December 14, 2000 - Pataki Or Giuliani Top Cuomo Or McCall In New York Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Pataki Has Big Early Lead In Republican Primary
Either Republican incumbent Gov. George Pataki or New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani lead Democrats H. Carl McCall, the state comptroller, or U.S. Housing & Urban Development Secretary Andrew Cuomo in an early look at the 2002 race for New York Governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Results of possible matchup in the race for Governor show:
  • Pataki over Cuomo 48 - 37 percent, with 12 percent undecided;
  • Pataki over McCall 48 - 36 percent, with 14 percent undecided;
  • Giuliani over Cuomo 47 - 39 percent, with 11 percent undecided;
  • Giuliani over McCall 45 - 39 percent, with 13 percent undecided;
From December 5 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,063 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey includes 304 registered Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.6 percent, and 454 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/-4.6 percent.

"New Yorkers go with what they know. In a general election match, Gov. Pataki has a healthy early lead over either of the likely Democratic challengers," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Take Pataki out of the mix and another well-known New York State Republican, Mayor Giuliani, also runs ahead of either Democrat. It's early to think about the 2002 Governor's race, but New York politics never stops."

In a Republican primary, Pataki beats Giuliani by a 60 - 29 percent margin, with 9 percent undecided.

A Democratic primary would be closer, with Cuomo topping McCall 39 - 33 percent, with 26 percent undecided.

Pataki's approval rating is 66 - 23 percent, his highest since a 69 - 24 percent approval rating by an independent Quinnipiac University poll March 25, 1998. By a 55 - 17 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Pataki, with 22 percent mixed and 4 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for other possible candidate are:
               Favorable    Unfavorable    Mixed    No Opinion
Giuliani         47%           23%          21%         8%
Cuomo            33            16           10         39
McCall           37             4            9         49



"If Pataki seeks a third term, his fellow Republicans would gladly give him another four years in the Executive Mansion," Carroll said.

"There's always the possibility that Pataki would take a job in a Bush Administration. That would be a good move on Bush's part, according to 59 percent of New York voters, while 22 percent say it's a bad move."

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 66% 71% 55% 72% 90% 51% 66% 68% 64%

Disapprove 23 19 29 22 5 35 22 22 24

DK/NA 11 10 16 6 5 14 12 10 11



7. Is your opinion of New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 47% 43% 42% 61% 70% 32% 47% 51% 44%

Unfavorable 23 15 38 17 9 35 21 22 24

Mixed 21 23 19 20 12 25 23 19 22

Hvn't hrd enough 8 17 - - 8 6 8 5 9 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1



8. Is your opinion of Governor George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 55% 59% 43% 63% 84% 38% 54% 59% 51%

Unfavorable 17 15 24 13 3 28 16 16 19

Mixed 22 21 25 20 12 27 24 20 24

Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 8 1 1 6 4 4 5 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2



9. Is your opinion of State Controller H.Carl McCall favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 37% 37% 37% 36% 25% 44% 41% 40% 34%

Unfavorable 4 4 4 6 5 3 5 7 2

Mixed 9 8 10 9 9 8 10 10 8

Hvn't hrd enough 49 50 49 48 58 44 43 42 55 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 2 1



10. Is your opinion of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 33% 31% 36% 32% 20% 44% 31% 29% 36%

Unfavorable 16 15 13 23 23 8 19 23 11

Mixed 10 10 12 8 12 10 10 9 11

Hvn't hrd enough 39 42 37 37 43 37 38 37 41 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1



11. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Cuomo 37% 29% 52% 30% 6% 65% 28% 32% 41% Pataki 48 56 32 57 87 21 50 55 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 DK/NA 12 12 13 11 5 12 18 9 15



12. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


McCall 36% 29% 47% 34% 5% 63% 29% 32% 40% Pataki 48 55 33 55 88 21 49 54 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 DK/NA 14 13 19 10 5 15 20 12 16



13. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Cuomo 39% 36% 52% 28% 11% 65% 32% 36% 42% Giuliani 47 44 37 63 78 23 47 51 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 1 4 2 2 4 3 2 DK/NA 11 16 8 6 8 10 15 9 13



14. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


McCall 39% 36% 49% 33% 9% 62% 36% 38% 40% Giuliani 45 42 40 58 78 25 42 47 44

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 3 1 3 3 2 DK/NA 13 18 11 7 10 11 19 12 14



15. (If registered Republican) If the Republican Primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were George Pataki and Rudolph Giuliani, for whom would you vote?

                  Registered
                  Republicans


Pataki 60% Giuliani 29

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 DK/NA 9



15. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were H.Carl McCall and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?

                  Registered
                  Democrats   


McCall 33% Cuomo 39

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 DK/NA 26



16. Suppose Governor Pataki is appointed to a top level position in a Bush administration. Do you think that Bush would be making a good choice or not a good choice?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Good choice 59% 65% 51% 61% 82% 47% 59% 62% 57%

Not a good choice 22 18 29 21 9 31 19 21 23

DK/NA 18 17 21 17 9 22 21 17 20