March 1, 2013 - Ohio Voters Turn Thumbs Down On Gov's Tax Plan, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 90 Percent Support Gun Show Background Checks

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Ohio voters say 48 - 42 percent that Gov. John Kasich's desire to reduce the state income tax and increase revenues from the sales tax is a bad idea, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Mirroring results in other states surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, 90 percent of Ohio voters, including 86 percent of voters in households where there is a gun, favor background checks for all gun purchases. By a smaller 53 - 44 percent margin, voters favor a nationwide ban on assault weapons. Gun-owners oppose such a ban 60 - 38 percent.

Ohio voters say 57 - 33 percent that gun ownership makes people safer rather than less safe and say 49 - 40 percent that the National Rifle Association rather than President Barack Obama best reflects their views on guns.

"Gov. John Kasich is popular, but voters don't like his view that the income tax should be cut and the sales tax broadened as a preferable way to raise state revenue," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "When it is explained to them that Kasich wants to cut the income tax from 5.5 to 5 percent and increase the services that would be subject to the sales tax, they like that idea even less, 51 - 40 percent."

As the third anniversary approaches of the signing of the Affordable Care Act, so-called "Obama Care," Ohio voters say 39 - 14 percent that the new health law will hurt rather than help them personally. Another 39 percent say it won't affect them.

Voters agree 48 - 42 percent with the idea of opening up the state Medicaid program to more recipients.

"Although voters overall like expanding Medicaid, Republicans oppose it 65 - 24 percent, a significant number given the GOP House could block the plan," said Brown.

Democrats say 71 - 22 percent that Medicaid expansion is a good idea and independent voters agree 48 - 43 percent.

Looking at the overall Affordable Care Act, however, Ohio voters disapprove 48 - 39 percent.

"Most important politically, independent voters say 43 - 13 percent that the new health care law will hurt them personally," Brown said. Republicans by 65 - 1 percent expect ACA to hurt them personally, while Democrats say 25 - 12 percent it will help them. Men say 42 - 14 percent it will hurt, and women agree 36 - 15 percent.

"On gun policy public opinion might be seen as a paradox," said Brown. "Voters overwhelming favor background checks for those buying guns and want to ban assault weapons and ammunition clips with more than 10 bullets - positions that are in opposition to those espoused by the NRA. Yet, they see the NRA more in tune with their views on gun policy than President Barack Obama, who favors background checks and bans on assault weapons and high- capacity magazines.

"Moreover, on the key question of whether guns make society safer or less safe, by almost 2-1 voters see them as making society safer. Asked whether they would favor stricter gun control laws, 41 percent say yes, while 11 percent say they should be made less strict and 44 percent say existing laws are about right."

Ohio voters are divided in their opinion of President Barack Obama, giving him a 48 - 47 percent job approval rating. In terms of how people like him personally, he gets virtually an identical score, with 49 percent viewing him favorably, 46 percent unfavorably.

From February 21 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,011 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

6. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            49%     9%    91%    45%    45%    53%    43%    90%
Unfavorable          46     88      6     48     51     41     52      6
Hvn't hrd enough      2      -      1      3      1      3      2      3
REFUSED               3      2      2      4      3      3      3      1
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            51%    40%    37%    42%    38%    48%
Unfavorable          47     54     58     54     58     47
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      1      1      1      2
REFUSED               2      4      4      3      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            54%    48%    54%    48%    49%    51%    50%    48%
Unfavorable          43     47     40     49     51     42     46     48
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      3      1      -      4      1      1
REFUSED               1      3      3      2      -      3      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 01  Dec 11  Jun 27  May 10  May 03  Dec 11  Jan 30
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2007
 
Favorable            49      56      50      48      46      56      35
Unfavorable          46      41      44      47      45      41      12
Hvn't hrd enough      2       1       3       2       5       1      52
REFUSED               3       2       3       2       5       2       1
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              48%     7%    90%    45%    44%    52%    42%    92%
Disapprove           47     89      8     50     52     43     54      4
DK/NA                 4      4      3      5      4      5      5      4
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Approve              49%    39%    36%    43%    36%    47%
Disapprove           48     56     60     53     59     49
DK/NA                 3      5      4      4      4      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              52%    47%    54%    45%    47%    50%    48%    47%
Disapprove           45     48     41     52     53     41     49     50
DK/NA                 3      5      5      3      1      9      3      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 01  Dec 11  Jun 27  May 10  May 03  Feb 06  Dec 08
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2009    2011
 
Approve              48      54      48      49      48      67      41
Disapprove           47      42      46      48      47      16      55
DK/NA                 4       4       5       2       5      17       4
 
