May 22, 2008 - McCain Leads Obama In Two Of Three Key Swing States, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; Clinton Has Big Leads In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania --- FLORIDA: Clinton 48 - McCain 41; McCain 45 - Obama 41; OHIO: Clinton 48 - McCain 41; McCain 44 - Obama 40: PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 50 - McCain 37; Obama 46 - McCain 40

Word format

Plagued by a defection of Clinton supporters and white working class voters, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, the leading Democratic presidential contender, trails Arizona Sen. John McCain, the likely Republican candidate, in Florida and Ohio, according to simultaneous Quinnipiac University Swing State polls released today. Sen. Obama is six points ahead in Pennsylvania. New York Sen. Clinton wins handily in all three states. No one has been elected President since 1960 without taking two of these three largest swing states in the Electoral College. Results from the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University polls show:
  • Florida: Clinton tops McCain 48 - 41 percent; McCain leads Obama 45 - 41 percent;
  • Ohio: Clinton beats McCain 48 - 41 percent; McCain tops Obama 44 - 40 percent;
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton tops McCain 50 - 37 percent; Obama leads McCain 46 - 40 percent.
In the McCain-Obama matchups, 26 to 36 percent of Clinton supporters in each state say that if Obama is the nominee they would switch to the Republican in November. Only 10 to 18 percent of Obama supporters say they would defect to McCain if Clinton is the nominee.

"The numbers for Florida and Ohio are good news for Sen. John McCain and should be worrisome for Sen. Barack Obama. That is especially true about Ohio, which decided the 2004 election. Ohio's economy is worse than the rest of the country and the Republican brand there is in disrepute. McCain's Buckeye lead may be a sign that nationally this may not be the easy Democratic walk to the White House that many expected," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.


"In the Democratic primaries Sen. Obama won in most states among whites with college educations. But this data show him losing among Florida and Ohio white college graduates by six points or more," Brown added.

President Bush's approval ratings are:
  • 28 - 68 percent in Florida;
  • 26 - 68 percent in Ohio;
  • 23 - 72 percent in Pennsylvania.
Florida

In a Clinton-McCain matchup, she leads 54 - 37 percent among women, while men back McCain 45 - 42 percent. In an Obama-McCain matchup, men back McCain 48 - 39 percent, while women split, with 43 percent for Obama and 42 percent for McCain.

Florida voters give Clinton a 48 - 43 percent favorability rating, with 44 - 40 percent for Obama and 45 - 37 percent for McCain.

Florida Democrats split 41 - 41 percent on whether they want to see Clinton or Obama nominated. Democrats say 64 - 31 percent that Clinton should stay in the race and 61 - 31 percent that Obama should pick her as his vice presidential running mate.

Democrats who want Clinton to win the nomination, would vote 91 - 6 percent for her against McCain, but only 43 - 36 percent for Obama against McCain.

The economy is the most important issue in their vote, 47 percent of Florida voters say, while 19 percent list the war in Iraq. Health care and terrorism each get 11 percent. Voters split 46 - 44 percent on whether they trust Obama or McCain to handle the economy. By a 52 - 42 percent margin, they trust McCain more to handle the war in Iraq and trust McCain more, 58 - 34, percent to handle terrorism. Voters trust Obama 50 - 37 percent to handle health care.

A total of 86 percent of Florida voters say they would be "entirely comfortable" or "somewhat comfortable" with an African American President.

A total of 65 percent of voters say they would be "entirely comfortable" or "somewhat comfortable" with a President who enters office at age 72.

Because of his association with Rev. Jeremiah Wright, 43 percent of Florida voters say they are less likely to vote for Obama, while 52 percent say it won't affect their vote.

The same number, 43 percent, say they are less likely to vote for McCain because of his association with President Bush, while 45 percent say it won't affect their vote.

"Sen. Obama is losing the white vote by 14 - 18 points in Ohio and Florida, which is enough to keep him from victory despite overwhelming support from African Americans. In Ohio, more than a quarter of Clinton voters say they will support McCain. In Florida, more than a third of them say they will back McCain against Obama. If he can't win a decent chunk of them back, he's got an uphill climb in these pivotal states," said Brown.

Ohio

McCain edges Clinton 46 - 44 percent among men, as she takes women 53 - 37 percent.

Men back McCain over Obama 47 - 39 percent while women tip to Obama 42 - 40 percent.

Ohio voters give Clinton a 52 - 42 percent favorability, with 44 - 38 percent for Obama and 43 - 36 percent for McCain.

Democrats say 50 - 37 percent they would rather see Clinton win the nomination. These voters say 65 - 30 percent that she should stay in the race and say 59 - 30 percent that Obama should pick her as his running mate. Democrats who back Clinton would vote for her 95 - 4 percent over McCain, but would vote only 50 - 26 percent for Obama over McCain.

