December 5, 2007 - Clinton Ends '07 In A Good Spot In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds --- FLORIDA: Clinton 53 - Obama 17; Giuliani 30 - Romney 12; OHIO: Clinton 45 - Obama 19; Giuliani 29 - McCain 13; PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 43 - Obama 15; Giuliani 27 - Huckabee, McCain 13

Word format

Despite Oprah Winfrey's support for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has overwhelming leads, especially among women, in Democratic primaries in three critical swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to Quinnipiac University's Swing State Poll, three simultaneous surveys of voters in states that have been pivotal in presidential elections since 1964.

Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads the Republican pack in each state, but with a lackluster 30-percent support, while former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee is gaining, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

In each state, Clinton is seen as the best candidate in either party to handle the immigration issue. By substantial majorities, almost 4 - 1 in Ohio and Pennsylvania, voters favor immigration reform that emphasizes stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigrants rather than integrating illegal immigrants into American society.

And 20 to 25 percent of voters in each state would vote against a presidential candidate who disagreed with them on immigration policy, even if they agreed on everything else.

"These Democratic primary numbers are a good indication that despite the tight three-way race in Iowa, the fight for the nomination is not very close and that Sen. Clinton's lead remains very large and deep," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The Republican primary race remains as muddled as the Democratic side seems clear in these three big states. Mayor Giuliani carries double-digit leads in all three states, but Republicans overall say they are much more likely to change their minds."

"The vast majority of voters think the primary focus of immigration reform is about stricter enforcement rather than integrating illegal immigrants into American society - although that is slightly less true among Democrats than voters overall," Brown added.

"There are also a significant number of voters who say immigration could be a deal-breaker in their presidential vote."

A look at the primaries shows:
  • Florida: Clinton tops Obama 53 - 17 percent among all Democrats and 56 - 13 percent among women. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards gets 7 percent. Giuliani gets 30 percent of Republican votes, with 12 percent for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 11 percent for Huckabee, 10 percent for former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson and 9 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain.
  • Ohio: Clinton leads Obama 45 - 19 among Democrats and 53 - 15 percent among women, with 13 percent for Edwards. Giuliani leads McCain 29 - 13 percent, with 10 percent for Huckabee and 7 percent each for Thompson and Romney.
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton beats Obama 43 - 15 percent among Democrats, with 47 - 11 percent among women, while Edwards gets 9 percent. Giuliani gets 27 percent of Republicans, with Huckabee and McCain at 13 percent each, and Romney and Thompson at 6 percent each. General election matchups in these swing states show:
  • Florida: Clinton tops Giuliani 48 - 41 percent; Giuliani led 46 - 43 percent October 25;
  • Ohio: Clinton leads Giuliani 45 - 41 percent compared to 44 percent for Clinton and 43 percent for Giuliani November 14;
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton and Giuliani are tied 44 - 44 percent, compared to a 45 - 43 percent Clinton lead November 8.
"Sen. John McCain and Gov. Mike Huckabee are doing slightly better and Sen. Fred Thompson worse in terms of the GOP primaries," Brown added.

"The matchups between Sen. Clinton and Mayor Giuliani have gone back and forth, and the year closes with Clinton holding a small to medium lead in two of the big three and tied in the third. Sen. McCain also has improved his numbers when matched against Sen. Clinton, which reflects the general sense nationally that those who had predicted his political demise may have been speaking too soon."

Florida Findings

Looking at other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Florida, the Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll finds:
  • Clinton tops McCain 47 - 40 percent, Thompson 52 - 36 percent, Romney 50 - 36 percent and Huckabee 50 - 35 percent;
  • Giuliani bests Obama 45 - 37 percent and Edwards 43 - 39 percent.
By a 52 - 41 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 48 - 34 percent for Giuliani;
  • 44 - 28 percent for McCain;
  • 43 - 31 percent for Obama;
  • 42 - 35 percent for Edwards;
  • Negative 25 - 28 percent for Thompson;
  • 29 - 27 percent for Romney;
  • 56 percent don't know enough about Huckabee to form an opinion.
Clinton would do the best job handling immigration, 18 percent of Florida voters say, while 10 percent name Giuliani and 7 percent cite Obama. No other candidate scores above 6 percent.

