July 24, 2008 - McCain Closes In On Obama In Four Battleground States, Quinnipiac University/Wall Street Journal/ Washingtonpost.Com Poll Finds --- COLORADO: McCain 46 - Obama 44 MICHIGAN: Obama 46 - McCain 42 MINNESOTA: Obama 46 - McCain 44 WISCONSIN: Obama 50 - McCain 39

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Arizona Sen. John McCain has inched ahead of Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Colorado; come within inches in Minnesota and narrowed the gap in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in these battleground states, conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today.

Voters in each state say energy policy is more important than the war in Iraq. And by margins of 22 to 31 percentage points, voters in each state support offshore oil drilling, and by seven to 12-point margins, drilling in the Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge.

Sen. McCain has picked up support in almost every group in every state, especially among independent voters and men voters. The Republican now leads Obama among independent voters in Michigan and Minnesota. Overall results show:
  • Colorado: McCain is up by a nose 46 - 44 percent, compared to a 49 - 44 percent Obama lead June 26;
  • Michigan: Obama tops McCain 46 - 42 percent, compared to a 48 - 42 percent lead last time;
  • Minnesota: Obama edges ahead 46 - 44 percent, compared to a 54 - 37 percent Obama lead;
  • Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 50 - 39 percent, compared to 52 - 39 percent.
"Sen. Barack Obama's post-primary bubble hasn't burst, but it is leaking a bit. It's been a good month for Sen. John McCain. His movement in these key states, not large except for Minnesota, jibes with the tightening we are seeing in the national polls," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The good news for McCain is that he has improved his standing in Colorado and Michigan, two states that are critical to each man's strategy. Obama wants to break through in the Rocky Mountain and Southwestern states that have been going Republican for decades. McCain sees recently Democratic Michigan as his top takeaway target," Brown added.

"One reason for McCain's progress may be the energy issue. The results show increased support for additional drilling - which McCain supports and Obama opposes. Roughly one in ten voters say they have changed their minds and now favor drilling because of the jump in energy prices. They support Obama, but with voters saying that the energy issue is now more important to their presidential vote than is the war in Iraq, this group represents an opportunity for the Republican.

"Voters are even more closely divided when it comes to which candidate's spouse best fits the image of a First Lady than they are in their vote for president."

President Bush's approval ratings are:
  • 31 - 62 percent in Colorado;
  • 25 - 69 percent in Michigan;
  • 28 - 66 percent in Minnesota;
  • 26 - 68 percent in Wisconsin. Colorado
Obama leads 50 - 39 percent among Colorado women likely voters, while men back McCain 55 - 37 percent. White voters back McCain 51 - 41 percent as Hispanic voters go with Obama 57 - 29 percent. Obama leads 51 - 43 percent with voters 18 to 34 years old, while voters 35 to 54 are tied 46 - 46 percent. McCain leads 51 - 37 percent among voters over 55.

Voters say 37 - 27 percent that Cindy McCain better fits their idea of a First Lady than Michelle Obama. Men prefer Ms. McCain 43 - 20 percent while women split with 33 percent for Ms. Obama and 32 percent for Ms. McCain.

"Not surprisingly, Obama's strength is in the Denver/Boulder precincts where he leads almost two-to-one, while he trails everywhere else in the state. As the presidential race has tilted a bit toward McCain, GOP Senate candidate Bob Schaffer has moved into a dead heat after trailing Democrat Mark Udall by 10 points a month ago," Brown said.

In the U.S. Senate race, U.S. Rep. Mark Udall, the Democrat, and Republican Robert Schaffer are tied 44 - 44 percent, compared to a 48 - 38 percent Udall lead June 26.

Colorado voters support 68 - 15 percent a constitutional amendment outlawing discrimination or preferential treatment in public employment, contracting or education.

By a 50 - 39 percent margin, Colorado voters say a candidate's position on energy policy is more important than their position on the war in Iraq. Voter split 33 - 33 percent on which candidate has the best energy policy, with 34 percent undecided.

Michigan

Michigan women voters back Obama 50 - 38 percent, while men back McCain 47 - 42 percent. White voters back McCain 48 - 40 percent, as black voters support Obama 90 - 4 percent. The Democrat leads 51 - 41 percent among voters 18 to 34, a big drop, and squeaks by 46 - 43 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 tie 43 - 43 percent.

Voters split on who better fits their idea of a First Lady, with Obama at 29 percent and McCain at 28 percent. Women prefer Obama 33 - 25 percent as men like McCain 31 - 25 percent.

A candidate's energy policy is more important than his position on the war in Iraq, Michigan likely voters say 50 - 40 percent. Obama has the best program for helping solve the crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil, voters say 35 - 28 percent.

"Obama and McCain are doing equally well in raiding the other party's base: Ten percent of 2004 Kerry voters favor McCain, while 13 percent of 2004 Bush backers are with Obama. In order to close the gap, McCain needs to do a little bit better winning back the Democrats who voted for Ronald Reagan and their children," Brown said. Minnesota

Obama tops McCain 51 - 38 percent with women, while men back McCain 49 - 42 percent. White voters split 45 - 45 percent. The Democrat leads 50 - 45 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old. Voters 35 to 54 split, with 45 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain with the Democrat up 46 - 42 percent among voters over 55.