The economy is the most important issue to Ohio voters, 53 percent say, followed by 16 percent who list the war in Iraq and 15 percent who cite health care. By a 46 - 40 percent margin, voters trust Obama more than McCain to handle the economy. They trust McCain more, 51 - 37 percent, to handle the war in Iraq. And they trust Obama more, 54 - 31 percent, to handle health care.

In all, 86 percent of Ohio voters say they would be "entirely comfortable" or "somewhat comfortable" with an African-American President. And 59 percent would be "entirely comfortable" or "somewhat comfortable" with a President who is 72 at the start of his term.

Because of Obama's association with Rev. Wright, 40 percent of Ohio voters are less likely to vote for him, while 56 percent say it doesn't make a difference.

Because of McCain's association with President Bush, 44 percent are less likely to vote for him, while 47 percent say it doesn't make a difference.

"Voters say they are much more comfortable with a black candidate than someone age 72, as is Sen. McCain," Brown said. "Given that the United States has never had a black President, but Ronald Reagan was 73 when he was re-elected, one has to wonder whether respondents are giving what they perceive to be the politically correct response. Still, McCain's age is a problem with many voters."

Pennsylvania Clinton tops McCain 57 - 31 percent with women. He has a 43 - 41 percent edge with men. Obama tops McCain 49 - 37 percent with women. Men split 43 - 42 percent.

Clinton gets a 50 - 42 percent favorability, with 50 - 34 percent for Obama and 42 - 37 percent for McCain.

Pennsylvania Democrats prefer Clinton to Obama 47 - 40 percent and say 65 - 33 percent that she should stay in the race. Obama should pick Clinton as his running mate, Democrats say 59 - 31 percent. Democrats who back Clinton would vote for her over McCain 93 - 5 percent, but would vote for Obama over McCain 51 - 32 percent.

The economy is the top issue for 48 percent of voters, followed by 22 percent who list the war in Iraq and 13 percent who cite health care. By a 50 - 39 percent margin, voters trust Obama more than McCain to handle the economy. They trust McCain more, 49 - 43 percent, to handle the war in Iraq and trust Obama more, 57 - 30 percent, to handle health care.

A total of 88 percent of voters are "entirely comfortable" or "somewhat comfortable" with an African-American president.

A total of 59 percent are "entirely comfortable" or "somewhat comfortable" with a President who is 72 years old.

Because of his association with Rev. Wright, 39 percent of voters are less likely to vote for Obama, while 57 percent say it doesn't make a difference.

Because of his association with President Bush, 47 percent of voters are less likely to vote for McCain, while 47 percent say it makes no difference.

"Sen. Barack Obama's lead in Pennsylvania is probably because historically it has been the most Democratic of the three swing states. Sen. Obama trails Sen. John McCain by four points among white voters in the Keystone State and the Democrat loses working class whites by eight points, while McCain wins them by double digits in Ohio and Florida," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

From May l3 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,419 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent;
  • 1,244 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent;
  • 1,667 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1a. (Registered Democrats) Who would you like to see win the Democratic nomination for President this year - Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
FL                      Tot     Men     Wom
 
Clinton                 41      33      47
Obama                   41      47      37
DK/NA                   18      20      16
 
OH                      Tot     Men     Wom
 
Clinton                 50%     44%     55%
Obama                   37      41      33
DK/NA                   14      15      12
 
PA                      Tot     Men     Wom
 
Clinton                 47%     41%     51%
Obama                   40      44      37
DK/NA                   12      14      11
 
 
TREND: (Registered Democrats) Who would you like to see win the Democratic nomination for President this year - Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        May 22  May 1
FL                      2008    2008
 
Clinton                 41      47
Obama                   41      33
DK/NA                   18      20
 
                        May 22  May 1
OH                      2008    2008
 
Clinton                 50      47
Obama                   37      34
DK/NA                   14      19
 
                        May 22  May 1
PA                      2008    2008
 
Clinton                 47      51
Obama                   40      38
DK/NA                   12      11
 
 
1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FLORIDA                 Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Clinton                 48%     10%     86%     43%     42%     54%     42%     86%
McCain                  41      82       8      41      45      37      48       4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       -       2       1       1       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       5       2       5       5       3       4       2
DK/NA                    6       3       3       9       7       5       6       8
 
                        North/
                        PnHnd   Bay     Cntrl   SthW    SthE
 
Clinton                 43%     46%     46%     34%     62%
McCain                  45      42      42      54      30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       6       4       6       3
DK/NA                    7       6       7       4       4
 
                                        WHITES......................................
                                        Working
                        Age     Age     Class   College                 BrnAgn
                        18-44   45+     (NoCol) Degree  Men     Wom     Evngl   Cath
 
