May 9, 2012 - Ohio Voters Are More Satisfied - But Not With Gov, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Back Drilling Tax To Cut Income Tax 2-1

Word format

Ohio voter satisfaction with life in the state hits 51 percent, up from an all-time low of 29 percent in October and the first time it's back at the midpoint since 2007, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But Gov. John Kasich still has a negative 41 - 44 percent approval rating, statistically unchanged from his 42 - 42 percent score in March.

Voters back 60 - 32 percent the governor's proposal to tax energy production and use the money to cut income taxes, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. As Las Vegas-style casinos open in the state this month, 62 percent of voters say they will be good for the state, although 62 percent say they are not likely to go to a casino.

"Ohioans are more optimistic about how things are going than they have been for five years," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "That may be because the state's economy has improved, so much so that the Buckeye unemployment rate is below the national average and lower than many of the Sun Belt states where Ohioans have been fleeing for decades for better economic opportunities."

A total of 51 percent of voters are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with the way things are going in Ohio. Satisfaction is 55 percent among men and 47 percent among women, 61 percent among Republicans, 42 percent among Democrats and 50 percent among independent voters. The last time the satisfaction rate hit 50 percent was in July 2007.

"Gov. Kasich's numbers have come up somewhat along with the optimism, but he still has a ways to go. Voters say 49 - 40 percent that he is unfair in the way he handles the budget, but they do see him as a strong leader, 54 - 36 percent, which is a characteristic voters seek in their executives," said Brown. "The gender gap remains alive and well in Ohio when it comes to satisfaction and to approval of the governor."

Kasich gets 49 - 41 percent approval among men, but thumbs down from women 46 - 34 percent. He has approval ratings of 68 - 20 percent among Republicans and 45 - 39 percent among independent voters, but Democrats disapprove 72 - 12 percent.

Voters say 28 - 23 percent that the Ohio economy has gotten better since Kasich took office, with 45 percent saying it has not changed. Those who see improvement give Kasich, rather than President Barack Obama, the credit 68 - 22 percent. Those who think the economy is worse blame Kasich rather than the president 49 - 27 percent.

The economic benefits of drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio outweigh environmental concerns, voters say 64 - 29 percent.

Voters support a new tax on companies drilling for gas and oil 55 - 35 percent.

That support increases slightly to 60 - 32 percent when voters are asked if they support the tax on drilling if the money is used to cut the income tax. Support for this tax, with the money used to cut income taxes, is 54 - 36 percent among Republicans, 65 - 28 percent among Democrats and 63 - 29 percent among independent voters.

"This looks like an issue on which Gov. Kasich has the voters behind him," said Brown. "Voters also are united on the benefits of casino gambling. Democrats say 69 - 24 percent; Republicans say 54 - 40 percent and independent voters say 63 - 26 percent that casinos are an odds-on bet to help the state."

But only 37 percent of women and 39 percent of men say they are "very likely" or "somewhat likely" to visit a casino in the state.

From May 2 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,069 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Approve              41%    68%    12%    45%    49%    34%        
Disapprove           44     20     72     39     41     46          
DK/NA                15     12     15     15     10     19          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    38%    30%    38%    45%    55%    37%    45%    43%
Disapprove           43     44     49     51     42     41     44     44     43
DK/NA                 9     18     21     12     14      3     19     11     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 30% Jan 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 09  Mar 28  Feb 14  Jan 19  Dec 08  Mar 28  Mar 23
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2011*
 
Approve              41      42      40      39      38      42      30
Disapprove           44      42      46      48      50      42      46
DK/NA                15      16      14      13      12      16      23
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Approve              33%    52%    15%    32%    39%    27%        
Disapprove           47     28     63     48     48     46          
DK/NA                20     20     22     20     13     27          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              32%    33%    25%    38%    35%    36%    31%    35%    32%
Disapprove           49     46     51     48     49     46     49     46     45
DK/NA                19     21     23     14     16     18     20     19     23
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 09  Feb 14  Jan 19  Jun 29  Apr 29  Dec 10  Dec 12
                     2012    2012    2012    2010    2010    2008    2006
 
Approve              33      35      32      33      35      46      25
Disapprove           47      48      49      47      47      35      55
DK/NA                20      18      19      20      19      19      20
 
 
15. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Very satisfied        4%     6%     2%     4%     4%     4%        
Smwht satisfied      47     55     40     46     51     43         
Smwht dissatisfied   31     26     38     31     28     33          
Very dissatisfied    17     12     18     18     15     19          
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      2      1          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        3%     4%     4%     1%     4%     4%     2%     5%     5%
Smwht satisfied      47     47     42     49     45     54     44     48     50
Smwht dissatisfied   33     30     28     31     35     30     33     30     28
Very dissatisfied    15     18     24     18     14     10     19     17     16
DK/NA                 2      1      2      -      1      1      2      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 29% Mar 2011)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     May 09  Feb 14  Jan 19  Oct 25  Sep 27  Mar 21  Oct 25
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2007    2011*
 
