September 28, 2000 - Gore Juggernaut Slows Slightly In New York, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 13 Percent Of Gore Voters Back Lazio
Vice President Al Gore leads Texas Gov. George W. Bush 54 - 34 percent among New York State likely voters, with 1 percent for Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan and 6 percent for Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This substantial lead actually is a drop from Gore's 56 - 29 percent lead in a September 13 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Gore wins 47 - 40 percent among men and 60 - 29 percent among women. Democrats back Gore 87 - 5 percent, while Republicans back Bush 80 - 10 percent. Independent voters back Gore 51 - 31 percent.

From September 20 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 889 New York State likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

"All politicians should have Vice President Gore's problem in New York, seeing a 27 - point lead drop to a 20-point lead. Gore would have to work overtime to blow that last 20 points in the next six weeks," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Unless Gov. Bush has a big October Surprise, the presidential race is over in New York."

Gore's favorability among likely voters is 51 - 25 percent, with 23 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This compares to a 53 - 23 percent favorability in the September 13 Quinnipiac University poll.

Bush's favorability rating is a negative 29 - 42 percent, with 26 percent mixed and 3 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. His favorability September 12 was 25 - 47 percent.

"The most interesting number in the presidential match-up is the 13 percent of Gore voters who will cross over and vote for Republican Senate candidate Rick Lazio instead of Democrat Hillary Clinton," Carroll said. "And 6 percent of Bush voters are switching to Clinton."

Among likely voters, Gov. Pataki enjoys a 65 - 24 percent approval rating, while President Clinton gets a 62 - 35 percent approval.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 65% 65% 59% 72% 85% 48% 68% 68% 62%

Disapprove 24 24 27 21 8 37 23 24 24

DK/NA 11 11 15 8 7 15 9 8 14



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 62% 59% 69% 58% 26% 87% 62% 59% 64%

Disapprove 35 39 27 38 71 10 36 39 32

DK/NA 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 4



12. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 51% 46% 60% 48% 13% 80% 47% 45% 55%

Unfavorable 25 28 16 29 61 4 21 33 18

Mixed 23 25 22 21 24 15 31 21 25

Haven't hrd enough 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 1 1

REFUSED - - - 1 1 - - - -



13. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 29% 35% 18% 33% 69% 7% 26% 36% 24%

Unfavorable 42 33 53 41 7 65 42 37 45

Mixed 26 28 26 23 21 25 30 25 28

Haven't hrd enough 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 3

REFUSED - - - - - - - - -



14. Is your opinion of Pat Buchanan favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 6% 5% 5% 7% 9% 3% 5% 6% 5%

Unfavorable 60 53 64 65 47 67 64 61 59

Mixed 13 15 10 12 20 9 12 14 11

Haven't hrd enough 21 26 20 14 22 21 18 17 24

REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 1



15. Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 20% 14% 23% 26% 10% 23% 24% 19% 21%

Unfavorable 29 29 28 30 38 24 27 32 26

Mixed 18 21 15 16 17 18 20 20 17

Haven't hrd enough 32 34 34 26 33 34 27 28 35

REFUSED 1 1 - 2 2 - 1 2 1



16. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore 59% 51% 72% 55% 11% 92% 58% 51% 64% Bush 35 41 23 38 82 6 32 41 29

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - - 2 1 1 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 7 2 8 6 5



17. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, Pat Buchanan the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore 54% 47% 67% 51% 10% 87% 51% 47% 60% Bush 34 39 23 38 80 5 31 40 29 Buchanan 1 2 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 Nader 6 6 5 7 3 4 8 5 6

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 5 6 5 4 5 2 7 6 4