 
20. Governor Kasich wants to change the state's tax system by decreasing the income tax and expanding use of the sales tax. In general, do you think decreasing state income tax and expanding state sales tax is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            42%    64%    20%    44%    47%    37%    44%    29%
Bad idea             48     28     71     43     44     51     47     56
DK/NA                11      8      9     13      9     12      9     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            46%    40%    37%    51%    51%    36%    48%    41%
Bad idea             47     48     51     42     44     50     44     49
DK/NA                 7     12     12      7      4     14      8     10
 
 
21. Governor Kasich's proposal would reduce the sales tax rate from 5.5 percent to 5 percent, but expand the types of purchases that would be taxed including tickets, haircuts, lobbyists and legal services. Do you think that reducing the sales tax rate and expanding the types of purchases that would be taxed is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            40%    55%    27%    42%    47%    35%    42%    33%
Bad idea             51     35     67     49     46     55     49     61
DK/NA                 9     10      6     10      7     11      9      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            41%    40%    38%    47%    46%    43%    48%    34%
Bad idea             50     51     54     45     48     47     48     55
DK/NA                 8      9      8      8      6     10      4     11
 
 
22. Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              58%    50%    63%    61%    62%    55%    58%    60%
Oppose               32     41     26     31     32     32     33     28
DK/NA                10      8     11      7      6     13      9     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              62%    57%    58%    59%    63%    62%    64%    52%
Oppose               31     32     32     31     35     25     31     37
DK/NA                 8     10     10     10      2     13      5     11
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio?
                     Mar 01  Dec 12  May 09
                     2013    2012    2012
 
Support              58      52      55
Oppose               32      38      35
DK/NA                10      10      10
 
 
23. As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            48%    24%    71%    48%    45%    51%    43%    80%
Bad idea             42     65     22     43     47     37     47     15
DK/NA                10     11      7      9      7     12     10      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            46%    49%    56%    39%    47%    53%    49%    46%
Bad idea             46     40     36     51     50     42     44     41
DK/NA                 7     11      8      9      3      5      7     13
 
 
24. From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted in 2010? IF APPROVE: Do you strongly approve or somewhat approve? IF DISAPPROVE: Do you somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Strongly approve     19%     1%    40%    14%    17%    20%    16%    44%
Somewhat approve     20      7     28     23     20     19     20     20
Somewhat disapprove  11     13      8     14     12     11     11      9
Strongly disapprove  37     69      8     36     41     33     41      5
DK/NA                14     11     16     13     11     17     13     22
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly approve     29%    15%    17%    20%    25%    17%    19%    19%
Somewhat approve     20     20     22     16     20     28     19     16
Somewhat disapprove   8     12     12     13      8      8     15     10
Strongly disapprove  36     37     30     44     44     28     38     40
DK/NA                 7     16     19      6      1     18      9     15
 
 
25. From what you've heard or read, do you think the 2010 health care law will mostly help you personally, will mostly hurt you personally, or don't you think it will have much of an effect on you personally?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Help                 14%     1%    25%    13%    14%    15%    12%    28%
Hurt                 39     65     12     43     42     36     41     17
No effect            39     29     52     38     39     39     40     37
DK/NA                 8      5     11      7      5     11      6     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Help                 14%    14%    18%    10%    10%    23%    15%     9%
Hurt                 38     39     33     46     44     31     44     39
No effect            45     37     38     40     45     37     35     43
DK/NA                 3     10     11      3      -      9      5      9
 
 
26. In general do you think that gun control laws in Ohio should be more strict, less strict, or are they about right?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More strict          41%    16%    66%    40%    35%    48%    37%    69%
Less strict          11     14      6     12     18      5     11      9
About right          44     67     24     44     46     42     49     16
DK/NA                 4      3      4      4      2      5      3      7
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
More strict          25%    48%    46%    26%
Less strict          16     12      6     15
About right          58     37     44     55
DK/NA                 2      3      5      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
More strict          49%    39%    43%    39%    44%    42%    37%    43%
Less strict           8     12     11     13      8     12     16      7
About right          40     45     41     44     47     42     45     45
DK/NA                 2      4      5      3      1      4      2      5
 
TREND: In general do you think that gun control laws in Ohio should be more strict, less strict, or are they about right?
                     Mar 01  Dec 12
                     2013    2006
 
More strict          41      35
Less strict          11      12
About right          44      46
DK/NA                 4       6
 
 
27. Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              53%    34%    75%    51%    40%    65%    51%    66%
Oppose               44     63     24     45     58     31     46     32
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      2      4      3      3
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
Support              38%    61%    54%    41%
Oppose               60     37     43     55
DK/NA                 2      3      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              61%    50%    54%    53%    48%    38%    48%    62%
Oppose               37     46     42     45     51     58     51     34
DK/NA                 2      3      4      3      1      4      1      4
 
