 30%    27%    26%    26%    30%    31%    23%    29%    31%
Less                 26     25     28     23     23     28     20     31     23
About the same       44     47     44     50     46     41     57     40     45
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      -      -      -      1      1
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Jul 25  May 31
                     2012    2012
 
More                 28      27
Less                 26      24
About the same       46      48
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
5. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democratic party candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Long                 24%    58%     4%    26%    30%    18%    29%     5%    18%
Gillibrand           57     21     83     55     53     60     52     76     62
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      2      1      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      2      1      2      1      1      1
DK/NA                16     18     11     16     14     18     16     18     17
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Long                 27%    18%    28%
Gillibrand           53     63     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2
DK/NA                17     16     15
 
TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democratic party candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 25  May 30  Apr 05
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Long                 24      24      25
Gillibrand           57      58      58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       3       3
DK/NA                16      15      13
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            44%    23%    60%    43%    43%    45%    45%    48%    33%
Unfavorable          16     37      3     18     22     11     19      2     12
Hvn't hrd enough     39     39     37     39     35     43     35     49     55
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -      -
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            44%    46%    41%
Unfavorable          18     13     18
Hvn't hrd enough     37     41     39
REFUSED               1      -      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? (*Low also 24% Feb 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 25  May 30  Sep 01  Jun 22  Apr 13  May 30  Apr 6
                     2012    2012    2010    2010    2010    2012    2009*
 
Favorable            44      50      38      37      37      50      24
Unfavorable          16      18      21      23      23      18      11
Hvn't hrd enough     39      29      39      39      39      29      64
REFUSED               1       2       2       1       1       2       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            13%    24%     7%    13%    15%    11%    13%    10%    17%
Unfavorable           8      1     12      7      9      7      7      8      7
Hvn't hrd enough     78     74     80     80     74     82     79     82     76
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -      -
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            13%    11%    15%
Unfavorable           5     11      7
Hvn't hrd enough     81     77     76
REFUSED               -      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Jul 25  May 30
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            13       6
Unfavorable           8       8
Hvn't hrd enough     78      84
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              73%    69%    80%    72%    73%    73%    74%    75%    69%
Disapprove           16     19     10     17     17     14     15     16     18
DK/NA                12     13     10     11     10     13     11      9     13
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              69%    75%    75%
Disapprove           17     14     14
DK/NA                13     10     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 25  May 30  Apr 04  Feb 15  Dec 20  Jul 25  Feb 23
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2011
 
Approve              73      71      68      69      68      73      56
Disapprove           16      16      19      19      17      16      15
DK/NA                12      13      13      12      15      12      29
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              61%    47%    74%    59%    58%    64%    59%    76%    51%
Disapprove           25     41     11     29     32     19     28      8     21
DK/NA                14     12     15     11     10     17     12     16     29
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              56%    64%    63%
Disapprove           28     19     28
DK/NA                15     16      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 69% Oct 2001)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 25  May 30  Apr 05  Feb 15  Dec 21  Dec 08  Apr 15
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2004*   1999
 
Approve              61      64      63      60      62      69      51
Disapprove           25      26      25      29      27      16      22
DK/NA                14      10      12      11      11      15      28
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              54%    34%    68%    54%    52%    56%    54%    62%    51%
Disapprove           20     40      6     23     27     14     22      9     18
DK/NA                26     26     26     23     21     30     24     29     30
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              54%    54%    53%
Disapprove           22     17     22
DK/NA                24     29     25
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? (*High also 60% Apr 2012)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 25  May 30  Apr 05  Feb 15  Dec 21  May 30  Feb 17
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012*   2009
 
Approve              54      60      60      47      50      60      28
Disapprove           20      22      21      26      23      22      10
DK/NA                26      18      19      27      27      18      62
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              57%    17%    86%    53%    53%    61%    46%    96%    77%
Disapprove           38     79     11     40     42     34     49      2     20
DK/NA                 5      3      3      7      5      6      5      2      2
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    HsHld
 
Approve              51%    43%    42%    39%    43%    49%    50%
Disapprove           44     52     55     56     54     45     45
DK/NA                 5      5      3      4      3      6      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     Yes    No     <30K  30-50  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              60%    55%    64%    60%    56%    52%    59%    58%    56%
Disapprove           35     40     29     39     39     42     35     38     38
DK/NA                 5      5      6      1      5      6      6      3      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 25  May 31  Apr 05  Feb 15  Dec 21  Feb 19  Aug 12
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2009    2011
 
Approve              57      58      56      50      50      72      45
Disapprove           38      39      38      46      45      17      49
DK/NA                 5       3       6       5       5      10       6
 
 
14. Do you think Andrew Cuomo would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  40%    34%    48%    38%    40%    41%    42%    42%    34%
No                   30     41     22     31     34     26     30     28     32
DK/NA                30     25     31     31     26     33     28     30     35
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Yes                  40%    41%    39%
No                   29     29     33
DK/NA                31     29     28
 
 
15. Do you want Andrew Cuomo to run for President in 2016 or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  36%    26%    44%    35%    34%    37%    34%    42%    42%
No                   39     52     29     41     44     34     40     31     38
DK/NA                26     23     27     24     23     29     25     27     20
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Yes                  34%    39%    33%
No                   39     37     40
DK/NA                27     24     27
 
 
16. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  61%    38%    78%    60%    57%    65%    56%    74%    70%
No                   34     59     18     35     38     30     39     20     25
DK/NA                 5      3      4      5      5      5      5      6      5
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Yes                  57%    66%    62%
No                   38     28     34
DK/NA                 5      6      4
 
 
17. Who do you think would make a better President, Andrew Cuomo or Hillary Clinton?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Cuomo                30%    47%    21%    30%    34%    26%    34%    17%    25%
Clinton              54     37     67     52     51     58     49     70     68
NEITHER(VOL)          6     11      2      7      7      5      7      2      2
BOTH(VOL)             1      -      2      1      1      2      1      1      -
DK/NA                 9      6      8      9      8      9      9     10      5
 
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Cuomo                35%    25%    29%
Clinton              50     60     53
NEITHER(VOL)          6      6      7
BOTH(VOL)             1      1      2
DK/NA                 9      8      9
 
 

Demographic Summary