Clinton                 56%     45%     44%     38%     37%     47%     33%     40%
McCain                  34      44      46      51      50      45      59      50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       2       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       4       4       4       5       3       2       4
DK/NA                    5       5       6       5       7       4       5       4
 
                        DEMS Q1a.....
                        Clinton Obama   IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q12..
                        Supp    Supp    War     Econ    HlthCr
 
Clinton                 91%     81%     58%     53%     67%
McCain                   6      10      31      36      23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       4       4       3       5
DK/NA                    3       3       5       7       4
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        May 22  May 1   Apr 2   Feb 14  Dec 5   Oct 25  Oct 10
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Clinton                 48      49      44      42      47      44      46
McCain                  41      41      42      44      40      43      42
SMONE ELSE               1       1       2       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE              4       3       4       3       3       4       4
DK/NA                    6       6       8       9       7       6       6
 
 
2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FLORIDA                 Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   41%     11%     71%     36%     39%     43%     34%     88%
McCain                  45      82      17      45      48      42      52       3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       -       2       2       1       2       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       3       4       4       3       4       4       -
DK/NA                    8       4       6      14       9       8       8       7
 
                        North/
                        PnHnd   Bay     Cntrl   SthW    SthE
 
Obama                   40%     37%     38%     30%     51%
McCain                  48      47      46      61      35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       4       2       2       6
DK/NA                    7      10      11       5       6
 
                                        WHITES......................................
                                        Working
                        Age     Age     Class   College                 BrnAgn
                        18-44   45+     (NoCol) Degree  Men     Wom     Evngl   Cath
 
Obama                   50%     38%     32%     39%     33%     35%     21%     35%
McCain                  39      48      52      52      53      51      66      50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       2       1       1       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       3       5       2       5       4       4       5
DK/NA                    5       9       9       6       9       8       8       9
 
                        DEMS Q1a.....
                        Clinton Obama   IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q12..
                        Supp    Supp    War     Econ    HlthCr
 
Obama                   43%     98%     51%     44%     52%
McCain                  36       2      35      41      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       -       1       2       4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         8       -       2       4       5
DK/NA                   10       1      10       9       8
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        May 22  May 1   Apr 2   Feb 14  Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Obama                   41      43      37      39      42      39      39
McCain                  45      44      46      41      42      41      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       3       4       3       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       4       6       4       5       6       5
DK/NA                    8       8       9      12       9      11      11
 
 
1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
OHIO                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Clinton                 48%      8%     85%     40%     44%     53%     45%     83%
McCain                  41      85       8      45      46      37      45       9
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       1       2       2       1       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       3       4       4       2       3       4
DK/NA                    6       3       3      10       5       7       6       3
 
                        Cntrl   NrthE   NrthW   SthE    SthW    WstCnt
 
Clinton                 46%     52%     46%     55%     40%     49%
McCain                  42      37      39      38      52      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       -       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       5       5       1       2
DK/NA                    6       7       9       1       5       4
 
                                        WHITES......................................
                                        Working
                        Age     Age     Class   College                 BrnAgn
                        18-44   45+     (NoCol) Degree  Men     Wom     Evngl   Cath
 
Clinton                 48%     49%     45%     43%     40%     49%     39%     46%
McCain                  42      41      44      46      49      41      53      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       1       3       2       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       3       3       4       4       2       2       3
DK/NA                    6       6       6       5       5       7       4       6
 
                        DEMS Q1a.....
                        Clinton Obama   IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q12..
                        Supp    Supp    War     Econ    HlthCr
 
Clinton                 95%     70%     53%     49%     67%
McCain                   4      18      36      40      25
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       6       5       3       2
DK/NA                    1       4       5       7       5
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        May 22  May 1   Apr 2   Feb 14  Dec 5   Nov 14  Oct 10
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Clinton                 48      48      48      43      44      42      48
McCain                  41      38      39      44      42      46      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       2       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       5       3       3       4       3       4
DK/NA                    6       7       8       8       7       7       8
 
 
2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
OHIO                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   40%      9%     69%     34%     39%     42%     35%     93%
McCain                  44      83      13      48      47      40      49       4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       3       2       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       1       9       4       4       6       6       1
DK/NA                    9       6       6      12       8       9       9       1
 
                        Cntrl   NrthE   NrthW   SthE    SthW    WstCnt
 
Obama                   38%     43%     49%     29%     39%     37%
McCain                  43      40      37      49      53      48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       1       6       1       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         8       4       6       8       2       7
DK/NA                   10      11       8       8       5       4
 
                                        WHITES......................................
                                        Working
                        Age     Age     Class   College                 BrnAgn
                        18-44   45+     (NoCol) Degree  Men     Wom     Evngl   Cath
 