 
28. Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              54%    34%    73%    52%    47%    60%    52%    65%
Oppose               42     61     24     44     51     34     43     32
DK/NA                 5      5      3      4      3      6      5      3
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
Support              43%    54%    58%    46%
Oppose               54     39     40     48
DK/NA                 3      7      2      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              64%    50%    53%    52%    54%    44%    50%    60%
Oppose               34     45     40     45     45     51     47     35
DK/NA                 3      5      6      3      1      5      3      6
 
 
29. Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              90%    84%    97%    90%    86%    94%    89%    98%
Oppose                8     14      2      9     12      5      9      2
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      2      1      2      -
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
Support              86%    90%    92%    89%
Oppose               12      9      7      9
DK/NA                 2      1      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              89%    91%    93%    88%    90%    91%    90%    91%
Oppose                8      8      6     11      8      9      8      8
DK/NA                 3      1      1      1      2      -      2      1
 
 
30. Do you support or oppose placing an armed police officer in public schools in Ohio?
                                                                                       
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk              
                                                                                       
Support              64%    68%    58%    64%    63%    64%    62%    69%              
Oppose               31     26     36     32     32     31     32     30               
DK/NA                 5      6      6      4      5      6      6      1               
                                                                                       
                     Gun    DENSITY............  HAVE KIDS......                       
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural  <18    InPubSch                       
                                                                                       
Support              71%    67%    59%    65%    70%    69%                            
Oppose               24     29     37     27     25     27                             
DK/NA                 5      4      4      8      5      5                             
                                                                                       
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......              
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+              
                                                                                       
Support              47%    69%    71%    63%    48%    77%    65%    56%              
Oppose               46     26     26     32     46     19     31     37               
DK/NA                 6      5      3      6      6      5      3      7               
 
 
31. Do you think that gun ownership in the United States does more to protect people from becoming victims of crime, or does more to put people's safety at risk?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Protects people      57%    81%    36%    56%    64%    51%    61%    34%
Puts people at risk  33     13     54     30     27     38     30     54
DK/NA                10      6      9     15      9     11      9     12
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
Protects people      75%    54%    52%    69%
Puts people at risk  19     36     38     21
DK/NA                 7     10     10      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Protects people      51%    60%    56%    62%    59%    59%    62%    53%
Puts people at risk  38     31     33     31     31     31     31     35
DK/NA                11     10     11      7     10     10      7     12
 
 
32. Do you think allowing citizens to own assault weapons makes the country safer or more dangerous?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Safer                32%    48%    15%    35%    44%    22%    35%    12%
More dangerous       57     38     80     54     47     65     54     81
DK/NA                11     14      5     11      8     13     11      7
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
Safer                45%    29%    29%    41%
More dangerous       43     60     62     45
DK/NA                12     11      8     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Safer                28%    34%    34%    31%    34%    39%    39%    25%
More dangerous       63     55     58     54     54     46     53     64
DK/NA                10     11      8     15     13     15      9     11
 
 
33. If a member of Congress who represents your district were to vote for a ban on the sale of assault weapons, would you be more likely to vote for that person, less likely to vote for that person, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          34%    19%    58%    29%    29%    39%    32%    49%
Less likely          32     48     14     32     44     20     33     19
No difference        32     31     25     37     26     37     32     28
DK/NA                 2      1      3      2      1      4      2      5
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
More likely          23%    39%    38%    23%
Less likely          48     27     30     41
No difference        28     31     31     34
DK/NA                 1      4      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          45%    31%    34%    39%    34%    22%    36%    39%
Less likely          28     33     28     40     32     32     37     28
No difference        26     34     35     21     33     43     25     31
DK/NA                 1      3      3      -      -      3      1      2
 
 
34. Who do you think better reflects your views on guns, President Obama or the National Rifle Association?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                40%    10%    72%    37%    37%    43%    35%    81%
NRA                  49     82     18     51     55     43     55      8
BOTH (VOL)            1      -      -      1      -      1      1      -
NEITHER (VOL)         5      4      3      5      5      4      4      3
DK/NA                 5      3      7      5      2      8      5      8
 
                     Gun    DENSITY............
                     HsHld  Urban  Subrbn Rural
 
Obama                23%    45%    47%    25%
NRA                  65     44     44     63
BOTH (VOL)            1      1      -      1
NEITHER (VOL)         6      4      5      6
DK/NA                 5      6      5      5
 
                    COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                54%    36%    41%    40%    45%    40%    39%    41%
NRA                  37     53     48     49     51     49     54     45
BOTH (VOL)            1      -      -      1      1      -      1      1
NEITHER (VOL)         5      5      4      6      3      4      4      6
DK/NA                 3      6      8      3      -      7      2      7
 
 
 

Demographic Summary