In the First Lady contest, 28 percent prefer Obama while 26 percent back McCain. Women back Obama 32 - 24 percent and men back McCain 28 - 25 percent.

By a 49 - 41 percent margin, Minnesota voters say a candidate's energy policy is more important than his policy on the war in Iraq. And voters say 34 - 26 percent, with 40 percent undecided, that Obama has the best energy policy.

In the Minnesota U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Sen. Norm Coleman tops Democrat Al Franken 53 - 38 percent, compared to 51 - 41 percent June 26.

"Sen. McCain is gaining strength, particularly among younger voters, independents and the Twin Cities suburbs, but the situation remains fluid with more than a third of independent voters saying their minds are not yet made up," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Democrat Al Franken still faces an uphill battle in his quest to unseat Sen. Norm Coleman, with almost 20 percent of the voters in his own party voting for the Republican incumbent." Wisconsin

Wisconsin women likely voters back Obama 56 - 31 percent while men back McCain 49 - 43 percent. White voters back Obama 48 - 42 percent. He leads 60 - 31 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old, 47 - 43 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old and 47 - 41 percent among voters over 55.

Voters split on which spouse better fits their idea of a First Lady, with 29 percent for Obama and 28 percent for McCain. Women like Obama 33 - 24 percent, while men like McCain 32 - 24 percent.

Wisconsin voters say 52 - 41 percent that a candidate's energy policy is more important than his policy for the war in Iraq, and say 34 - 29 percent that Obama has the best energy policy.

"Wisconsin remains the most liberal of swing states, giving Obama a comfortable double- digit lead, although men and Catholics prefer McCain. As it is everywhere, energy is emerging as a dominant campaign issue. Wisconsin voters feel Obama is the best candidate to address the energy crisis," Richards said.

From July 14 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,425 Colorado likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent;
  • 1,684 Michigan likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent;
  • 1,261 Minnesota likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent;
  • 1,094 Wisconsin likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.

These surveys of Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan are conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
COLORADO             Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Obama                44%     7%    86%    47%    37%    50%    41%    57%    50%
McCain               46     87      7     39     55     39     51     29     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      1      4      3      2      2      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      5      5     10      5      9      6     10      6
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q7......   Denvr/ Arap/         RestOf
                     War    Econ   Terr   Bouldr Jeff   West   State
 
Obama                64%    47%     8%    59%    42%    39%    35%
McCain               32     44     91     31     48     53     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      -      3      2      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      7      2      7      9      6      7
 
                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath
 
Obama                51%    46%    37%    36%    48%    35%    46%    16%    46%
McCain               43     46     51     54     46     57     44     78     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2      3      1      3      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      5     10      7      5      4      8      4      6
 
                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis
 
Obama                12%    84%     7%    66%
McCain               81      9     86     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      6      6      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Jul 24  Jun 26
                        2008    2008
 
Obama                   44      49
McCain                  46      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -
DK/NA                    7       5
 
1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
CO                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              79%    80%    77%
Might change         20     19     21
DK/NA                 1      1      2
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
MICHIGAN             Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Obama                46%     8%    84%    41%    42%    50%    40%    90%    52%
McCain               42     85      9     44     47     38     48      4     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      4      4      1      2      -      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      6      6     11      7     11     10      7      9
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q7......   Wayne  Oak/          RestOf
                     War    Econ   Terr   County Macomb SthW   State
 
Obama                60%    50%    12%    57%    40%    46%    45%
McCain               30     39     84     33     48     44     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      -      2      2      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                10      9      4      8     10      8     10
 
                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath
 
Obama                51%    46%    43%    40%    39%    35%    44%    27%    39%
McCain               41     43     43     45     53     54     43     60     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      1      3      1      3      1      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      8     13     11      7      8     12     11      8
 
                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis
 
Obama                13%    81%     7%    64%
McCain               79     10     87     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      7      5      9
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Jul 24  Jun 26
                        2008    2008
 
Obama                   46      48
McCain                  42      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -
DK/NA                    9       8
 
1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
MI                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              76%    78%    74%
Might change         21     19     24
DK/NA                 2      3      2
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
MINNESOTA            Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Obama                46%     5%    86%    40%    42%    51%    45%    54%
McCain               44     90      7     48     49     38     45     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      3      -      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      4      6      9      6     10      8      8
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q7......   Twin   Twin
                     War    Econ   Terr   Cities Suburb West   East
 
Obama                70%    48%     3%    54%    39%    39%    50%
McCain               26     43     91     36     52     47     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 3      8      6      7      8     12      7
 
                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath
 
Obama                50%    45%    46%    43%    51%    41%    50%    30%    41%
McCain               45     44     42     46     44     51     40     62     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      3      1      2      1      3      -      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      8     10     10      4      6     10      7      8
 
                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis
 
Obama                12%    82%     6%    67%
McCain               82     10     86     23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      7      6      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Jul 24  Jun 26
                        2008    2008
 
Obama                   46      54
McCain                  44      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -
DK/NA                    8       8
 
1a. (If candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
MN                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              75%    78%    71%
Might change         23     20     27
DK/NA                 2      2      2
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". (* for "Terrorism" subgroup use additional caution when interpreting findings due to larger margin of error.)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
WISCONSIN            Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Obama                50%    12%    86%    47%    43%    56%    48%    55%
McCain               39     82      6     38     49     31     42     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      3      1      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      5      7     12      7     11      9     10
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q7......          Milwak        RestOf
                     War    Econ   *Terr  Milwak Vicnty South  State
 