Very satisfied        4       3       4       3       3       5       3
Smwht satisfied      47      40      37      26      31      49      26
Smwht dissatisfied   31      36      36      34      32      28      34
Very dissatisfied    17      20      22      37      32      16      37
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
17. Would you say that John Kasich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom       
 
Yes                  40%    68%    13%    38%    49%    32%       
No                   50     22     74     53     45     54         
DK/NA                10     10     13      9      6     14         
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  46%    38%    31%    37%    45%    55%    39%    41%    43%
No                   46     51     56     55     48     41     49     51     49
DK/NA                 7     11     13      8      7      5     12      8      9
 
 
18. Would you say that John Kasich has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom      
 
Yes                  54%    76%    31%    54%    58%    50%       
No                   36     16     59     35     36     36         
DK/NA                10      8     10     12      6     14         
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  57%    52%    45%    51%    59%    63%    55%    55%    50%
No                   35     37     42     43     33     31     36     36     38
DK/NA                 7     11     13      6      9      7     10      9     12
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Approve              37%    61%    13%    38%    44%    30%        
Disapprove           49     25     74     47     46     52          
DK/NA                14     14     13     14     10     18         
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              43%    34%    23%    33%    39%    55%    31%    41%    38%
Disapprove           45     51     60     51     50     37     51     51     44
DK/NA                12     15     17     17     11      7     18      8     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget?
                     May 09  Jan 19  Oct 25  Sep 27  Jul 20  May 09  Mar 23
                     2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2012    2011
                                                                     
Approve              37      33      34      35      32      37      31
Disapprove           49      53      55      53      54      49      51
DK/NA                14      13      11      12      14      14      18
 
 
20. Do you think that the way that John Kasich has handled the state's budget since taking office has been fair or unfair to people like you?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Fair                 40%    70%    13%    40%    48%    33%       
Unfair               49     21     77     48     45     53         
DK/NA                10      9     10     11      7     14          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Fair                 49%    36%    27%    40%    41%    57%    37%    41%    45%
Unfair               45     51     59     54     50     38     50     51     46
DK/NA                 6     12     15      6      9      5     12      8     10
 
 
21. Do you think that Ohio's economy has gotten better, worse, or stayed about the same since John Kasich took office?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Better               28%    42%    17%    27%    33%    23%        
Worse                23     15     28     24     17     28          
The same             45     40     51     44     46     44          
DK/NA                 4      4      4      5      4      5          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               36%    24%    17%    25%    31%    47%    22%    31%    32%
Worse                17     26     35     26     14     12     24     24     18
The same             42     46     41     47     53     38     49     43     42
DK/NA                 4      4      6      3      2      3      5      2      7
 
TREND: Do you think that Ohio's economy has gotten better, worse, or stayed about the same since John Kasich took office?
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Better               28      19
Worse                23      29
The same             45      48
DK/NA                 4       4
 
 
22. (If "Better" q21) Do you credit Barack Obama or John Kasich more for this change?
                     BETTER Q21.......
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Obama                22%    23%    20%
Kasich               68     69     67
NEITHER (VOL)         5      6      4
BOTH (VOL)            1      1      1
DK/NA                 4      1      8
 
TREND: (If "Better") Do you credit Barack Obama or John Kasich more for this change?
                     BETTER ........
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Obama                22      15
Kasich               68      75
NEITHER (VOL)         5       4
BOTH (VOL)            1       2
DK/NA                 4       4
 
 
23. (If "Worse" q21) Do you blame Barack Obama or John Kasich more for this change?
                     WORSE Q21........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Obama                27%    21%    30%
Kasich               49     53     46
NEITHER (VOL)         8     11      7
BOTH (VOL)           14     15     13
DK/NA                 2      1      3
 
TREND: (If "Worse") Do you blame Barack Obama or John Kasich more for this change?
                     WORSE.........
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Obama                27      20
Kasich               49      55
NEITHER (VOL)         8      13
BOTH (VOL)           14       7
DK/NA                 2       5
 
 
24. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom       
 
Drilling             64%    82%    47%    64%    72%    56%        
No drilling          29     12     44     29     23     33          
DK/NA                 8      6      9      7      5     11          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Drilling             62%    65%    62%    63%    64%    74%    63%    66%    63%
No drilling          32     27     29     31     31     20     32     28     24
DK/NA                 6      8      9      6      5      6      6      6     13
 