Obama                   43%     39%     33%     41%     33%     36%     27%     37%
McCain                  42      45      49      47      52      45      57      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       2       2       2       2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         6       5       6       3       5       7       4       6
DK/NA                    7      10      10       7       8      10       9      10
 
                        DEMS Q1a.....
                        Clinton Obama   IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q12..
                        Supp    Supp    War     Econ    HlthCr
 
Obama                   50%     95%     51%     40%     54%
McCain                  26       3      33      44      28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       -       2       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)        13       -       5       5       6
DK/NA                    8       2       9       9       9
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        May 22  May 1   Apr 2   Feb 14  Oct 10  Sep 6   Jul 12
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Obama                   40      42      43      40      43      41      43
McCain                  44      43      42      42      39      42      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       2       3       3       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       5       5       5       4       5       5
DK/NA                    9       8       8      10      10      10      11
 
 
1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
PENNSYLVANIA            Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Clinton                 50%      9%     86%     41%     41%     57%     46%     78%
McCain                  37      81       6      39      43      31      41       2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       2       1       5       4       2       3       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       3       4       6       5       4       4      14
DK/NA                    6       5       2       9       6       6       6       5
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Clinton                 48%     62%     62%     56%     47%     49%     36%
McCain                  39      17      29      32      43      41      48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       2       2       2       3       2       4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2      14       2       5       1       2       5
DK/NA                    8       5       5       5       6       6       7
 
                                        WHITES......................................
                                        Working
                        Age     Age     Class   College                 BrnAgn
                        18-44   45+     (NoCol) Degree  Men     Wom     Evngl   Cath
 
Clinton                 52%     49%     47%     44%     39%     53%     31%     52%
McCain                  37      37      40      45      46      37      56      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          4       2       3       2       4       1       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       5       4       3       5       3       3       3
DK/NA                    4       7       6       6       6       6       7       4
 
                        DEMS Q1a.....
                        Clinton Obama   IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q12..
                        Supp    Supp    War     Econ    HlthCr
 
Clinton                 93%     70%     60%     53%     60%
McCain                   5      14      25      35      29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       5       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -      11       3       4       4
DK/NA                    1       4       8       6       6
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        May 22  May 1   Apr 2   Feb 27  Feb 14  Dec 5   Nov 8
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007
 
Clinton                 50      51      48      44      46      43      45
McCain                  37      37      40      42      40      43      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       3       1       2       2       3       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       3       3       4       3       3       4
DK/NA                    6       6       8       8       9       8       7
 
 
2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
PENNSYLVANIA            Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   46%     11%     73%     43%     42%     49%     40%     94%
McCain                  40      77      17      40      43      37      44       3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       -       4       3       1       2       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       3       6       4       4       5       5       2
DK/NA                    8       7       5       9       8       8       8       1
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Obama                   47%     66%     48%     52%     43%     34%     35%
McCain                  42      20      37      33      43      47      49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       2       2       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       5       5       4       6       9       5
DK/NA                    6       8       9       9       6       7       9
 
                                        WHITES......................................
                                        Working
                        Age     Age     Class   College                 BrnAgn
                        18-44   45+     (NoCol) Degree  Men     Wom     Evngl   Cath
 
Obama                   52%     42%     37%     45%     39%     40%     28%     41%
McCain                  38      41      45      44      46      43      58      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       2       3       2       3       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       6       7       2       5       6       5       7
DK/NA                    5       9       9       7       8       9       8       7
 
                        DEMS Q1a.....
                        Clinton Obama   IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q12..
                        Supp    Supp    War     Econ    HlthCr
 
Obama                   51%     95%     57%     48%     54%
McCain                  32       4      26      37      35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       3       2       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         8       1       5       4       6
DK/NA                    8       1       9       9       5
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        May 22  May 1   Apr 2   Feb 27  Feb 14  Oct 10  Aug 23
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007
 
Obama                   46      47      43      42      42      45      43
McCain                  40      38      39      40      41      41      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       2       1       1       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       4       4       4       4       4       5
DK/NA                    8       9      11      12      11       8      11
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               48%     19%     77%     45%     43%     53%     46%     68%
Unfavorable             43      75      16      42      48      37      47      14
Hvn't hrd enough         5       2       5       9       5       6       4      13
REFUSED                  4       3       3       4       4       3       3       5
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               52%     17%     81%     47%     47%     56%     50%     72%
Unfavorable             42      76      16      45      47      38      44      25
Hvn't hrd enough         4       5       2       6       4       5       5       1
REFUSED                  2       2       2       1       2       2       2       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               50%     20%     75%     46%     43%     56%     49%     60%
Unfavorable             42      72      18      46      50      35      44      28
Hvn't hrd enough         5       4       5       6       5       5       5       5
REFUSED                  3       4       2       2       2       3       2       6
 