Obama                65%    53%     8%    56%    35%    56%    51%
McCain               25     38     87     37     50     36     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      1      -      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      9      5      6     15      7      9
 
                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath
 
Obama                60%    47%    47%    45%    55%    42%    53%    34%    43%
McCain               31     43     41     43     37     51     34     54     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      1      1      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      9     11     10      6      7     11     11      9
 
                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis
 
Obama                16%    84%     9%    69%
McCain               76      9     83     20
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      7      6      9
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Jul 24  Jun 26
                        2008    2008
 
Obama                   50      52
McCain                  39      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -
DK/NA                    9       8
 
1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
WI                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              72%    72%    71%
Might change         27     27     27
DK/NA                 2      2      2
 
 
2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Bob Shaffer the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Udall or Schaffer? This table includes "Leaners". (CO only)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Udall                44%    10%    83%    46%    37%    50%    41%    61%    49%
Schaffer             44     82      7     38     54     35     48     32     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                11      8      9     15      8     15     11      7     11
 
 
2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Al Franken the DFL candidate and Norm Coleman the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Franken or Coleman? This table includes "Leaners". (MN only)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Franken              38%     3%    73%    32%    35%    41%    37%    47%
Coleman              53     94     19     55     58     48     54     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      1      2      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      2      7     11      5     10      7      8
 
 
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Favorable            51%    21%    83%    57%    45%    57%    49%    63%    56%
Unfavorable          35     66      7     26     41     29     38     23     36
Hvn't hrd enough     11     11      8     13     11     11     11     11      7
REFUSED               3      2      2      4      3      3      2      4      1
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Favorable            54%    21%    79%    55%    50%    58%    49%    85%    59%
Unfavorable          29     60      7     28     35     24     33      2     24
Hvn't hrd enough     14     15     12     14     13     15     15     10     13
REFUSED               3      4      2      3      3      3      3      3      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            55%    30%    85%    48%    53%    58%    55%    59%
Unfavorable          26     49      6     29     30     23     27     23
Hvn't hrd enough     16     19      7     22     16     17     16     16
REFUSED               2      3      1      1      2      2      2      1
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            55%    28%    80%    54%    53%    57%    54%    58%
Unfavorable          28     58      5     28     33     24     30     23
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     12     16     12     15     14     16
REFUSED               3      3      3      2      2      4      3      2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Favorable            54%    78%    29%    53%    60%    49%    58%    45%    54%
Unfavorable          30     12     52     29     28     32     29     33     33
Hvn't hrd enough     12      9     16     13     10     15     10     19     11
REFUSED               3      2      3      4      2      4      3      3      1
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Favorable            53%    82%    27%    59%    58%    49%    59%    15%    47%
Unfavorable          30      9     50     26     29     30     26     50     36
Hvn't hrd enough     14      8     20     12     11     17     12     32     14
REFUSED               3      1      4      3      2      4      3      2      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            51%    79%    30%    54%    57%    45%    54%    43%
Unfavorable          27      6     51     21     25     30     27     37
Hvn't hrd enough     18     13     17     21     15     22     17     17
REFUSED               3      2      3      5      3      3      3      4
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            52%    83%    24%    56%    62%    44%    55%    47%
Unfavorable          28      8     50     24     25     31     27     30
Hvn't hrd enough     17      9     23     17     11     22     15     21
REFUSED               3      -      3      2      2      3      2      2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of -- Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Favorable            30%    11%    53%    31%    24%    36%    29%    35%    32%
Unfavorable          26     47      6     21     31     21     27     19     18
Hvn't hrd enough     40     39     37     45     41     40     40     41     45
REFUSED               3      2      4      3      4      3      4      4      4
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Favorable            33%    13%    50%    33%    29%    36%    29%    67%    37%
Unfavorable          17     31      5     18     18     16     19      4     16
Hvn't hrd enough     45     52     40     42     47     43     48     28     39
REFUSED               5      4      4      7      6      4      5      1      8
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            32%    15%    52%    30%    26%    39%    31%    35%
Unfavorable          17     32      5     18     22     13     18     17
Hvn't hrd enough     47     52     42     48     49     46     48     44
REFUSED               3      2      2      3      3      3      3      4
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            31%    12%    49%    30%    25%    37%    31%    30%
Unfavorable          14     30      4     13     15     13     15     10
Hvn't hrd enough     50     56     42     53     54     47     50     56
REFUSED               4      2      5      4      6      3      4      4
 
 
5. Is your opinion of -- Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Favorable            29%    43%    19%    24%    30%    29%    30%    30%    18%
Unfavorable           9      3     16      8      7     10      8     14      9
Hvn't hrd enough     58     51     60     63     58     57     57     54     67
REFUSED               4      3      5      5      5      4      5      3      7
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Favorable            24%    37%    18%    24%    26%    23%    26%    15%    19%
Unfavorable           9      1     14     10      9      9      8     15     12
Hvn't hrd enough     61     59     62     59     57     64     61     66     61
REFUSED               6      2      6      7      8      4      5      5      8
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            21%    32%    14%    21%    19%    22%    21%    19%
Unfavorable           8      2     15      8      9      8      8     13
Hvn't hrd enough     68     65     68     68     69     67     67     62
REFUSED               3      1      3      3      4      3      3      5
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Favorable            21%    32%    13%    21%    21%    20%    22%    17%
Unfavorable           9      2     18      6      8      9      8      9
Hvn't hrd enough     66     65     63     68     64     67     66     70
REFUSED               5      2      6      5      6      4      4      4
 