                     HEARD OF HYDRO-FRKNG Q28
                     Yes    No
 
Drilling             61%    68%
No drilling          32     22
DK/NA                 6     10
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential economic benefits, others say there should not be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Drilling             64      64
No drilling          29      29
DK/NA                 8       7
 
 
25. Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Support              55%    45%    64%    57%    57%    53%        
Oppose               35     44     26     34     37     33          
DK/NA                10     11     10      8      6     14          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              62%    52%    55%    58%    60%    54%    57%    55%    50%
Oppose               29     38     36     36     31     34     35     38     31
DK/NA                 9     11     10      7      9     11      8      6     19
 
                     HEARD OF HYDRO-FRKNG Q28
                     Yes    No
 
Support              59%    48%
Oppose               31     42
DK/NA                10     10
 
 
26. Would you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio, if the money raised was used to cut income taxes for state residents?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Support              60%    54%    65%    63%    62%    59%        
Oppose               32     36     28     29     32     31          
DK/NA                 8     10      7      7      6     10          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              57%    62%    65%    65%    60%    55%    63%    61%    56%
Oppose               35     30     27     28     34     37     30     33     31
DK/NA                 8      8      9      7      6      8      7      7     13
 
                     HEARD OF HYDRO-FRKNG Q28
                     Yes    No
 
Support              57%    65%
Oppose               35     27
DK/NA                 8      8
 
 
27. Do you think that drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio will create jobs or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Yes                  82%    90%    76%    82%    84%    79%        
No                   13      7     17     13     11     15          
DK/NA                 5      3      8      4      5      6          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  86%    80%    76%    88%    81%    90%    83%    83%    80%
No                   10     14     18      9     13      8     13     13     13
DK/NA                 3      6      6      3      6      2      5      4      7
 
                     HEARD OF HYDRO-FRKNG Q28
                     Yes    No
 
Yes                  82%    82%
No                   12     14
DK/NA                 6      4
 
TREND: Do you think that drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio will create jobs or not?
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Yes                  82      85
No                   13      11
DK/NA                 5       3
 
 
28. Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Yes                  64%    73%    63%    59%    73%    56%        
No                   35     26     36     41     27     43          
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  83%    56%    40%    61%    80%    84%    55%    68%    71%
No                   17     44     59     38     20     16     45     31     28
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      -      -      -      1      1
 
TREND: Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Yes                  64      59
No                   35      40
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
29. Energy companies want to practice hydro-fracking in Ohio. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases oil and natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Yes/Will damage      45%    28%    61%    44%    38%    51%        
No/Won't damage      19     32      8     17     28     10          
Don't Know           36     39     31     39     33     39          
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      1      -          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Will damage      42%    46%    50%    40%    46%    36%    50%    44%    35%
No/Won't damage      24     16     10     20     20     32     15     22     22
Don't Know           33     37     40     40     34     30     35     34     43
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      -      1      1      -      1
 
                     HEARD OF HYDRO-FRKNG Q28
                     Yes    No
 
Yes/Will damage      49%    38%
No/Won't damage      24      9
Don't Know           27     52
REFUSED               -      1
 
TREND: Energy companies want to practice hydro-fracking in Ohio. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases oil and natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know?
                     May 09  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Yes/Will damage      45      43
No/Won't damage      19      16
Don't Know           36      40
REFUSED               -       1
 
 
30. Ohio's first Las Vegas style casino will open this month and three more are to open later this year. Do you think these casinos will be good or bad for Ohio?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Good                 62%    54%    69%    63%    62%    62%        
Bad                  29     40     24     26     30     29          
DK/NA                 9      7      7     11      8     10          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Good                 57%    64%    63%    70%    61%    59%    70%    58%    52%
Bad                  34     27     29     23     30     31     23     33     36
DK/NA                 9      9      7      6      9     10      7      8     12
 
 
31. Regardless of whether you think these casinos will be good or bad for Ohio, how likely is it that you will go to one of these casinos in the next year or so; very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom        
 
Very likely          20%    17%    24%    20%    22%    19%        
Smwht likely         17     18     17     16     17     18          
Not too likely       15     15     16     14     16     14          
Not likely at all    47     49     42     49     44     49          
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      -          
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-49  50-64  65+
 
Very likely          17%    22%    21%    22%    17%    24%    24%    17%    16%
Smwht likely         19     17     15     23     18     16     19     18     16
Not too likely       18     14     11     15     20     15     17     15     13
Not likely at all    45     48     53     39     45     45     41     49     55
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 

Demographic Summary