By a 66 - 24 percent margin, Florida voters favor enforcement over integration in immigration reform. And 25 percent of Florida voters say they would vote against a presidential candidate who disagreed on integration policy, even if they agreed on everything else.

"Sen. Clinton is over 50 percent in the Democratic primary, an enviable place to be with less than two months before the voting," Brown said.

Ohio Results

In other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Ohio:
  • Clinton edges McCain 44 - 42 percent and beats Thompson 47 -38 percent, Romney 47 - 37 percent and Huckabee 45 - 38 percent.
  • Edwards bests Giuliani 45 - 38 percent and Obama tops Giuliani 42 - 38 percent. Clinton gets a split 46 - 45 percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are:
  • 43 - 34 percent for Giuliani;
  • 44 - 27 percent for McCain;
  • 44 - 28 percent for Obama;
  • 48 - 29 percent for Edwards;
  • 23 - 22 percent for Thompson;
  • 24 - 23 percent for Romney;
  • 63 percent haven't heard enough about Huckabee to form an opinion.
Clinton would do the best job on immigration, 18 percent of Ohio voters say, with 9 percent each for Giuliani and Obama and 8 percent who name McCain. Ohio voters prefer strict enforcement over integration of illegal immigrants 71 - 20 percent and 22 percent say they would vote against a candidate who disagrees with them only on the immigration issue.

"Ohio is a good example that the immigration issue plays far from the border and how important it could be. Among independents there, 27 percent say that they would not vote for a candidate they generally agreed with if they completely disagreed with the candidate on immigration," Brown said.

Pennsylvania Results

In other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Pennsylvania:
  • Clinton ties McCain 43 - 43 percent and beats Thompson 49 - 37 percent, Romney 49 - 37 percent and Huckabee 48 - 37 percent;
  • Giuliani ties Obama 41 - 41 percent and beats Edwards 44 - 40 percent.
Clinton gets a 49 - 43 percent favorability rating from Pennsylvania voters. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 49 - 33 percent for Giuliani;
  • 45 - 27 percent for McCain;
  • 47 - 23 percent for Obama;
  • 46 - 28 percent for Edwards;
  • 24 - 23 percent for Thompson;
  • 23 - 23 percent for Romney;
  • 63 percent don't know enough about Huckabee to form an opinion.
Clinton is the best candidate on the immigration issue, 16 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 12 percent name Giuliani, 7 percent name Obama and 6 percent name McCain.

Pennsylvania voters favor enforcement over integration of illegal immigrants 72 - 19 percent and 20 percent say they will not vote for a candidate who disagrees with them on immigration alone.

"Pennsylvania is still Clinton and Giuliani country. But watch out if Giuliani falters, because Sen. McCain has topped or tied Clinton in four of the last six general election match ups there," said Clay Richards, Assistant Director of the Quinnipiac University polling institute. "Gov. Huckabee has come from nowhere to 13 points to tie McCain, but 13 percent doesn't win a nomination, just puts him on the platform to move up if Rudy falls.

"On immigration, the voters have no clear idea who the best candidate is, but want one who favors stricter enforcement." From November 26 - December 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,124 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 440 Republicans, with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent, and 424 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent;
  • 1,178 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 418 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent, and 436 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent;
  • 1,092 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent, including 483 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent and 462 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        FL      OH      PA 
                                           
Biden                    2%      3%      5%
Clinton                 53      45      43 
Dodd                     -       1       1 
Edwards                  7      13       9 
Gravel                   -       -       -
Kucinich                 1       2       3 
Obama                   17      19      15 
Richardson               1       1       2 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       2 
DK/NA                   15      13      18 


........................FL Men Wom

Biden 2% 1% 3% Clinton 53 49 56 Dodd - - - Edwards 7 10 5 Gravel - - - Kucinich 1 1 1 Obama 17 22 13 Richardson 1 2 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 DK/NA 15 10 19