 
6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a First Lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Michelle Obama       27%     4%    56%    26%    20%    33%    25%    34%    31%
Cindy McCain         37     67      9     32     43     32     41     25     31
DK/NA                36     29     35     42     37     35     34     42     38
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Michelle Obama       29%     7%    54%    25%    25%    33%    24%    67%    34%
Cindy McCain         28     56      9     26     31     25     32      4     21
DK/NA                43     37     37     49     45     41     44     29     45
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Michelle Obama       28%     6%    56%    19%    25%    32%    26%    33%
Cindy McCain         26     51      6     27     28     24     26     25
DK/NA                46     43     38     54     47     45     47     43
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Michelle Obama       29%    11%    48%    27%    24%    33%    27%    30%
Cindy McCain         28     54     10     26     32     24     29     24
DK/NA                43     35     42     47     43     43     45     46
 
 
7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year?(READ OPTIONS)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Terrorism             9%    18%     2%     6%    12%     6%     9%     6%     8%
The war in Iraq      17     12     23     15     17     17     16     21     18
The economy          48     43     50     53     44     50     48     44     41
Illegal immigration  11     15      5     10     14      8     11     12     17
Health care          10      7     14      9      8     11      9     12     11
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   4      4      4      4      3      5      4      1      3
DK/NA                 2      2      2      3      2      3      2      5      1
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Terrorism             8%    17%     2%     8%    11%     6%     9%     4%     7%
The war in Iraq      13     10     17     12     11     16     14     12     12
The economy          59     57     63     58     57     61     58     63     62
Illegal immigration   5      6      2      5      6      3      5      2      4
Health care           9      7     12      8      9      9      8     15      9
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      3      1      5      4      3      3      2      2
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      3      2      3      2      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Terrorism             7%    16%     1%     7%     9%     5%     8%     7%
The war in Iraq      16      7     26     13     14     18     16     13
The economy          52     55     52     51     52     52     53     56
Illegal immigration   5      6      2      7      6      4      5      5
Health care          12      6     15     13     10     14     12     12
SOMETHING ELSE (VOL)  4      4      2      4      5      4      4      4
DK/NA                 4      5      3      4      4      4      3      3
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Terrorism             6%    13%     1%     3%     8%     4%     6%     3%
The war in Iraq      16     12     21     15     18     15     16     16
The economy          54     49     55     59     56     52     55     58
Illegal immigration   5     10      3      4      4      6      5      6
Health care          12     10     12     13      7     16     11     11
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   4      4      3      3      4      3      4      4
DK/NA                 3      1      4      3      2      4      3      2
 
 
8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
More likely           2%     4%     2%     1%     3%     1%     2%     2%     3%
Less likely          23      7     37     26     22     23     23     20     17
Doesn't make diff    74     89     60     72     74     74     74     76     80
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      1      2      1      1      -
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
More likely           2%     2%     2%     3%     2%     2%     3%     1%     1%
Less likely          24      8     37     23     24     24     21     43     29
Doesn't make diff    73     89     60     72     72     73     75     55     69
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      2      1      1      -      1
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
More likely           2%     3%     -      3%     3%     1%     2%     1%
Less likely          23      5     35     23     19     26     22     27
Doesn't make diff    74     91     64     73     78     71     75     71
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
More likely           2%     4%     -      1%     1%     2%     2%     1%
Less likely          23      8     38     21     21     24     21     22
Doesn't make diff    75     87     61     77     78     72     77     76
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      2      1      1
 
 
9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
More likely           6%     2%    11%     5%     5%     7%     6%     7%     5%
Less likely           3      5      1      3      5      2      4      -      4
Doesn't make diff    90     92     86     92     90     90     90     92     91
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
More likely           5%     2%    10%     3%     6%     4%     2%    24%     5%
Less likely           5      7      4      4      6      5      5      3      5
Doesn't make diff    89     90     86     92     87     91     91     72     89
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
More likely           5%     3%     8%     4%     5%     5%     4%     5%
Less likely           3      4      3      4      3      3      3      1
Doesn't make diff    90     91     89     91     91     90     91     93
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
More likely           6%     3%    11%     4%     5%     7%     4%     7%
Less likely           4      6      3      3      5      3      4      4
Doesn't make diff    89     91     85     93     90     89     92     88
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      1      -      -
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Approve              31%    62%     4%    22%    35%    27%    33%    22%    25%
Disapprove           62     26     94     70     57     66     59     73     72
DK/NA                 7     12      1      8      8      7      7      5      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Approve              25%    59%     3%    22%    29%    22%    28%     4%    19%
Disapprove           69     34     95     71     67     70     65     93     77
DK/NA                 6      7      1      7      4      8      7      3      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Approve              28%    67%     4%    22%    33%    23%    28%    20%
Disapprove           66     26     94     69     62     70     66     77
DK/NA                 6      8      2      8      5      7      6      3
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Approve              26%    60%     4%    21%    30%    22%    28%    21%
Disapprove           68     33     94     72     64     71     66     72
DK/NA                 6      7      3      7      6      7      6      7
 