 
4. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               44%     21%     65%     41%     44%     44%     38%     81%
Unfavorable             40      65      22      37      41      39      46       9
Hvn't hrd enough        14      12      11      19      14      14      14       8
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       1       3       2       2
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               44%     25%     61%     40%     43%     44%     38%     85%
Unfavorable             38      56      25      37      39      36      41       8
Hvn't hrd enough        16      16      13      19      15      17      17       7
REFUSED                  3       3       2       3       3       3       3       -
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               50%     28%     65%     49%     47%     53%     45%     90%
Unfavorable             34      56      21      31      38      30      39       2
Hvn't hrd enough        13      14      11      18      13      14      14       6
REFUSED                  3       3       2       2       2       3       3       2
 
 
5. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               45%     75%     21%     45%     50%     40%     51%     14%
Unfavorable             37      15      58      35      38      37      33      53
Hvn't hrd enough        14       9      16      17      10      19      12      28
REFUSED                  3       2       5       3       3       4       4       5
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               43%     73%     21%     45%     44%     42%     47%     12%
Unfavorable             36      13      58      29      38      33      34      50
Hvn't hrd enough        19      12      19      24      16      22      18      33
REFUSED                  2       3       2       2       2       3       2       5
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               42%     74%     19%     45%     48%     37%     46%     10%
Unfavorable             37      14      56      32      36      39      36      56
Hvn't hrd enough        18      10      23      20      14      22      16      31
REFUSED                  3       2       2       3       2       3       2       3
 
 
6. Given the current standings, do you think Hillary Clinton should stay in the race for President or drop out?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Stay in                 60%     55%     64%     59%     59%     61%     62%     50%
Drop out                33      37      31      34      36      31      32      43
DK/NA                    7       8       5       6       5       8       7       7
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Stay in                 60%     50%     65%     61%     57%     62%     60%     60%
Drop out                34      39      30      33      36      31      32      37
DK/NA                    7      10       4       6       7       7       8       3
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Stay in                 59%     54%     65%     57%     55%     63%     61%     44%
Drop out                35      38      33      36      39      32      34      53
DK/NA                    5       8       2       7       6       5       6       3
 
 
7. Have you heard or read anything recently about Barack Obama that has bothered you?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     47%     69%     32%     46%     50%     45%     53%     17%
No                      52      30      68      52      49      54      46      83
DK/NA                    1       -       -       3       1       1       1       -
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     43%     61%     31%     44%     46%     41%     47%     13%
No                      55      38      68      55      53      57      52      84
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       2       1       3
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     42%     61%     31%     40%     45%     38%     45%     14%
No                      58      38      69      59      54      61      54      86
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       1       1       1       -
 
 
8. (If 'bothered' q7) Has it bothered you a lot or only a little?
                        BOTHERED Q7................................
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot                   76%     85%     61%     73%     73%     79%
Only a little           23      14      39      26      26      20
DK/NA                    1       1       -       1       1       1
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot                   72%     69%     67%     79%     70%     74%
Only a little           27      30      32      20      29      25
DK/NA                    1       2       -       1       1       1
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot                   66%     74%     60%     57%     64%     67%
Only a little           32      23      37      40      33      30
DK/NA                    3       3       2       2       3       2
 
 
9. Have you heard or read anything recently about John McCain that has bothered you?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     34%     28%     39%     34%     39%     29%     35%     23%
No                      65      72      59      64      60      69      64      77
DK/NA                    1       1       2       2       1       2       1       -
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     34%     20%     42%     37%     39%     29%     33%     30%
No                      65      80      56      61      59      70      66      69
DK/NA                    1       1       2       1       2       1       1       1
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     33%     25%     39%     34%     39%     28%     32%     38%
No                      66      74      59      66      60      70      67      57
DK/NA                    1       1       2       -       1       2       1       5
 
 
10. (If 'bothered' q9) Has it bothered you a lot or only a little?
                        BOTHERED Q9................................
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot                   65%     43%     73%     68%     61%     70%
Only a little           33      55      26      28      37      27
DK/NA                    2       1       1       3       2       2
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot                   62%     42%     70%     62%     61%     64%
Only a little           36      58      29      36      39      33
DK/NA                    1       -       1       2       -       3
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot                   69%     46%     82%     63%     67%     73%
Only a little           29      53      16      37      33      25
DK/NA                    1       1       2       -       -       2
 