........................OH Men Wom

Biden 3% 5% 2% Clinton 45 34 53 Dodd 1 1 1 Edwards 13 16 12 Gravel - - - Kucinich 2 2 2 Obama 19 25 15 Richardson 1 2 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 - DK/NA 13 12 14

........................PA Men Wom

Biden 5% 9% 2% Clinton 43 38 47 Dodd 1 - 1 Edwards 9 9 9 Gravel - - - Kucinich 3 5 2 Obama 15 20 11 Richardson 2 3 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 3 DK/NA 18 12 23



2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo and Fred Thompson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.........
                        FL      OH      PA 
                                           
Giuliani                30%     29%     27%
Huckabee                11      10      13 
Hunter                   1       1       1 
McCain                   9      13      13 
Paul                     4       4       4 
Romney                  12       7       6 
Tancredo                 1       -       - 
Thompson                10       7       6 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       4       3 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       3 
DK/NA                   17      21      23 


WtBrnAgn ........................FL Men Wom Evnglcl

Giuliani 30% 29% 32% 22% Huckabee 11 11 10 15 Hunter 1 2 1 3 McCain 9 10 8 10 Paul 4 6 2 6 Romney 12 11 12 10 Tancredo 1 1 1 1 Thompson 10 12 7 12 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 1 DK/NA 17 12 23 18

........................OH Men Wom WBAEvnglcl

Rudy Giuliani 29% 32% 27% 24% Mike Huckabee 10 13 8 14 Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 - John McCain 13 12 15 11 Ron Paul 4 7 1 6 Mitt Romney 7 6 7 7 Tom Tancredo - - - - Fred Thompson 7 7 7 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 3 DK/NA 21 16 26 25

........................PA Men Wom WBAEvnglcl

Giuliani 27% 28% 26% 18% Huckabee 13 17 10 23 Hunter 1 - 2 - McCain 13 15 11 8 Paul 4 4 4 5 Romney 6 7 6 7 Tancredo - - - - Thompson 6 8 5 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 23 16 30 32



1a. (If express choice Democratic Primary) How likely is it that you could change your mind -- Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, not likely at all?

                        REG DEMS EXPRESSING CHOICE Q1
........................FL      Men     Wom


Very likely 6% 8% 5% Smwht likely 38 41 36 Not too likely 17 15 18 Not likely at all 38 35 40 DK/NA 1 1 -

........................OH Men Wom

Very likely 11% 9% 12% Smwht likely 34 36 32 Not too likely 21 21 21 Not likely at all 32 30 34 DK/NA 2 3 1

........................PA Men Wom

Very likely 10% 15% 6% Smwht likely 40 37 42 Not too likely 21 20 21 Not likely at all 29 28 29 DK/NA - - 1



2a. (If express choice Republican Primary) How likely is it that you could change your mind -- Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, not likely at all?

                        REG REPS EXPRESSING CHOICE Q2..
                                                WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Very likely 10% 9% 11% 10% Smwht likely 49 45 53 48 Not too likely 20 22 18 17 Not likely at all 20 23 17 24 DK/NA 2 2 2 1

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Men Wom Evnglcl

Very likely 15% 13% 18% 19% Smwht likely 57 58 55 55 Not too likely 15 16 15 16 Not likely at all 11 12 9 8 DK/NA 2 1 3 1

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Men Wom Evnglcl

Very likely 21% 23% 17% 16% Smwht likely 54 48 61 57 Not too likely 13 16 9 15 Not likely at all 13 13 13 12 DK/NA - - - -



3-14. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- the Democrat and -- the Republican,for whom would you vote?