 
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Very satisfied        2%     4%     -      1%     2%     2%     2%     1%     2%
Smwht satisfied      20     37      5     16     23     17     22     12     16
Smwht dissatisfied   33     40     28     31     33     33     33     36     31
Very dissatisfied    45     19     66     52     42     48     43     51     50
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Very satisfied        2%     3%     1%     2%     2%     1%     2%     2%     1%
Smwht satisfied      13     29      4     11     16     12     15      4     10
Smwht dissatisfied   34     47     26     31     32     36     35     26     31
Very dissatisfied    50     20     69     56     50     50     48     69     58
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      -      1      1      -      -
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Very satisfied        2%     4%     -      2%     2%     1%     1%     2%
Smwht satisfied      20     42      6     17     21     18     20     14
Smwht dissatisfied   32     40     26     32     31     34     33     32
Very dissatisfied    45     14     66     48     44     46     44     51
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Very satisfied        2%     4%     1%     2%     2%     2%     2%     1%
Smwht satisfied      16     36      3     13     19     13     17     15
Smwht dissatisfied   36     44     27     36     36     36     36     34
Very dissatisfied    45     16     67     48     42     48     44     50
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Right thing          41%    72%    10%    36%    47%    36%    43%    34%    32%
Wrong thing          54     21     84     60     48     58     51     61     64
DK/NA                 6      7      5      4      5      6      6      5      4
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Right thing          33%    67%     5%    34%    37%    30%    36%     7%    26%
Wrong thing          58     25     88     57     57     60     54     88     69
DK/NA                 9      8      6      9      6     10      9      5      6
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Right thing          37%    77%    10%    33%    43%    31%    38%    31%
Wrong thing          55     15     87     58     50     60     55     63
DK/NA                 8      9      4      9      7      9      7      7
 
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Right thing          35%    75%    12%    30%    46%    27%    37%    31%
Wrong thing          58     20     82     63     50     64     56     60
DK/NA                 7      5      6      7      4      9      7      9
 
 
13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq? A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal /18 mos   37%    14%    65%    37%    28%    44%    35%    44%    52%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       57     83     28     56     66     49     59     53     44
DK/NA                 6      3      7      7      6      7      6      3      4
 
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal /18 mos   41%    15%    62%    40%    34%    46%    37%    59%    46%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       53     80     31     55     62     46     56     37     49
DK/NA                 6      4      6      5      4      8      7      4      5
 
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos    38%    14%    58%    38%    35%    41%    38%    41%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       54     83     34     55     57     51     55     52
DK/NA                 8      4      8      7      7      8      7      7
 
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos    40%    14%    66%    38%    33%    46%    37%    43%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       54     84     27     55     64     46     57     50
DK/NA                 6      1      8      7      3      8      5      7
 
 
14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Getting ahead        13%    15%    13%    12%    16%    11%    13%    14%    14%
Falling behind       20     13     25     22     18     22     19     25     21
Holding steady       66     72     62     64     65     66     67     61     65
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -      -
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Getting ahead        11%    18%    10%     7%    14%     9%    12%    11%    12%
Falling behind       27     15     33     29     25     29     25     37     26
Holding steady       61     67     57     63     61     62     63     52     62
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      1      1      -      -
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Getting ahead        14%    21%     8%    12%    15%    12%    13%    15%
Falling behind       24     13     32     23     21     26     24     26
Holding steady       62     65     59     63     63     61     62     59
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1      1      -
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Getting ahead        10%    16%     7%     7%    13%     7%    10%     9%
Falling behind       25     13     32     27     22     28     24     24
Holding steady       64     70     61     65     65     64     66     67
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1      1      1
 
 
15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) rising health care costs D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
A) Retirement funds  10%    10%    10%    10%     9%    10%    10%    10%     9%
B) Real estate val    9     10     11      7     10      8     10      9     17
C) Health care cost  20     12     25     22     22     18     20     17     22
D) Gasoline prices   42     50     36     41     42     43     42     49     40
E) Food prices       13     11     14     14     10     16     14     10      9
DK/NA                 6      6      5      6      6      6      5      6      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
A) Retirement funds  12%    13%    13%    10%    13%    11%    13%     6%    13%
B) Real estate val   12     14      9     13     14     10     13      6     12
C) Health care cost  18     15     21     18     15     20     17     23     17
D) Gasoline prices   43     44     43     42     44     43     41     52     44
E) Food prices       10     10     10     10      8     12     11      9      8
DK/NA                 5      5      4      6      6      5      5      4      5
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
A) Retirement funds  10%    10%     8%    10%    10%    10%    10%    12%
B) Real estate val   10     17      7      9     11      9     10     11
C) Health care cost  22     19     25     22     20     24     22     21
D) Gasoline prices   39     42     39     37     39     39     39     36
E) Food prices       13      7     16     13     13     12     13     13
DK/NA                 6      5      4      9      8      5      6      7
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Retirement funds     12%    14%    13%    11%    12%    13%    12%    16%
Real estate val       5      4      4      5      6      4      4      1
Health care cost     23     18     25     23     24     21     23     23
Gasoline prices      42     51     36     42     41     42     41     46
Food prices          15     13     17     14     13     16     14     10
DK/NA                 4      1      5      6      4      4      4      4
 