 
11. If Barack Obama wins the Democratic nomination, do you think he should or should not offer the Vice Presidential nomination to Hillary Clinton?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Should                  43%     25%     61%     39%     36%     48%     36%     68%
Should not              45      60      31      45      51      39      50      22
DK/NA                   13      15       8      16      13      13      14      10
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Should                  42%     20%     59%     42%     37%     47%     40%     62%
Should not              45      66      30      44      51      39      47      25
DK/NA                   13      14      11      13      12      14      13      13
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Should                  42%     23%     59%     37%     34%     49%     41%     54%
Should not              46      63      31      50      53      39      47      29
DK/NA                   13      14      10      13      14      12      12      16
 
 
12. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (Read options)
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Terrorism               11%     22%      1%     10%     13%      9%     12%      6
The war in Iraq         19      16      22      18      16      22      20      20
The economy             47      41      50      52      50      45      49      45
Illegal immigration      7      11       3       7       8       6       6       5
Health care             11       5      19       8       9      13       8      16
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      3       2       2       2       2       3       3       4
DK/NA                    3       2       2       4       2       3       2       4
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Terrorism                7%     14%      3%      5%      7%      7%      7%      5%
The war in Iraq         16      12      19      16      15      16      15      20
The economy             53      50      54      56      56      51      54      46
Illegal immigration      5       8       1       6       8       3       6       1
Health care             15      10      20      13      11      18      14      25
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      3       2       2       3       2       3       3       1
DK/NA                    2       3       1       1       2       2       2       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Terrorism                7%     19%      2%      4%      8%      6%      8%      3%
The war in Iraq         22      15      27      20      22      21      21      24
The economy             48      44      50      51      46      49      48      42
Illegal immigration      6       8       3       6       7       4       6       4
Health care             13       8      16      14      10      15      12      23
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       4       1       2       3       2       3       1
DK/NA                    2       1       1       4       3       2       2       2
 
 
13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle - Gasoline prices - Barack Obama or John McCain?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   44%     14%     69%     43%     41%     46%     35%     91%
McCain                  36      65      15      33      36      35      42       2
DK/NA                   21      21      16      24      23      18      23       7
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   46%     16%     73%     43%     47%     46%     42%     86%
McCain                  29      58       8      27      29      29      32       2
DK/NA                   25      26      19      31      24      26      26      11
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   51%     22%     74%     50%     50%     53%     47%     88%
McCain                  29      56      13      26      30      28      32       6
DK/NA                   20      22      12      24      20      19      21       7
 
 
14. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle - the economy - Barack Obama or John McCain?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   46%     12%     75%     44%     45%     46%     38%     86%
McCain                  44      79      16      45      47      41      52       6
DK/NA                   10       9       9      11       8      12      10       8
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   46%     12%     75%     42%     44%     49%     41%     94%
McCain                  40      75      14      42      43      37      45       4
DK/NA                   14      13      11      16      13      14      15       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   50%     14%     75%     51%     45%     54%     45%     93%
McCain                  39      77      15      36      43      34      43       2
DK/NA                   12       9      10      13      11      12      12       5
 
 
15. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle - the war in Iraq - Barack Obama or John McCain?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   42%     11%     69%     38%     39%     44%     35%     83%
McCain                  52      87      23      55      58      47      60      12
DK/NA                    6       2       8       7       3       9       6       5
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   37%      8%     65%     31%     37%     38%     32%     82%
McCain                  51      87      22      54      55      47      55      12
DK/NA                   12       6      12      16       9      15      13       6
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   43%     11%     69%     38%     39%     46%     38%     87%
McCain                  49      85      23      53      54      45      54       9
DK/NA                    8       3       8       9       7       9       7       4
 
 
16. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle - illegal immigration - Barack Obama or John McCain?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   38%     13%     64%     33%     37%     40%     30%     78%
McCain                  44      72      20      47      46      42      49      13
DK/NA                   18      14      16      20      18      18      21       9
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   37%     13%     61%     31%     35%     40%     32%     78%
McCain                  42      72      22      42      47      38      46      12
DK/NA                   21      16      18      27      18      23      21      10
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   40%     13%     62%     36%     35%     44%     35%     82%
McCain                  41      68      23      41      44      38      45      11
DK/NA                   19      19      15      22      20      18      20       8
 
 
17. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle - terrorism - Barack Obama or John McCain?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   34%      8%     59%     31%     32%     36%     27%     74%
McCain                  58      88      32      60      61      54      65      18
DK/NA                    8       4       9      10       7      10       8       8
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   31%      7%     56%     24%     28%     34%     25%     83%
McCain                  56      89      29      60      61      51      62      10
DK/NA                   13       5      15      15      11      14      13       8
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   37%      9%     60%     33%     34%     40%     32%     83%
McCain                  54      86      31      57      58      51      60      13
DK/NA                    9       5       9      10       8       9       9       4
 