                        FL      OH      PA 
                                           
Clinton                 48%     45%     44%
Giuliani                41      41      44 


FL OH PA Obama 37% 42% 41% Giuliani 45 38 41

FL OH PA Edwards 39% 45% 40% Giuliani 43 38 44

FL OH PA Clinton 47% 44% 43% McCain 40 42 43

FL OH PA Clinton 52% 47% 49% Thompson 36 38 37

FL OH PA Clinton 50% 47% 49% Romney 36 37 37

FL OH PA Clinton 50% 45% 48% Huckabee 35 38 37



3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican,for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 48% 8% 87% 43% 43% 52% 30% Giuliani 41 87 7 38 45 38 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 6 5 3 4 DK/NA 5 2 3 9 6 5 5

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 45% 4% 81% 43% 37% 52% 36% Giuliani 41 86 10 36 47 36 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 4 4 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 4 6 7 3 3 DK/NA 7 4 3 10 6 8 6

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 44% 9% 79% 44% 41% 47% 23% Giuliani 44 81 12 41 47 41 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 4 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 5 3 3 4 DK/NA 7 6 6 6 7 8 8



4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 37% 10% 64% 36% 36% 38% 19% Giuliani 45 81 17 41 47 42 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 3 4 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 4 8 9 7 7 7 DK/NA 9 6 9 10 8 10 10

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Obama 42% 11% 74% 37% 39% 45% 29% Giuliani 38 75 10 35 41 35 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 3 2 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 5 6 5 4 4 DK/NA 13 9 8 18 11 14 13

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Obama 41% 14% 68% 45% 43% 39% 18% Giuliani 41 70 18 34 42 40 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 6 3 5 5 DK/NA 12 12 9 12 10 14 18



5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 39% 9% 70% 38% 38% 41% 33% Giuliani 43 82 13 42 47 41 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 6 6 6 5 2 DK/NA 9 5 9 10 7 11 13

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Edwards 45% 12% 75% 44% 41% 49% 35% Giuliani 38 73 14 33 43 32 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 3 7 5 3 4 DK/NA 11 10 6 14 8 13 11

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Edwards 40% 15% 68% 39% 41% 40% 26% Giuliani 44 71 20 42 44 43 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 3 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 4 3 3 2 DK/NA 10 10 6 12 8 12 12



6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 47% 11% 86% 41% 39% 54% 29% McCain 40 80 6 42 46 35 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 4 5 2 2 DK/NA 7 5 4 10 7 7 8

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 44% 7% 81% 39% 38% 51% 33% McCain 42 86 11 41 48 37 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 6 5 3 4 DK/NA 7 3 4 11 6 9 6

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 43% 7% 79% 42% 36% 49% 21% McCain 43 78 12 43 51 37 65 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 - 4 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 8 8 7 6 7 9 10



7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 52% 11% 90% 51% 47% 57% 32% Thompson 36 77 4 34 40 32 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 4 2 3 DK/NA 7 7 4 7 6 7 7

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 47% 6% 84% 42% 38% 54% 35% Thompson 38 83 9 33 45 32 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 7 5 3 4 DK/NA 9 7 2 14 8 9 6

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 49% 13% 86% 50% 46% 52% 27% Thompson 37 74 6 34 41 34 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 DK/NA 8 9 4 9 7 9 10



8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 50% 11% 88% 45% 44% 55% 29% Romney 36 77 3 37 41 32 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 6 6 3 4 DK/NA 7 6 5 9 6 8 10

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 47% 6% 84% 44% 40% 53% 35% Romney 37 83 8 30 42 32 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 4 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 3 8 6 3 5 DK/NA 9 5 4 15 8 10 7

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 49% 11% 86% 50% 45% 52% 26% Romney 37 73 7 35 43 32 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 2 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 6 5 3 3 DK/NA 8 9 4 7 6 10 10



9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 50% 12% 88% 47% 45% 55% 30% Huckabee 35 73 5 34 40 31 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 6 5 3 4 DK/NA 8 9 4 10 8 9 11

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 45% 7% 81% 41% 39% 52% 33% Huckabee 38 82 8 34 43 33 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 3 3 4 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 6 6 3 5 DK/NA 10 6 5 16 9 10 9

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Clinton 48% 11% 88% 48% 45% 52% 26% Huckabee 37 73 5 34 42 32 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 3 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 5 4 2 1 DK/NA 9 10 4 10 8 11 10



10. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 52% 15% 87% 48% 46% 57% 34% Unfavorable 41 81 8 40 46 36 59 Hvn't hrd enough 5 2 3 9 6 4 5 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 2 3 2