 
15x. As you may know, there is a proposed state constitutional amendment on the November ballot. It says that the state shall not discriminate against or grant preferential treatment to any group or individual on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operation of public employment, public contracting, or public education. Do you think that you will vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? (CO only)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
For                  68%    64%    71%    71%    66%    70%    67%    74%    67%
Against              15     17     15     12     17     13     15     13     13
DK/NA                17     19     14     17     17     18     18     12     20
 
 
16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plants?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Support              58%    73%    39%    60%    79%    40%    60%    52%    67%
Oppose               34     20     52     33     18     49     32     38     30
DK/NA                 8      8      8      7      3     12      8     10      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Support              58%    71%    47%    63%    73%    46%    62%    31%    58%
Oppose               31     19     39     30     22     38     27     53     32
DK/NA                11     10     13      7      4     17     10     16     10
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              59%    70%    46%    63%    73%    45%    60%    63%
Oppose               30     21     43     25     22     39     29     28
DK/NA                11     10     11     12      5     16     11      8
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              56%    75%    42%    56%    75%    41%    57%    59%
Oppose               33     19     46     33     20     45     32     35
DK/NA                10      6     12     11      5     15     11      6
 
 
16b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plants? (If support q16)Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Always support       48%    66%    30%    47%    67%    32%    51%    37%    48%
Support now          10      6      9     13     12      8      9     15     19
Oppose               34     20     52     33     18     49     32     38     30
DK/NA                 8      8      8      7      3     12      8     10      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Always support       51%    64%    39%    54%    66%    38%    54%    27%    49%
Support now           8      7      8      8      7      8      9      4      9
Oppose               31     19     39     30     22     38     27     53     32
DK/NA                11     10     13      7      4     17     10     16     10
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       50%    64%    36%    54%    64%    37%    52%    52%
Support now           8      6     10      9      9      8      8     11
Oppose               30     21     43     25     22     39     29     28
DK/NA                11     10     11     12      5     16     11      8
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       48%    68%    32%    49%    65%    34%    49%    52%
Support now           8      7      9      7      9      7      8      8
Oppose               33     19     46     33     20     45     32     35
DK/NA                10      6     12     11      5     15     11      6
 
 
17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Support              59%    82%    34%    57%    67%    51%    59%    61%    55%
Oppose               37     15     60     40     32     42     37     35     41
DK/NA                 4      3      5      4      2      7      4      4      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Support              63%    86%    45%    62%    67%    59%    65%    45%    57%
Oppose               32     10     48     34     30     33     30     46     38
DK/NA                 5      3      7      4      2      8      5      9      6
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              59%    86%    40%    60%    64%    55%    61%    57%
Oppose               34     12     51     33     31     37     33     37
DK/NA                 7      2      8      7      5      8      6      6
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              59%    80%    38%    61%    67%    52%    59%    57%
Oppose               34     16     54     33     31     37     34     38
DK/NA                 7      4      8      6      2     11      7      4
 
17b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore? (If support q17) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Always support       50%    71%    27%    48%    58%    43%    50%    48%    48%
Support now           9     11      7      8      9      8      9     12      8
Oppose               37     15     60     40     32     42     37     35     41
DK/NA                 4      3      5      4      2      7      4      4      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Always support       52%    74%    37%    50%    55%    50%    54%    40%    45%
Support now          11     13      8     12     12      9     11      5     12
Oppose               32     10     48     34     30     33     30     46     38
DK/NA                 5      3      7      4      2      8      5      9      6
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       51%    77%    34%    49%    56%    46%    52%    46%
Support now           9     10      6     11      8      9      9     11
Oppose               34     12     51     33     31     37     33     37
DK/NA                 7      2      8      7      5      8      6      6
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       50%    69%    29%    54%    59%    43%    51%    49%
Support now           9     10      9      7      8      9      8      8
Oppose               34     16     54     33     31     37     34     38
DK/NA                 7      4      8      6      2     11      7      4
 
 
18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Support              52%    75%    25%    52%    63%    42%    54%    45%    53%
Oppose               44     22     70     44     35     52     42     51     42
DK/NA                 4      3      5      4      2      6      4      5      5
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Support              53%    75%    40%    52%    61%    47%    55%    38%    54%
Oppose               41     19     54     44     37     45     40     52     42
DK/NA                 6      6      6      4      3      8      5     10      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              51%    78%    30%    53%    55%    47%    52%    51%
Oppose               44     17     65     42     42     46     43     45
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      4      7      5      3
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              51%    73%    30%    53%    64%    40%    52%    51%
Oppose               43     22     64     43     35     50     43     46
DK/NA                 6      5      6      4      1     10      6      3
 
 
18b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge? (If support q18) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Always support       44%    67%    20%    41%    54%    34%    46%    33%    43%
Support now           8      9      5     11      9      8      8     12     10
Oppose               44     22     70     44     35     52     42     51     42
DK/NA                 4      3      5      4      2      6      4      5      5
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Always support       44%    67%    29%    42%    49%    39%    45%    33%    41%
Support now          10      9     11     10     12      8     10      5     13
Oppose               41     19     54     44     37     45     40     52     42
DK/NA                 6      6      6      4      3      8      5     10      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       43%    69%    25%    44%    48%    38%    44%    42%
Support now           8     10      5      9      7      9      8      9
Oppose               44     17     65     42     42     46     43     45
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      4      7      5      3
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       42%    64%    21%    46%    53%    33%    43%    43%
Support now           9      9      9      7     10      7      9      8
Oppose               43     22     64     43     35     50     43     46
DK/NA                 6      5      6      4      1     10      6      3
 