 
18. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle - health care - Barack Obama or John McCain?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   50%     17%     77%     53%     47%     53%     43%     91%
McCain                  37      71      12      33      39      34      44       2
DK/NA                   13      12      11      15      13      13      13       7
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   54%     20%     79%     55%     54%     53%     49%     96%
McCain                  31      63      10      27      32      30      35       3
DK/NA                   15      16      11      18      14      17      17       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   57%     25%     79%     57%     56%     58%     52%     94%
McCain                  30      61      12      29      32      28      33       4
DK/NA                   13      14      10      13      12      14      15       1
 
 
19. Do you feel you know enough about Barack Obama to decide whether or not to vote for him for president, or do you feel you need to know more about him before you decide?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Know enough             64%     71%     67%     57%     66%     62%     63%     76%
Need to know more       33      27      33      40      31      35      34      23
DK/NA                    3       2       1       3       2       3       2       1
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Know enough             62%     62%     69%     57%     64%     61%     62%     72%
Need to know more       35      36      29      40      34      36      36      23
DK/NA                    2       2       2       3       2       3       2       6
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Know enough             63%     60%     69%     55%     65%     60%     61%     80%
Need to know more       35      37      30      42      32      38      36      20
DK/NA                    2       3       1       3       3       2       2       -
 
 
20. (If 'need to know more' q19) Do you need to know a lot more about him, or just somewhat more?
                        NEED TO KNOW MORE Q19......................
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot more              52%     56%     44%     57%     57%     48%
Somewhat more           46      41      54      43      42      50
DK/NA                    1       3       2       -       1       2
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot more              50%     57%     46%     48%     54%     47%
Somewhat more           49      42      53      51      46      51
DK/NA                    1       -       1       2       -       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot more              44%     44%     43%     42%     43%     44%
Somewhat more           55      55      54      58      55      55
DK/NA                    1       1       3       -       2       1
 
 
21. Do you feel you know enough about John McCain to decide whether or not to vote for him for president, or do you feel you need to know more about him before you decide?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Know enough             73%     80%     71%     70%     80%     66%     75%     63%
Need to know more       25      19      25      28      17      31      23      29
DK/NA                    2       -       4       2       2       3       2       8
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Know enough             63%     65%     68%     56%     68%     58%     63%     57%
Need to know more       34      32      29      42      30      38      34      40
DK/NA                    3       3       4       3       3       3       3       3
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Know enough             64%     70%     65%     61%     68%     60%     64%     61%
Need to know more       34      29      33      38      30      38      34      31
DK/NA                    2       1       2       1       2       2       2       8
 
 
22. (If 'need to know more' q21) Do you need to know a lot more about him, or just somewhat more?
                        NEED TO KNOW MORE Q21......................
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot more              34%     31%     38%     36%     30%     36%
Somewhat more           65      68      61      64      68      63
DK/NA                    1       2       1       -       2       1
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot more              40%     29%     48%     40%     36%     43%
Somewhat more           58      70      51      59      64      55
DK/NA                    2       1       2       1       1       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A lot more              37%     27%     39%     39%     32%     40%
Somewhat more           62      73      60      61      66      59
DK/NA                    1       1       2       -       2       -
 
 
23. Would you say that Barack Obama is in touch or out of touch with the problems ordinary Americans face?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
In touch                59%     42%     77%     55%     58%     59%     54%     92%
Out of touch            33      47      16      38      37      29      37       6
DK/NA                    9      10       7       7       5      12       9       3
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
In touch                60%     47%     75%     55%     60%     61%     57%     89%
Out of touch            32      43      22      35      34      30      35       5
DK/NA                    8      10       3      10       7       9       8       6
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
In touch                67%     51%     78%     71%     64%     69%     64%     93%
Out of touch            27      44      16      24      31      24      31       3
DK/NA                    6       5       6       5       5       7       6       5
 
 
24. Would you say that John McCain is in touch or out of touch with the problems ordinary Americans face?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
In touch                48%     72%     29%     45%     48%     48%     51%     26%
Out of touch            45      23      61      49      47      43      42      65
DK/NA                    7       4      10       6       5       9       7       9
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
In touch                44%     69%     26%     43%     44%     45%     47%     25%
Out of touch            46      21      67      45      48      44      43      66
DK/NA                   10      10       7      12       9      11      10      10
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
In touch                42%     66%     27%     40%     44%     41%     45%     27%
Out of touch            50      26      65      53      50      50      48      68
DK/NA                    8       8       8       7       6      10       8       5
 