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 46% 8% 81% 40% 38% 52% 31% Unfavorable 45 87 12 45 53 37 60 Hvn't hrd enough 6 4 6 8 6 6 6 REFUSED 3 1 2 6 2 4 3

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 49% 13% 85% 49% 45% 53% 28% Unfavorable 43 79 10 41 48 39 65 Hvn't hrd enough 6 6 4 6 6 6 6 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 1 2 1



11. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 48% 77% 29% 43% 51% 46% 53% Unfavorable 34 13 50 37 35 33 29 Hvn't hrd enough 15 8 18 15 11 18 17 REFUSED 3 2 3 4 2 4 2

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 43% 66% 27% 41% 46% 40% 44% Unfavorable 34 14 47 37 36 31 30 Hvn't hrd enough 21 16 25 19 16 25 23 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 2 4 3

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 49% 67% 34% 51% 51% 48% 50% Unfavorable 33 17 49 35 36 31 27 Hvn't hrd enough 14 13 14 12 10 19 20 REFUSED 3 3 3 3 3 3 3



12. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 44% 62% 32% 42% 50% 39% 50% Unfavorable 28 20 33 30 29 28 25 Hvn't hrd enough 24 15 32 22 19 29 23 REFUSED 4 3 2 6 2 5 1

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 44% 61% 34% 42% 49% 39% 42% Unfavorable 27 15 36 27 29 25 26 Hvn't hrd enough 26 22 29 26 19 32 29 REFUSED 3 2 1 5 2 4 3

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 45% 60% 32% 47% 51% 40% 47% Unfavorable 27 17 37 25 30 24 20 Hvn't hrd enough 25 21 27 26 17 32 30 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 2 3 3



13. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 43% 26% 61% 43% 47% 40% 29% Unfavorable 31 45 19 28 28 33 43 Hvn't hrd enough 22 25 18 24 23 22 27 REFUSED 4 4 2 5 2 5 2

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 44% 24% 64% 40% 42% 45% 31% Unfavorable 28 49 13 25 31 25 38 Hvn't hrd enough 25 24 21 30 23 27 30 REFUSED 3 3 1 4 4 2 2

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 47% 29% 60% 55% 49% 44% 30% Unfavorable 23 32 19 17 24 22 33 Hvn't hrd enough 27 36 18 23 23 31 33 REFUSED 3 2 3 5 4 3 4



14. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 29% 51% 11% 32% 35% 25% 39% Unfavorable 27 11 37 30 29 26 22 Hvn't hrd enough 41 37 50 35 35 46 38 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 2 3 2

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 24% 45% 14% 18% 29% 19% 29% Unfavorable 23 11 33 22 24 21 20 Hvn't hrd enough 51 41 52 57 44 58 48 REFUSED 3 2 1 4 3 2 3

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 23% 38% 10% 21% 28% 17% 29% Unfavorable 23 11 35 22 24 21 13 Hvn't hrd enough 53 50 55 55 45 61 56 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 1 2



15. Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 25% 49% 10% 22% 29% 22% 35% Unfavorable 28 10 41 33 30 27 20 Hvn't hrd enough 43 38 47 42 39 47 45 REFUSED 3 4 2 3 3 3 -

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 23% 42% 9% 22% 30% 17% 25% Unfavorable 22 7 35 22 24 20 18 Hvn't hrd enough 53 49 56 53 45 61 56 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 1

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 24% 40% 11% 20% 26% 21% 29% Unfavorable 23 8 38 25 27 20 9 Hvn't hrd enough 52 51 50 52 45 58 60 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 1 2



16. Is your opinion of -- Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 26% 40% 14% 27% 29% 23% 39% Unfavorable 16 8 22 17 16 15 12 Hvn't hrd enough 56 51 62 52 52 59 48 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 2 3 1

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 22% 36% 14% 21% 28% 17% 28% Unfavorable 13 7 21 9 15 11 11 Hvn't hrd enough 63 55 65 69 56 70 60 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 2 2

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 22% 36% 10% 20% 26% 18% 34% Unfavorable 14 6 20 13 16 12 6 Hvn't hrd enough 63 56 68 66 57 68 59 REFUSED 2 2 2 - 1 2 1



17. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 42% 24% 61% 41% 43% 41% 39% Unfavorable 35 53 19 34 38 33 40 Hvn't hrd enough 20 20 19 22 16 24 21 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 3 3 1

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 48% 26% 69% 47% 47% 50% 40% Unfavorable 29 53 11 27 34 24 36 Hvn't hrd enough 21 20 18 24 18 24 23 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 2 1

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Favorable 46% 29% 63% 49% 46% 47% 39% Unfavorable 28 44 12 25 30 25 34 Hvn't hrd enough 23 24 23 22 21 25 25 REFUSED 3 2 3 4 2 3 2



18. Regardless of who you're going to vote for, which presidential candidate do you think would do the best job on the issue of illegal immigration as president?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Biden 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% Clinton 18 6 36 13 14 21 15 Dodd - - 1 - - - - Edwards 2 1 4 1 2 2 3 Giuliani 10 18 2 11 10 10 9 Gravel - - - - - - - Huckabee 4 7 1 5 4 4 6 Hunter 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 Kucinich 1 - - 1 - 1 - McCain 6 9 3 8 10 3 5 Obama 7 2 13 5 8 6 4 Paul 2 1 1 3 4 1 3 Richardson 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 Romney 5 8 1 6 6 3 4 Tancredo 2 4 - 2 2 1 2 Thompson 4 10 1 3 5 3 6 SMONE ELSE 1 1 1 1 2 - 2 DK/NA 35 32 32 37 27 42 37

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Biden -% - 1% - -% -% - Clinton 18 2 33 16 12 23 17 Dodd - - - - - - - Edwards 4 1 6 4 5 3 2 Giuliani 9 20 3 6 12 7 9 Gravel - - - - - - - Huckabee 3 5 1 5 5 2 5 Hunter 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 Kucinich - - - 1 - - - McCain 8 13 2 9 11 5 7 Obama 9 1 17 7 9 9 4 Paul 1 2 - 2 2 1 2 Richardson 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 Romney 2 5 1 2 3 2 3 Tancredo 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 Thompson 4 10 1 1 5 3 5 SMONE ELSE 1 - - 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 38 37 31 43 32 43 41

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Biden 2% - 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% Clinton 16 5 35 8 14 18 9 Dodd - - - - - - - Edwards 2 1 3 3 1 3 2 Giuliani 12 20 6 13 16 10 10 Gravel - - - - - - - Huckabee 3 8 - 3 5 2 7 Hunter 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 Kucinich 1 - 1 - 1 - - McCain 6 9 2 8 8 4 8 Obama 7 2 13 6 6 7 5 Paul 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 Richardson 2 - 3 3 3 1 1 Romney 2 5 1 1 3 2 5 Tancredo 1 1 - 1 1 1 - Thompson 2 5 1 1 3 2 4 SMONE ELSE 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 41 41 31 46 34 47 44



19. Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Intg immigrants 24% 15% 34% 23% 22% 26% 13% Enforcement 66 76 56 67 69 63 78 DK/NA 10 9 11 10 9 11 8

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Intg immigrants 20% 11% 28% 20% 21% 18% 12% Enforcement 71 83 64 68 73 70 80 DK/NA 9 6 8 12 6 12 8

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Intg immigrants 19% 9% 26% 25% 19% 20% 15% Enforcement 72 82 64 68 73 70 78 DK/NA 9 9 11 7 8 10 8



20. If you agreed with a presidential candidate on other issues, but completely disagreed on the issue of illegal immigration, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
........................FL      Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Yes 63% 67% 69% 57% 67% 60% 60% No 25 21 21 32 25 24 30 DK/NA 12 13 11 11 8 15 10

WtBrnAgn ........................OH Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Yes 66% 65% 73% 62% 64% 67% 63% No 22 24 16 27 26 19 26 DK/NA 12 12 11 10 10 14 11

WtBrnAgn ........................PA Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl

Yes 67% 66% 73% 66% 72% 63% 63% No 20 22 15 22 20 21 24 DK/NA 12 12 12 12 8 16 12