 
19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Support              86%    78%    94%    89%    80%    91%    86%    89%    88%
Oppose               12     20      5     10     18      7     13      8     12
DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      1      2      1      2      -
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Support              86%    79%    90%    86%    83%    87%    87%    74%    89%
Oppose               11     16      7     10     14      9     10     16      9
DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      3      4      3      9      2
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              88%    77%    96%    90%    86%    89%    88%    89%
Oppose               10     21      3      8     12      9     10      9
DK/NA                 2      1      1      2      2      2      2      2
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              88%    80%    95%    87%    83%    91%    88%    91%
Oppose                9     17      2     11     14      5      9      8
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      3      4      3      1
 
 
19b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels? (If support q19) Previously, did you oppose a government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Always support       79%    71%    87%    84%    76%    83%    80%    80%    83%
Support now           6      7      7      5      5      8      6     10      5
Oppose               12     20      5     10     18      7     13      8     12
DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      1      2      1      2      -
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Always support       81%    75%    85%    82%    78%    83%    82%    71%    81%
Support now           5      5      5      5      6      4      5      3      8
Oppose               11     16      7     10     14      9     10     16      9
DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      3      4      3      9      2
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       82%    72%    90%    83%    79%    85%    82%    84%
Support now           6      6      5      6      7      5      6      4
Oppose               10     21      3      8     12      9     10      9
DK/NA                 2      1      1      2      2      2      2      2
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       83%    73%    91%    82%    80%    85%    83%    86%
Support now           5      6      4      5      4      6      5      5
Oppose                9     17      2     11     14      5      9      8
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      3      4      3      1
 
 
20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Support              42%    42%    50%    38%    37%    46%    41%    48%    43%
Oppose               49     52     38     54     59     40     51     43     50
DK/NA                 9      6     11      8      4     13      8      9      7
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Support              53%    47%    59%    50%    49%    55%    52%    56%    55%
Oppose               39     44     33     42     46     33     39     35     38
DK/NA                 8      9      7      8      4     12      9      9      7
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              45%    41%    47%    47%    39%    50%    45%    46%
Oppose               46     53     40     45     55     37     45     49
DK/NA                 9      6     13      9      6     13     10      5
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              47%    42%    55%    45%    38%    55%    46%    49%
Oppose               43     53     32     47     58     31     45     43
DK/NA                10      5     13      8      4     15      9      8
 
 
20b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages? (If support q20)Previously, did you oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Always support       35%    34%    41%    32%    30%    39%    34%    38%    35%
Support now           7      7      9      6      7      8      7     10      8
Oppose               49     52     38     54     59     40     51     43     50
DK/NA                 9      6     11      8      4     13      8      9      7
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Always support       44%    38%    50%    43%    39%    48%    43%    50%    46%
Support now           9      9     10      7     10      7      9      7      9
Oppose               39     44     33     42     46     33     39     35     38
DK/NA                 8      9      7      8      4     12      9      9      7
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       38%    36%    41%    37%    32%    43%    38%    37%
Support now           7      5      6      9      7      7      7      9
Oppose               46     53     40     45     55     37     45     49
DK/NA                 9      6     13      9      6     13     10      5
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       41%    35%    49%    40%    32%    49%    40%    46%
Support now           6      8      6      5      6      6      6      3
Oppose               43     53     32     47     58     31     45     43
DK/NA                10      5     13      8      4     15      9      8
 
 
21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Support              72%    60%    83%    76%    68%    75%    72%    68%    73%
Oppose               23     35     12     19     29     18     23     25     23
DK/NA                 5      5      4      4      3      7      5      7      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Support              72%    62%    77%    73%    71%    72%    74%    56%    75%
Oppose               23     33     17     22     27     20     22     35     22
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5      2      8      5      9      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              79%    67%    86%    82%    79%    78%    80%    80%
Oppose               17     30     10     13     17     17     16     17
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      4      5      4      4
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Support              78%    75%    87%    74%    77%    79%    79%    83%
Oppose               17     22      9     21     21     14     17     13
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      2      7      4      4
 
 
21b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars? (If support q21)Previously, did you oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Always support       67%    54%    79%    71%    63%    71%    67%    67%    70%
Support now           5      5      4      5      5      4      6      1      3
Opposed              23     35     12     19     29     18     23     25     23
DK/NA                 5      5      4      4      3      7      5      7      3
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Always support       65%    57%    69%    66%    61%    68%    67%    51%    66%
Support now           7      6      8      7     10      5      7      6      8
Opposed              23     33     17     22     27     20     22     35     22
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5      2      8      5      9      4
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       73%    62%    79%    75%    73%    73%    74%    76%
Support now           6      5      6      7      6      5      6      4
Opposed              17     30     10     13     17     17     16     17
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      4      5      4      4
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Always support       73%    68%    79%    70%    73%    72%    74%    79%
Support now           6      7      8      4      5      7      6      4
Opposed              17     22      9     21     21     14     17     13
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      2      7      4      4
 