 
25. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - A woman president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    69%     55%     77%     72%     69%     68%     69%     54%
Smwht comfortable       17      21      15      15      17      17      16      29
Smwht uncomfortable      7      11       5       8       7       8       7      10
Entirely uncomfortable   6      11       2       4       6       6       6       4
DK/NA                    1       2       1       1       2       1       1       3
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    61%     48%     68%     63%     57%     64%     61%     53%
Smwht comfortable       22      22      23      23      25      20      21      31
Smwht uncomfortable     10      15       7       8      11       9      10       9
Entirely uncomfortable   7      14       2       5       6       7       7       8
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       1       -       1       -
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    65%     53%     73%     67%     64%     67%     66%     56%
Smwht comfortable       18      22      16      18      19      17      18      19
Smwht uncomfortable      9      13       7       8       9       9       9      13
Entirely uncomfortable   6      10       3       5       6       6       6       8
DK/NA                    1       1       1       2       2       1       1       4
 
 
26. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - An African- American president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    68%     62%     71%     69%     72%     64%     66%     71%
Smwht comfortable       18      22      18      17      16      21      19      20
Smwht uncomfortable      8       9       6       9       7       9       8       4
Entirely uncomfortable   4       4       4       3       3       4       4       2
DK/NA                    2       3       1       2       2       2       2       3
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    65%     61%     63%     72%     63%     66%     62%     78%
Smwht comfortable       21      22      23      18      22      20      22      17
Smwht uncomfortable      7       9       7       6       8       6       8       3
Entirely uncomfortable   4       5       5       3       5       3       5       -
DK/NA                    3       3       3       1       2       3       3       3
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    68%     65%     67%     72%     69%     67%     67%     73%
Smwht comfortable       20      21      20      19      19      20      20      14
Smwht uncomfortable      8       9       8       5       7       8       8       7
Entirely uncomfortable   3       4       3       3       3       3       4       2
DK/NA                    2       1       2       1       1       2       1       4
 
 
27. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - Someone entering office as president of the United States at age 72, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    41%     59%     22%     46%     46%     36%     45%     23%
Smwht comfortable       24      25      24      24      24      25      26      17
Smwht uncomfortable     21      11      31      20      17      25      19      33
Entirely uncomfortable  12       3      22      10      11      13      10      22
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1       5
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    37%     58%     16%     46%     40%     34%     39%     15%
Smwht comfortable       22      26      21      21      21      24      23      19
Smwht uncomfortable     25      13      37      22      24      26      25      28
Entirely uncomfortable  14       3      25      10      14      15      12      38
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Entirely comfortable    34%     56%     17%     37%     40%     29%     37%     16%
Smwht comfortable       25      25      24      25      24      25      26      16
Smwht uncomfortable     27      15      35      28      23      30      26      36
Entirely uncomfortable  12       3      22       8       9      15      10      28
DK/NA                    2       1       2       2       3       1       1       4
 
 
28. Does John McCain's association with President Bush make you more likely to vote for McCain for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More likely             11%     25%      4%      5%     11%     11%     10%     11%
Less likely             43      11      69      44      39      46      42      44
Doesn't make diff       45      63      26      50      49      42      47      41
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       2       1       1       4
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More likely              7%     17%      1%      6%      7%      8%      8%      -
Less likely             44      12      71      42      44      45      42      65
Doesn't make diff       47      71      26      51      48      46      49      30
DK/NA                    1       -       2       1       1       2       1       5
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More likely              6%     16%      1%      2%      6%      5%      6%      1%
Less likely             47      14      69      48      45      48      45      61
Doesn't make diff       47      68      29      49      48      46      48      38
DK/NA                    1       1       2       1       1       1       1       -
 
 
29. Does Barack Obama's association with Reverend Jeremiah Wright make you more likely to vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More likely              3%      2%      4%      1%      3%      2%      2%     12%
Less likely             43      63      24      47      46      40      49       9
Doesn't make diff       52      34      69      49      48      55      48      76
DK/NA                    2       1       3       3       2       3       2       3
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More likely              2%      1%      2%      4%      2%      3%      2%      7%
Less likely             40      55      29      40      41      38      44      10
Doesn't make diff       56      41      67      55      55      56      52      80
DK/NA                    2       3       2       1       2       3       2       3
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More likely              2%      -       4%      1%      1%      3%      1%      6%
Less likely             39      59      29      36      40      38      44       1
Doesn't make diff       57      38      66      61      57      57      53      92
DK/NA                    2       3       1       2       1       2       2       2
 
 
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
FL                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 28%     59%      6%     22%     31%     25%     31%      6%
Disapprove              68      35      93      71      66      70      64      89
DK/NA                    5       6       1       6       4       6       5       5
 
OH                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 26%     58%      4%     23%     26%     27%     29%     11%
Disapprove              68      32      95      70      69      67      65      87
DK/NA                    6      10       1       8       6       6       6       2
 
PA                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 23%     57%      4%     18%     25%     22%     26%      2%
Disapprove              72      37      94      77      70      74      69      97
DK/NA                    5       6       2       5       5       5       5       1