 
22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
A) Nuclear power      9%    11%     7%     8%    13%     4%     9%     7%    13%
B) Drilling          21     37      8     17     27     16     22     21     21
C) Renewable energy  54     36     70     58     45     62     54     56     57
D) Strategic Reserve  4      4      5      3      3      5      3     10      2
E) High milage cars   5      4      7      6      5      6      5      2      3
DK/NA                 7      9      4      7      8      6      6      3      5
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
A) Nuclear power      7%     8%     6%     8%    11%     4%     7%     8%     6%
B) Drilling          18     35      8     17     21     16     19     16     16
C) Renewable energy  56     40     62     59     49     61     57     46     59
D) Strategic Reserve  7      4     12      4      6      7      5     16      7
E) High mileage cars  6      5      5      6      6      5      6      5      6
DK/NA                 7      6      7      5      7      6      6      9      6
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
A) Nuclear power      8%    11%     4%     9%    12%     3%     8%    10%
B) Drilling          18     36      7     15     20     16     18     16
C) Renewable energy  56     39     69     55     53     59     57     59
D) Strategic Reserve  3      2      4      2      1      5      3      3
E) High mileage cars  9      7     10     11      8     11      9      8
DK/NA                 6      4      6      7      6      7      6      5
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
A) Nuclear power      7%    13%     2%     8%    13%     2%     8%    10%
B) Drilling           6     30      7     13     19     12     15     11
C) Renewable energy  59     45     75     58     51     67     60     63
D) Strategic Reserve  4      3      3      4      2      5      3      3
E) High mileage cars  8      7      9      9     10      8      8      7
DK/NA                 6      3      4      8      5      6      6      5
 
 
23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Obama                33%     7%    62%    36%    28%    38%    32%    40%    37%
McCain               33     60      6     28     40     26     35     26     25
DK/NA                34     34     32     35     32     35     34     34     38
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Obama                35%     6%    60%    33%    32%    37%    30%    66%    41%
McCain               28     57      8     29     37     21     32      3     26
DK/NA                37     37     32     38     31     42     38     31     33
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Obama                34%     7%    58%    31%    32%    35%    33%    39%
McCain               26     48      5     30     32     20     27     26
DK/NA                40     45     36     39     36     45     41     35
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Obama                34%     9%    64%    30%    32%    37%    33%    39%
McCain               29     62      6     25     39     21     30     26
DK/NA                37     28     30     45     30     42     37     36
 
 
24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or Focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas/Nuclear      36%    55%    18%    32%    47%    26%    37%    34%    33%
Wind/Solar/Bio       55     36     76     58     45     65     55     56     63
DK/NA                 9     10      5     10      8      9      8     10      4
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas/Nuclear      33%    51%    22%    33%    41%    27%    33%    33%    27%
Wind/Solar/Bio       58     40     70     60     52     64     59     54     66
DK/NA                 8      9      8      7      7      9      8     13      7
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas/Nuclear      31%    55%    17%    29%    37%    26%    31%    31%
Wind/Solar/Bio       61     39     77     61     54     68     61     62
DK/NA                 8      6      6     10      9      7      8      6
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas/Nuclear      32%    47%    18%    33%    44%    21%    32%    34%
Wind/Solar/Bio       62     49     77     60     51     73     61     62
DK/NA                 6      4      5      7      5      7      6      4
 
 
25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or Focus more on conserving energy?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas              44%    60%    32%    39%    49%    39%    44%    40%    39%
Conserving energy    49     34     64     53     43     55     49     55     57
DK/NA                 7      6      4      9      7      6      7      5      4
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas              44%    58%    38%    41%    45%    43%    44%    39%    48%
Conserving energy    49     35     56     52     48     49     49     53     47
DK/NA                 7      7      6      7      7      8      7      8      5
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas              42%    59%    28%    40%    47%    36%    41%    35%
Conserving energy    52     35     66     54     48     57     53     59
DK/NA                 6      6      5      7      5      7      6      5
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Oil/Gas              40%    53%    29%    38%    44%    35%    39%    37%
Conserving energy    54     39     66     56     52     56     54     57
DK/NA                 7      8      6      6      4      9      7      7
 
 
26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for President - A candidate's position on energy policy or A candidate's position on the war in Iraq?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds
 
Energy policy        50%    46%    51%    54%    53%    47%    52%    38%    50%
War in Iraq          39     42     39     37     38     39     37     51     41
DK/NA                12     12     11      9      9     14     11     11      9
 
                                                                             Union
MI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds
 
Energy policy        50%    48%    54%    49%    55%    46%    51%    49%    52%
War in Iraq          40     43     39     40     36     44     39     45     40
DK/NA                10      9      7     11      8     10     10      6      8
 
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Energy policy        49%    53%    42%    52%    51%    46%    49%    45%
War in Iraq          41     38     48     38     39     42     41     45
DK/NA                11      9     10     10      9     12     11     11
 
                                                                      Union
WI                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
 
Energy policy        52%    52%    46%    57%    54%    50%    53%    53%
War in Iraq          41     43     47     36     41     41     41     40
DK/NA                 7      5      7      8      6      8      7      7